TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #12465791
Played Aug 21Finished
Samuel Byrtus
Home
3.00
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
117911711711––
Evzen Rychlik
Away
1.36
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:14 and never touched — 68.8% is still 68.8%
Graded at full timeEvzen Rychlik to win
68.8%
68.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingSamuel Byrtus above · Evzen Rychlik below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 7-11
Point 74 set 4, 7-11 — our read held Evzen Rychlik at 68.8%
74 points played in total.
H2H Samuel Byrtus 0–2 Evzen Rychlik Samuel Byrtus has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 14:14What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.36 (69%)
Rychlik
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-2 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Byrtus 1665 vs Rychlik 1584
Byrtus
Wrong
both rated, 81 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Byrtus 80% vs Rychlik 80%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Byrtus 70% vs Rychlik 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Byrtus +2 · Rychlik +3
Rychlik
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 69% — Clear lean (leans Rychlik)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Byrtus form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (33%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsByrtus 3.00 / Rychlik 1.36
Signal prob.31% / 69%
Edge (Rychlik)+0.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #12465791
Byrtus3.00
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog45% won 71 of 158
Down 0–1, comes back26% 22 of 85
Down 0–2, comes back7% 3 of 43
Rychlik1.36
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite54% won 29 of 54
Up 2–0, closes it91% 10 of 11
Up 1–0, closes it73% 16 of 22
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeByrtus0wins
AwayRychlik2wins
Rychlik leads 2–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away1
0–3Straight, away1
These 2 meetings
MetricByrtusRychlikB − RBasisWins02−2in 2 meetingsFirst set02−2of 2Avg pointsper match25.537.5−12.0per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricByrtusRychlikBasisWin rate · lifetime288 / 567 vs 140 / 25550.8%54.9%288 / 567 vs 140 / 255Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.038.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
RychlikByrtus 3.00/Rychlik 1.36
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
68.8%
Rychlik · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Rychlik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
LAug 8 · 07:00S. Byrtus—9680E. Rychlik—1111113
LJul 12 · 12:00S. Byrtus—681131E. Rychlik—11119113
S. Byrtus10
LSep 2 · 16:59D. Heczko1.83118711113S. Byrtus1.8381111572LSep 2 · 16:00D. Heczko1.911211113S. Byrtus1.8010850LSep 2 · 15:00A. Walek2.0011911123S. Byrtus1.738116101LSep 2 · 14:30S. Byrtus1.73211661D. Langer2.0011911113WSep 1 · 09:30J. Cabak1.80111271672S. Byrtus1.915101118113WSep 1 · 08:00L. Martinak1.83113101172S. Byrtus1.83711126113LSep 1 · 07:00J. Cabak1.8311117113S. Byrtus1.83651171WSep 1 · 06:30S. Byrtus2.001111113J. Snr1.738770WAug 31 · 09:07D. Langer2.254980S. Byrtus1.571111113LAug 31 · 08:00S. Byrtus1.91814110D. Heczko1.801116133
E. Rychlik10
WAug 30 · 17:01V. Zidek1.839850E. Rychlik1.831111113LAug 30 · 16:00E. Rychlik1.6171080D. Heczko2.201112113LAug 30 · 15:30V. Zidek2.001311113E. Rychlik1.7311850WAug 30 · 14:00E. Rychlik1.801211123R. Skacelik1.91108100WAug 29 · 17:30R. Skacelik1.8387100E. Rychlik1.831111123LAug 29 · 16:00E. Rychlik1.8361151182R. Skacelik1.83118116113WAug 29 · 15:30D. Langer2.10911111432E. Rychlik1.671141312113WAug 29 · 14:00E. Rychlik1.53118211113D. Machander2.3841111862WAug 21 · 13:29E. Rychlik1.2871113113S. Byrtus3.501131171WAug 21 · 11:00D. Heczko2.101241181E. Rychlik1.6714119113
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.