TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13042164
Played Aug 30Finished
Evzen Rychlik
Home
1.80
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
12101181210––––
Richard Skacelik
Away
1.91
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:17 and never touched — 54.3% is still 54.3%
Graded at full timeEvzen Rychlik to win
54.3%
54.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingEvzen Rychlik above · Richard Skacelik below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 11-10
Point 62 set 3, 11-10 — our read held Evzen Rychlik at 54.3%
62 points drawn · the score is 1 ahead; the rest land in a moment.
H2H Evzen Rychlik 9–11 Richard Skacelik Evzen Rychlik has won 9 of their 20 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 14:17What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Rychlik
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
9-11 in 20
Skacelik
Wrong
gap of 2 in 20, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Rychlik 1642 vs Skacelik 1666
Skacelik
Wrong
both rated, 24 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Rychlik 80% vs Skacelik 60%
Rychlik
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Rychlik 80% vs Skacelik 60%
Rychlik
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Rychlik +1 · Skacelik -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Rychlik)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Rychlik form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsRychlik 1.80 / Skacelik 1.91
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Rychlik)+2.5pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13042164
Rychlik1.80
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite60% won 34 of 57
Up 2–0, closes it92% 12 of 13
Up 1–0, closes it80% 20 of 25
Skacelik1.91
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog45% won 94 of 208
Down 0–1, comes back26% 28 of 107
Down 0–2, comes back10% 5 of 50
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeRychlik3wins
AwaySkacelik7wins
4 of 10 to a deciderSkacelik leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeRychlik60%3 of 5
AwaySkacelik100%5 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Rychlik5Skacelik5n = 10split evenly
S2Rychlik5Skacelik5n = 10split evenly
S3Rychlik6Skacelik4n = 10Rychlik took 6 of 10
S4Rychlik3Skacelik3n = 6split evenly
S5Rychlik0Skacelik4n = 4Skacelik took 4 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricRychlikSkacelikR − SBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match37.039.0−2.0per matchSweeps31+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricRychlikSkacelikBasisWin rate · lifetime142 / 258 vs 202 / 42555%47.5%142 / 258 vs 202 / 425Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.939.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
RychlikRychlik 1.80/Skacelik 1.91
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Rychlik · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Rychlik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 30 · 14:00E. Rychlik—1211123R. Skacelik—108100
WAug 29 · 17:30E. Rychlik—1111123R. Skacelik—87100
LAug 29 · 16:00E. Rychlik—61151182R. Skacelik—118116113
LJul 26 · 08:58E. Rychlik—5890R. Skacelik—1111113
WJul 26 · 08:30E. Rychlik—1811133R. Skacelik—167110
LJun 28 · 13:00E. Rychlik—68111262R. Skacelik—1111810113
LJun 28 · 11:00E. Rychlik—1151251R. Skacelik—61114113
LJun 14 · 17:30E. Rychlik—81111992R. Skacelik—116611113
LJun 14 · 16:00E. Rychlik—111151122R. Skacelik—913116113
LJun 6 · 20:59E. Rychlik—751191R. Skacelik—11112113
E. Rychlik10
WAug 30 · 17:01V. Zidek1.839850E. Rychlik1.831111113LAug 30 · 16:00E. Rychlik1.6171080D. Heczko2.201112113LAug 30 · 15:30V. Zidek2.001311113E. Rychlik1.7311850WAug 29 · 17:30R. Skacelik1.8387100E. Rychlik1.831111123LAug 29 · 16:00E. Rychlik1.8361151182R. Skacelik1.83118116113WAug 29 · 15:30D. Langer2.10911111432E. Rychlik1.671141312113WAug 29 · 14:00E. Rychlik1.53118211113D. Machander2.3841111862WAug 21 · 13:29E. Rychlik1.2871113113S. Byrtus3.501131171WAug 21 · 12:00S. Byrtus3.00119771E. Rychlik1.3671111113WAug 21 · 11:00D. Heczko2.101241181E. Rychlik1.6714119113
R. Skacelik10
WSep 6 · 17:29D. Langer1.8016711972R. Skacelik1.911411911113WSep 6 · 16:00R. Skacelik1.831311113J. Schwan1.8311730WSep 6 · 15:30J. Levicky2.25115861R. Skacelik1.5761111113LSep 6 · 14:00R. Skacelik1.6741171162D. Langer2.10115116113WSep 2 · 17:00J. Stoch1.6711135892R. Skacelik2.104111111113LSep 2 · 16:00L. Martinak2.0011111113R. Skacelik1.73911881LSep 2 · 15:00J. Schwan1.8381111133R. Skacelik1.831195111LSep 2 · 14:30R. Skacelik1.915111091J. Stoch1.8011512113LAug 29 · 17:30R. Skacelik1.8387100E. Rychlik1.831111123WAug 29 · 16:00E. Rychlik1.8361151182R. Skacelik1.83118116113
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