TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13097872
Played Sep 8Finished
Marcel Heczko
Home
2.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1191196111012117
Dominik Oborny
Away
1.73
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
How it is goingMarcel Heczko above · Dominik Oborny below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 10-12
Set 5 · 11-7
Point 97 set 5, 11-7
97 points played in total.
H2H Marcel Heczko 44–53 Dominik Oborny Marcel Heczko has won 44 of their 97 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 1h before this match
Heczko beat Oborny 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 55% — Coin-flip (leans Oborny)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Heczko form (20%) is below what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHeczko 2.00 / Oborny 1.73
Signal prob.45% / 55%
Edge (Oborny)+1.2pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13097872
Heczko2.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog41% won 66 of 163
Down 0–1, comes back22% 20 of 93
Down 0–2, comes back6% 3 of 49
Oborny1.73
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite64% won 106 of 167
Up 2–0, closes it94% 62 of 66
Up 1–0, closes it84% 92 of 110
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHeczko3wins
AwayOborny7wins
4 of 10 to a deciderOborny leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHeczko100%3 of 3
AwayOborny100%7 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Heczko3Oborny7n = 10Oborny took 7 of 10
S2Heczko4Oborny6n = 10Oborny took 6 of 10
S3Heczko7Oborny3n = 10Heczko took 7 of 10
S4Heczko3Oborny5n = 8Oborny took 5 of 8
S5Heczko1Oborny3n = 4Oborny took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricHeczkoObornyH − OBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match39.740.6−0.9per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHeczkoObornyBasisWin rate · lifetime278 / 583 vs 319 / 61747.7%51.7%278 / 583 vs 319 / 617Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.737.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ObornyHeczko 2.00/Oborny 1.73
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54.9%
Oborny · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Heczko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 8 · 08:30M. Heczko—11118113D. Oborny—971171
LSep 7 · 09:28M. Heczko—91111892D. Oborny—116911113
LSep 7 · 08:30M. Heczko—961191D. Oborny—11116113
LAug 31 · 20:58M. Heczko—78111152D. Oborny—111199113
WAug 31 · 20:00M. Heczko—1113133D. Oborny—411110
LAug 30 · 17:30M. Heczko—5590D. Oborny—1111113
LAug 30 · 14:00M. Heczko—971181D. Oborny—11116113
WAug 22 · 07:30M. Heczko—116119113D. Oborny—81141122
LAug 19 · 20:59M. Heczko—1311691D. Oborny—15711113
LAug 19 · 20:30M. Heczko—912111382D. Oborny—1114911113
M. Heczko10
WSep 8 · 08:30D. Oborny1.80971171M. Heczko1.9111118113LSep 8 · 07:30M. Heczko2.5061171162P. Danko1.50119116113LSep 8 · 06:30J. Levicky1.67118115113M. Heczko2.1081191182LSep 7 · 09:28D. Oborny1.80116911113M. Heczko1.9191111892LSep 7 · 08:30D. Oborny1.8011116113M. Heczko1.91961191WSep 7 · 07:30M. Heczko1.831113143A. Rinka1.83611120WSep 7 · 06:30J. Levicky1.804111081M. Heczko1.9111912113WSep 4 · 08:59M. Heczko1.7311411113M. Volny2.00811551WSep 4 · 08:00M. Heczko1.73911911113M. Volny2.0011811892LSep 4 · 07:30R. Vavrecka1.6161111113M. Heczko2.20117891
D. Oborny10
LSep 8 · 08:30D. Oborny1.80971171M. Heczko1.9111118113LSep 8 · 07:00D. Oborny1.91115591J. Levicky1.8061111113WSep 8 · 06:00P. Danko1.831211881D. Oborny1.8314811113WSep 7 · 09:28D. Oborny1.80116911113M. Heczko1.9191111892WSep 7 · 08:30D. Oborny1.8011116113M. Heczko1.91961191WSep 7 · 07:00D. Oborny1.83111169113J. Levicky1.8387111162LSep 7 · 06:00A. Rinka1.671011311113D. Oborny2.1012611762WSep 2 · 20:58D. Oborny1.731191112113J. Levicky2.0061161482LSep 2 · 20:00D. Oborny1.73911891J. Levicky2.0011711113LSep 2 · 19:30L. Velicka2.255111111123D. Oborny1.57119137102
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