TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13036374
Played Aug 29Finished
Daniel Langer
Home
2.10
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
91111411131412311
Evzen Rychlik
Away
1.67
At publish
Won last 6Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 6
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:12 and never touched — 57.5% is still 57.5%
Graded at full timeEvzen Rychlik to win
57.5%
57.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingDaniel Langer above · Evzen Rychlik below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-4
Set 3 · 11-13
Set 4 · 14-12
Set 5 · 3-6
Point 94 set 5, 3-6 — our read held Evzen Rychlik at 57.5%
94 points drawn · the score is 5 ahead; the rest land in a moment.
H2H Daniel Langer 0–1 Evzen Rychlik Daniel Langer has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 14:12What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Rychlik
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Langer 1651 vs Rychlik 1670
Rychlik
Correct
both rated, 18 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Langer 40% vs Rychlik 100%
Rychlik
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Langer 60% vs Rychlik 80%
Rychlik
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Langer -1 · Rychlik +5
Rychlik
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Rychlik) · live re-read · sealed at 58% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Rychlik form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLanger 2.10 / Rychlik 1.67
Signal prob.44% / 56%
Edge (Rychlik)+0.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13036374
Langer2.10
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog47% won 9 of 19
Down 0–1, comes back33% 4 of 12
Down 0–2, comes back14% 1 of 7
Rychlik1.67
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 6
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite59% won 32 of 54
Up 2–0, closes it92% 12 of 13
Up 1–0, closes it78% 18 of 23
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeLanger0wins
AwayRychlik1wins
1 of 1 to a deciderRychlik leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away1
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricLangerRychlikL − RBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match48.051.0−3.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLangerRychlikBasisWin rate · lifetime88 / 123 vs 140 / 25471.5%55.1%88 / 123 vs 140 / 254Avg sets wonper match2.42.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.738.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
RychlikLanger 2.10/Rychlik 1.67
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
55.8%
Rychlik · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Rychlik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LAug 29 · 15:30D. Langer—911111432E. Rychlik—1141312113
D. Langer10
LSep 6 · 17:29D. Langer1.8016711972R. Skacelik1.911411911113WSep 6 · 16:30D. Langer1.67111138113J. Levicky2.1031111142WSep 6 · 15:00D. Langer1.9114511113J. Schwan1.801211561WSep 6 · 14:00R. Skacelik1.6741171162D. Langer2.10115116113WSep 5 · 13:04D. Heczko3.257240D. Langer1.331111113WSep 5 · 12:30D. Langer1.91791111113A. Walek1.8011116972LSep 5 · 11:00D. Langer1.8016911562D. Heczko1.911411711113LSep 5 · 10:00M. Bereiter1.5315118113D. Langer2.381321161WSep 2 · 17:30A. Walek1.61115581D. Langer2.0561111113LSep 2 · 16:30A. Walek1.7311911113D. Langer2.00711971
E. Rychlik10
WAug 30 · 17:01V. Zidek1.839850E. Rychlik1.831111113LAug 30 · 16:00E. Rychlik1.6171080D. Heczko2.201112113LAug 30 · 15:30V. Zidek2.001311113E. Rychlik1.7311850WAug 30 · 14:00E. Rychlik1.801211123R. Skacelik1.91108100WAug 29 · 17:30R. Skacelik1.8387100E. Rychlik1.831111123LAug 29 · 16:00E. Rychlik1.8361151182R. Skacelik1.83118116113WAug 29 · 14:00E. Rychlik1.53118211113D. Machander2.3841111862WAug 21 · 13:29E. Rychlik1.2871113113S. Byrtus3.501131171WAug 21 · 12:00S. Byrtus3.00119771E. Rychlik1.3671111113WAug 21 · 11:00D. Heczko2.101241181E. Rychlik1.6714119113
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