TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13040814
Played Aug 30Finished
David Heczko
Home
2.20
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1715115114––––
Vaclav Zidek
Away
1.62
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:27 and never touched — 66.4% is still 66.4%
Graded at full timeVaclav Zidek to win
66.4%
66.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingDavid Heczko above · Vaclav Zidek below
Set 1 · 17-15
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 11-4
Point 63 set 3, 11-4 — our read held Vaclav Zidek at 66.4%
63 points played in total.
H2H David Heczko 4–11 Vaclav Zidek David Heczko has won 4 of their 15 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 09:27What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Zidek
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-11 in 15
Zidek
Wrong
gap of 7 in 15, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Heczko 1620 vs Zidek 1710
Zidek
Wrong
both rated, 90 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Heczko 40% vs Zidek 80%
Zidek
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Heczko 50% vs Zidek 90%
Zidek
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Heczko -1 · Zidek +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 62% — Slight lean (leans Zidek) · live re-read · sealed at 66% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zidek form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHeczko 2.20 / Zidek 1.61
Signal prob.38% / 62%
Edge (Zidek)+4.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13040814
Heczko2.20
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog50% won 53 of 107
Down 0–1, comes back26% 13 of 51
Down 0–2, comes back7% 2 of 29
Zidek1.61
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite68% won 63 of 93
Up 2–0, closes it85% 28 of 33
Up 1–0, closes it81% 47 of 58
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHeczko2wins
AwayZidek8wins
5 of 10 to a deciderZidek leads 8–2, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHeczkon = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayZidek87.5%7 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Heczko2Zidek8n = 10Zidek took 8 of 10
S2Heczko6Zidek4n = 10Heczko took 6 of 10
S3Heczko3Zidek7n = 10Zidek took 7 of 10
S4Heczko3Zidek6n = 9Zidek took 6 of 9
S5Heczko2Zidek3n = 5Zidek took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricHeczkoZidekH − ZBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match41.146.3−5.2per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHeczkoZidekBasisWin rate · lifetime250 / 452 vs 234 / 40955.3%57.2%250 / 452 vs 234 / 409Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.438.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZidekHeczko 2.20/Zidek 1.61
Miss
What we said
61.7%
Zidek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Heczko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 23 · 13:30D. Heczko—413118122V. Zidek—1111611143
LAug 23 · 11:30D. Heczko—81191272V. Zidek—1191110113
LAug 2 · 13:00D. Heczko—9940V. Zidek—1111113
LAug 2 · 10:30D. Heczko—1117181V. Zidek—91911113
WJul 28 · 21:12D. Heczko—1310116123V. Zidek—1112311102
WJul 28 · 19:30D. Heczko—981111133V. Zidek—111195112
LMay 10 · 19:30D. Heczko—41151142V. Zidek—118116113
LApr 17 · 21:28D. Heczko—912921V. Zidek—111011113
LApr 17 · 20:00D. Heczko—9117131V. Zidek—11411153
LApr 7 · 20:00D. Heczko—111210131V. Zidek—131012153
D. Heczko10
LSep 5 · 13:04D. Heczko3.257240D. Langer1.331111113LSep 5 · 12:00M. Bereiter1.53148811133D. Heczko2.381211118112WSep 5 · 11:00D. Langer1.8016911562D. Heczko1.911411711113LSep 5 · 10:30D. Heczko1.61871151A. Walek2.2011117113LSep 5 · 09:29D. Heczko1.57139281J. Snr2.25111111113WSep 5 · 08:00L. Martinak1.809980D. Heczko1.911111113LSep 5 · 07:00A. Walek2.10121112113D. Heczko1.671481071WSep 5 · 06:30D. Heczko1.6771511113J. Snr2.101113971WSep 2 · 16:59D. Heczko1.83118711113S. Byrtus1.8381111572WSep 2 · 16:00D. Heczko1.911211113S. Byrtus1.8010850
V. Zidek10
LAug 30 · 20:59A. Walek1.631111143V. Zidek2.1385120LAug 30 · 20:30D. Machander1.6111811113V. Zidek2.20911871LAug 30 · 19:30V. Zidek2.1011912462S. Byrtus1.679111011113LAug 30 · 18:30A. Walek1.911411113V. Zidek1.8012340LAug 30 · 17:01V. Zidek1.839850E. Rychlik1.831111113LAug 30 · 16:30R. Skacelik1.50111210113V. Zidek2.502101251WAug 30 · 15:30V. Zidek2.001311113E. Rychlik1.7311850WAug 23 · 13:30D. Heczko2.63413118122V. Zidek1.441111611143LAug 23 · 12:30A. Walek1.9111911113V. Zidek1.80611851WAug 23 · 11:30V. Zidek1.571191110113D. Heczko2.2581191272
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