TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13041854
Played Aug 30Finished
Vaclav Zidek
Home
2.10
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 3
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1199111210411611
Samuel Byrtus
Away
1.67
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:33 and never touched — 54.6% is still 54.6%
Graded at full timeSamuel Byrtus to win
54.6%
54.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVaclav Zidek above · Samuel Byrtus below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 12-10
Set 4 · 4-11
Set 5 · 6-11
Point 94 set 5, 6-11 — our read held Samuel Byrtus at 54.6%
94 points played in total.
H2H Vaclav Zidek 1–9 Samuel Byrtus Vaclav Zidek has won 1 of their 10 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 13:33What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Byrtus
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-9 in 10
Byrtus
Correct
gap of 8 in 10, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Zidek 1607 vs Byrtus 1676
Byrtus
Correct
both rated, 68 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Zidek 20% vs Byrtus 60%
Byrtus
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Zidek 50% vs Byrtus 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Zidek -3 · Byrtus +1
Zidek
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Byrtus) · live re-read · sealed at 55% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zidek form (20%) is below what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZidek 2.10 / Byrtus 1.67
Signal prob.42% / 58%
Edge (Byrtus)+2.4pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13041854
Zidek2.10
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog43% won 27 of 63
Down 0–1, comes back23% 8 of 35
Down 0–2, comes back14% 3 of 22
Byrtus1.67
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite59% won 88 of 149
Up 2–0, closes it91% 39 of 43
Up 1–0, closes it71% 62 of 87
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeZidek1wins
AwayByrtus9wins
7 of 10 to a deciderByrtus leads 9–1, and 7 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeZidek0%0 of 5
AwayByrtus80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Zidek5Byrtus5n = 10split evenly
S2Zidek5Byrtus5n = 10split evenly
S3Zidek3Byrtus7n = 10Byrtus took 7 of 10
S4Zidek2Byrtus6n = 8Byrtus took 6 of 8
S5Zidek1Byrtus6n = 7Byrtus took 6 of 7
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away660%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricZidekByrtusZ − BBasisWins19−8in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match37.145.3−8.2per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZidekByrtusBasisWin rate · lifetime235 / 417 vs 300 / 58056.4%51.7%235 / 417 vs 300 / 580Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.938.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ByrtusZidek 2.10/Byrtus 1.67
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
58.2%
Byrtus · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Byrtus won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 30 · 19:30V. Zidek—11912462S. Byrtus—9111011113
WAug 23 · 10:30V. Zidek—211911123S. Byrtus—118118102
LAug 2 · 12:30V. Zidek—11119762S. Byrtus—721111113
LMay 10 · 21:30V. Zidek—111111642S. Byrtus—781311113
LMay 10 · 18:30V. Zidek—68121172S. Byrtus—1111108113
LNov 2 · 21:30V. Zidek—119731S. Byrtus—71111113
LOct 14 · 13:30V. Zidek—51111662S. Byrtus—117911113
LOct 14 · 11:30V. Zidek—51060S. Byrtus—1112113
LSep 15 · 09:30V. Zidek—41140S. Byrtus—1113113
LSep 15 · 07:30V. Zidek—14116492S. Byrtus—1271111113
V. Zidek10
LAug 30 · 20:59A. Walek1.631111143V. Zidek2.1385120LAug 30 · 20:30D. Machander1.6111811113V. Zidek2.20911871LAug 30 · 18:30A. Walek1.911411113V. Zidek1.8012340LAug 30 · 17:01V. Zidek1.839850E. Rychlik1.831111113LAug 30 · 16:30R. Skacelik1.50111210113V. Zidek2.502101251WAug 30 · 15:30V. Zidek2.001311113E. Rychlik1.7311850LAug 30 · 14:30D. Heczko2.201711113V. Zidek1.6115540WAug 23 · 13:30D. Heczko2.63413118122V. Zidek1.441111611143LAug 23 · 12:30A. Walek1.9111911113V. Zidek1.80611851WAug 23 · 11:30V. Zidek1.571191110113D. Heczko2.2581191272
S. Byrtus10
LSep 2 · 16:59D. Heczko1.83118711113S. Byrtus1.8381111572LSep 2 · 16:00D. Heczko1.911211113S. Byrtus1.8010850LSep 2 · 15:00A. Walek2.0011911123S. Byrtus1.738116101LSep 2 · 14:30S. Byrtus1.73211661D. Langer2.0011911113WSep 1 · 09:30J. Cabak1.80111271672S. Byrtus1.915101118113WSep 1 · 08:00L. Martinak1.83113101172S. Byrtus1.83711126113LSep 1 · 07:00J. Cabak1.8311117113S. Byrtus1.83651171WSep 1 · 06:30S. Byrtus2.001111113J. Snr1.738770WAug 31 · 09:07D. Langer2.254980S. Byrtus1.571111113LAug 31 · 08:00S. Byrtus1.91814110D. Heczko1.801116133
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