TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13042313
Played Aug 30Finished
Richard Skacelik
Home
1.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
11212101012115––
Vaclav Zidek
Away
2.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:48 and never touched — 57.9% is still 57.9%
Graded at full timeRichard Skacelik to win
57.9%
57.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingRichard Skacelik above · Vaclav Zidek below
Set 1 · 11-2
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 10-12
Set 4 · 11-5
Point 73 set 4, 11-5 — our read held Richard Skacelik at 57.9%
73 points played in total.
H2H Richard Skacelik 2–0 Vaclav Zidek Vaclav Zidek has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 14:48What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Skacelik
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-0 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Skacelik 1666 vs Zidek 1607
Skacelik
Correct
both rated, 59 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Skacelik 60% vs Zidek 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Skacelik 60% vs Zidek 80%
Zidek
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Skacelik +1 · Zidek +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 63% — Clear lean (leans Skacelik) · live re-read · sealed at 58% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zidek form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (40%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSkacelik 1.50 / Zidek 2.50
Signal prob.63% / 38%
Edge (Skacelik)+0.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13042313
Skacelik1.50
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite57% won 69 of 122
Up 2–0, closes it91% 31 of 34
Up 1–0, closes it67% 48 of 72
Zidek2.50
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog43% won 27 of 63
Down 0–1, comes back23% 8 of 35
Down 0–2, comes back14% 3 of 22
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeSkacelik2wins
AwayZidek0wins
Skacelik leads 2–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home1
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricSkacelikZidekS − ZBasisWins20+2in 2 meetingsFirst set20+2of 2Avg pointsper match39.525.5+14.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSkacelikZidekBasisWin rate · lifetime202 / 425 vs 235 / 41747.5%56.4%202 / 425 vs 235 / 417Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.737.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SkacelikSkacelik 1.50/Zidek 2.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
62.5%
Skacelik · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Skacelik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
WAug 30 · 16:30R. Skacelik—111210113V. Zidek—2101251
WJul 28 · 18:30R. Skacelik—1113113V. Zidek—31180
R. Skacelik10
WSep 6 · 17:29D. Langer1.8016711972R. Skacelik1.911411911113WSep 6 · 16:00R. Skacelik1.831311113J. Schwan1.8311730WSep 6 · 15:30J. Levicky2.25115861R. Skacelik1.5761111113LSep 6 · 14:00R. Skacelik1.6741171162D. Langer2.10115116113WSep 2 · 17:00J. Stoch1.6711135892R. Skacelik2.104111111113LSep 2 · 16:00L. Martinak2.0011111113R. Skacelik1.73911881LSep 2 · 15:00J. Schwan1.8381111133R. Skacelik1.831195111LSep 2 · 14:30R. Skacelik1.915111091J. Stoch1.8011512113LAug 30 · 17:29D. Heczko2.25111011143R. Skacelik1.579124121WAug 30 · 15:00R. Skacelik1.6711119113D. Heczko2.10391121
V. Zidek10
LAug 30 · 20:59A. Walek1.631111143V. Zidek2.1385120LAug 30 · 20:30D. Machander1.6111811113V. Zidek2.20911871LAug 30 · 19:30V. Zidek2.1011912462S. Byrtus1.679111011113LAug 30 · 18:30A. Walek1.911411113V. Zidek1.8012340LAug 30 · 17:01V. Zidek1.839850E. Rychlik1.831111113WAug 30 · 15:30V. Zidek2.001311113E. Rychlik1.7311850LAug 30 · 14:30D. Heczko2.201711113V. Zidek1.6115540WAug 23 · 13:30D. Heczko2.63413118122V. Zidek1.441111611143LAug 23 · 12:30A. Walek1.9111911113V. Zidek1.80611851WAug 23 · 11:30V. Zidek1.571191110113D. Heczko2.2581191272
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