TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #12464773
Played Aug 21Finished
David Heczko
Home
2.10
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1214411119811––
Evzen Rychlik
Away
1.67
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:34 and never touched — 61.7% is still 61.7%
Graded at full timeEvzen Rychlik to win
61.7%
61.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingDavid Heczko above · Evzen Rychlik below
Set 1 · 12-14
Set 2 · 4-11
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 8-11
Point 80 set 4, 8-11 — our read held Evzen Rychlik at 61.7%
80 points played in total.
H2H David Heczko 1–1 Evzen Rychlik Dead even across their 2 meetings.
Last 2 · 1–1Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 10:34What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Rychlik
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-1 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Heczko 1606 vs Rychlik 1571
Heczko
Wrong
both rated, 35 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Heczko 60% vs Rychlik 80%
Rychlik
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Heczko 40% vs Rychlik 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Heczko -1 · Rychlik +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Rychlik) · live re-read · sealed at 62% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Rychlik form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHeczko 2.10 / Rychlik 1.67
Signal prob.44% / 56%
Edge (Rychlik)+0.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #12464773
Heczko2.10
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog51% won 53 of 104
Down 0–1, comes back26% 12 of 46
Down 0–2, comes back7% 2 of 28
Rychlik1.67
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite54% won 29 of 54
Up 2–0, closes it91% 10 of 11
Up 1–0, closes it73% 16 of 22
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeHeczko1wins
AwayRychlik1wins
1 of 2 to a deciderLevel at 1–1, and 1 of those 2 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away1
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricHeczkoRychlikH − RBasisWins110in 2 meetingsFirst set20+2of 2Avg pointsper match44.544.0+0.5per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHeczkoRychlikBasisWin rate · lifetime243 / 441 vs 139 / 25455.1%54.7%243 / 441 vs 139 / 254Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.138.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
RychlikHeczko 2.10/Rychlik 1.67
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
55.8%
Rychlik · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Rychlik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
LAug 8 · 09:30D. Heczko—11651192E. Rychlik—811116113
WAug 8 · 08:00D. Heczko—121311113E. Rychlik—1015791
D. Heczko10
LSep 5 · 13:04D. Heczko3.257240D. Langer1.331111113LSep 5 · 12:00M. Bereiter1.53148811133D. Heczko2.381211118112WSep 5 · 11:00D. Langer1.8016911562D. Heczko1.911411711113LSep 5 · 10:30D. Heczko1.61871151A. Walek2.2011117113LSep 5 · 09:29D. Heczko1.57139281J. Snr2.25111111113WSep 5 · 08:00L. Martinak1.809980D. Heczko1.911111113LSep 5 · 07:00A. Walek2.10121112113D. Heczko1.671481071WSep 5 · 06:30D. Heczko1.6771511113J. Snr2.101113971WSep 2 · 16:59D. Heczko1.83118711113S. Byrtus1.8381111572WSep 2 · 16:00D. Heczko1.911211113S. Byrtus1.8010850
E. Rychlik10
WAug 30 · 17:01V. Zidek1.839850E. Rychlik1.831111113LAug 30 · 16:00E. Rychlik1.6171080D. Heczko2.201112113LAug 30 · 15:30V. Zidek2.001311113E. Rychlik1.7311850WAug 30 · 14:00E. Rychlik1.801211123R. Skacelik1.91108100WAug 29 · 17:30R. Skacelik1.8387100E. Rychlik1.831111123LAug 29 · 16:00E. Rychlik1.8361151182R. Skacelik1.83118116113WAug 29 · 15:30D. Langer2.10911111432E. Rychlik1.671141312113WAug 29 · 14:00E. Rychlik1.53118211113D. Machander2.3841111862WAug 21 · 13:29E. Rychlik1.2871113113S. Byrtus3.501131171WAug 21 · 12:00S. Byrtus3.00119771E. Rychlik1.3671111113
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