TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13058196
Played Sep 2Finished
Jakub Levicky
Home
1.44
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
611411115611––
Lukas Velicka
Away
2.63
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:53 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJakub Levicky to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingJakub Levicky above · Lukas Velicka below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 4-11
Set 3 · 11-5
Set 4 · 5-6
Point 59 set 4, 5-6 — our read held Jakub Levicky at 54.0%
59 points drawn · the score is 6 ahead; the rest land in a moment.
H2H Jakub Levicky 10–7 Lukas Velicka Lukas Velicka has won 7 of their 17 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 09:53What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Levicky
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
10-7 in 17
Levicky
Wrong
gap of 3 in 17, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Levicky 1613 vs Velicka 1535
Levicky
Wrong
both rated, 78 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Levicky 80% vs Velicka 80%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Levicky 60% vs Velicka 80%
Velicka
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Levicky +1 · Velicka +4
Velicka
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 66% — Clear lean (leans Levicky) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Velicka form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (38%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLevicky 1.44 / Velicka 2.63
Signal prob.66% / 34%
Edge (Levicky)+1.6pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13058196
Levicky1.44
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite60% won 99 of 164
Up 2–0, closes it94% 46 of 49
Up 1–0, closes it79% 71 of 90
Velicka2.63
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog43% won 24 of 56
Down 0–1, comes back27% 9 of 33
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 14
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeLevicky7wins
AwayVelicka3wins
4 of 10 to a deciderLevicky leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeLevicky83.3%5 of 6
AwayVelicka50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Levicky6Velicka4n = 10Levicky took 6 of 10
S2Levicky5Velicka5n = 10split evenly
S3Levicky6Velicka4n = 10Levicky took 6 of 10
S4Levicky3Velicka4n = 7Velicka took 4 of 7
S5Levicky3Velicka1n = 4Levicky took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricLevickyVelickaL − VBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match41.138.5+2.6per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLevickyVelickaBasisWin rate · lifetime448 / 882 vs 98 / 18650.8%52.7%448 / 882 vs 98 / 186Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.939.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LevickyLevicky 1.44/Velicka 2.63
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
66.1%
Levicky · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Velicka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 10 · 18:30J. Levicky—911117113L. Velicka—11561192
WAug 9 · 21:30J. Levicky—1111113L. Velicka—5870
LAug 9 · 20:00J. Levicky—91570L. Velicka—1117113
LJul 27 · 21:28J. Levicky—7770L. Velicka—1111113
LJul 27 · 18:00J. Levicky—136116112L. Velicka—1111711133
WJul 22 · 21:30J. Levicky—111169133L. Velicka—791111112
WJul 22 · 18:30J. Levicky—157119113L. Velicka—131191192
WJul 16 · 19:30J. Levicky—11128113L. Velicka—6101151
WJul 12 · 20:00J. Levicky—111011113L. Velicka—812471
WJun 14 · 21:00J. Levicky—71311113L. Velicka—1111741
J. Levicky10
LSep 7 · 07:00D. Oborny1.83111169113J. Levicky1.8387111162LSep 7 · 06:30J. Levicky1.804111081M. Heczko1.9111912113WSep 6 · 16:59J. Levicky3.401312113J. Schwan1.30111080LSep 6 · 16:30D. Langer1.67111138113J. Levicky2.1031111142LSep 6 · 15:30J. Levicky2.25115861R. Skacelik1.5761111113WSep 6 · 14:30J. Schwan1.2811870J. Levicky3.501311113WSep 4 · 21:28J. Levicky1.801111113L. Velicka1.915790WSep 4 · 20:00J. Levicky1.73111238113L. Velicka2.00310111192WSep 4 · 19:30J. Hrabec2.208690J. Levicky1.611111113WSep 4 · 18:00J. Levicky1.61111110123T. Milota2.207912101
L. Velicka10
LSep 4 · 21:28J. Levicky1.801111113L. Velicka1.915790LSep 4 · 20:00J. Levicky1.73111238113L. Velicka2.00310111192WSep 4 · 19:00T. Milota2.25871191L. Velicka1.5711119113WSep 4 · 18:30L. Velicka1.671110117113J. Hrabec2.1071271152WSep 2 · 21:30L. Velicka1.60111011113T. Milota2.20812981LSep 2 · 20:30T. Milota2.3811119113L. Velicka1.53891161WSep 2 · 19:30L. Velicka2.255111111123D. Oborny1.57119137102WAug 30 · 21:30L. Velicka1.95126312113M. Koral1.751011111082WAug 30 · 20:00M. Blejchar1.91591111102L. Velicka1.80111167123WAug 30 · 19:00M. Koral1.7311961292L. Velicka2.007111110113
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