TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13036616
Played Aug 29Finished
Evzen Rychlik
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 7Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 7
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
611118511116811
Richard Skacelik
Away
1.83
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:00 and never touched — 54.5% is still 54.5%
Graded at full timeRichard Skacelik to win
54.5%
54.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingEvzen Rychlik above · Richard Skacelik below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 5-11
Set 4 · 11-6
Set 5 · 8-11
Point 88 set 5, 8-11 — our read held Richard Skacelik at 54.5%
88 points played in total.
H2H Evzen Rychlik 7–11 Richard Skacelik Evzen Rychlik has won 7 of their 18 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 15:00What took a side2 for · 4 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Skacelik
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
7-11 in 18
Skacelik
Correct
gap of 4 in 18, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Rychlik 1670 vs Skacelik 1657
Rychlik
Wrong
both rated, 13 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Rychlik 100% vs Skacelik 60%
Rychlik
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Rychlik 90% vs Skacelik 60%
Rychlik
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Rychlik +5 · Skacelik +2
Rychlik
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Rychlik) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Rychlik form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsRychlik 1.83 / Skacelik 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Rychlik)+4.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13036616
Rychlik1.83
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Won last 7
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Skacelik1.83
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeRychlik3wins
AwaySkacelik7wins
5 of 10 to a deciderSkacelik leads 7–3, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeRychlik33.3%1 of 3
AwaySkacelik71.4%5 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Rychlik3Skacelik7n = 10Skacelik took 7 of 10
S2Rychlik5Skacelik5n = 10split evenly
S3Rychlik6Skacelik4n = 10Rychlik took 6 of 10
S4Rychlik4Skacelik4n = 8split evenly
S5Rychlik1Skacelik4n = 5Skacelik took 4 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricRychlikSkacelikR − SBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match39.341.2−1.9per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricRychlikSkacelikBasisWin rate · lifetime140 / 254 vs 200 / 42155.1%47.5%140 / 254 vs 200 / 421Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.039.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
RychlikRychlik 1.83/Skacelik 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Rychlik · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Skacelik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 29 · 16:00E. Rychlik—61151182R. Skacelik—118116113
LJul 26 · 08:58E. Rychlik—5890R. Skacelik—1111113
WJul 26 · 08:30E. Rychlik—1811133R. Skacelik—167110
LJun 28 · 13:00E. Rychlik—68111262R. Skacelik—1111810113
LJun 28 · 11:00E. Rychlik—1151251R. Skacelik—61114113
LJun 14 · 17:30E. Rychlik—81111992R. Skacelik—116611113
LJun 14 · 16:00E. Rychlik—111151122R. Skacelik—913116113
LJun 6 · 20:59E. Rychlik—751191R. Skacelik—11112113
WJun 6 · 20:30E. Rychlik—101111113R. Skacelik—127381
WMay 17 · 09:30E. Rychlik—911117113R. Skacelik—11961182
E. Rychlik10
WAug 30 · 17:01V. Zidek1.839850E. Rychlik1.831111113LAug 30 · 16:00E. Rychlik1.6171080D. Heczko2.201112113LAug 30 · 15:30V. Zidek2.001311113E. Rychlik1.7311850WAug 30 · 14:00E. Rychlik1.801211123R. Skacelik1.91108100WAug 29 · 17:30R. Skacelik1.8387100E. Rychlik1.831111123WAug 29 · 15:30D. Langer2.10911111432E. Rychlik1.671141312113WAug 29 · 14:00E. Rychlik1.53118211113D. Machander2.3841111862WAug 21 · 13:29E. Rychlik1.2871113113S. Byrtus3.501131171WAug 21 · 12:00S. Byrtus3.00119771E. Rychlik1.3671111113WAug 21 · 11:00D. Heczko2.101241181E. Rychlik1.6714119113
R. Skacelik10
WSep 6 · 17:29D. Langer1.8016711972R. Skacelik1.911411911113WSep 6 · 16:00R. Skacelik1.831311113J. Schwan1.8311730WSep 6 · 15:30J. Levicky2.25115861R. Skacelik1.5761111113LSep 6 · 14:00R. Skacelik1.6741171162D. Langer2.10115116113WSep 2 · 17:00J. Stoch1.6711135892R. Skacelik2.104111111113LSep 2 · 16:00L. Martinak2.0011111113R. Skacelik1.73911881LSep 2 · 15:00J. Schwan1.8381111133R. Skacelik1.831195111LSep 2 · 14:30R. Skacelik1.915111091J. Stoch1.8011512113LAug 30 · 14:00E. Rychlik1.801211123R. Skacelik1.91108100LAug 29 · 17:30R. Skacelik1.8387100E. Rychlik1.831111123
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.