TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13042171
Played Aug 30Finished
Marcel Heczko
Home
2.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
117117118––––
Dalimil Machander
Away
1.73
At publish
Lost last 9Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 9
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:19 and never touched — 64.6% is still 64.6%
Graded at full timeMarcel Heczko to win
64.6%
64.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMarcel Heczko above · Dalimil Machander below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 11-8
Point 55 set 3, 11-8 — our read held Marcel Heczko at 64.6%
55 points played in total.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 14:19What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Machander
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Heczko 1579 vs Machander 1512
Heczko
Correct
both rated, 67 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Heczko 60% vs Machander 0%
Heczko
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Heczko 30% vs Machander 10%
Heczko
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Heczko +1 · Machander -5
Machander
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Machander) · live re-read · sealed at 35% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Machander form (0%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHeczko 2.00 / Machander 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Heczko)-0.3pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13042171
Heczko2.00
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog41% won 63 of 152
Down 0–1, comes back23% 20 of 86
Down 0–2, comes back7% 3 of 45
Machander1.73
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 9
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite55% won 53 of 96
Up 2–0, closes it81% 17 of 21
Up 1–0, closes it67% 37 of 55
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricHeczkoMachanderBasisWin rate · lifetime271 / 565 vs 155 / 33248%46.7%271 / 565 vs 155 / 332Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.740.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MachanderHeczko 2.00/Machander 1.73
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Machander · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Heczko won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
M. Heczko10
WSep 7 · 07:30M. Heczko1.831113143A. Rinka1.83611120WSep 7 · 06:30J. Levicky1.804111081M. Heczko1.9111912113WSep 4 · 08:59M. Heczko1.7311411113M. Volny2.00811551WSep 4 · 08:00M. Heczko1.73911911113M. Volny2.0011811892LSep 4 · 07:30R. Vavrecka1.6161111113M. Heczko2.20117891LSep 4 · 06:00M. Heczko1.50117991A. Rinka2.5071111113LSep 3 · 13:29P. Danko1.44118119113M. Heczko2.6391181192LSep 3 · 12:00P. Danko1.571111133M. Heczko2.2569110WSep 3 · 11:00M. Volny2.00111011582M. Heczko1.73612811113WSep 3 · 10:30M. Heczko1.5371111113A. Rinka2.38119471
D. Machander10
LAug 31 · 09:28D. Machander1.8312971152D. Heczko1.831011119113LAug 31 · 08:30D. Langer1.73117711193D. Machander2.00911116172WAug 31 · 07:30D. Machander2.2511119113S. Byrtus1.57591121WAug 31 · 06:30D. Heczko1.736680D. Machander2.001111113LAug 30 · 21:29S. Byrtus1.57611117123D. Machander2.25114911102WAug 30 · 20:30D. Machander1.6111811113V. Zidek2.20911871WAug 30 · 19:00D. Machander1.911111113A. Walek1.807790LAug 30 · 18:00S. Byrtus1.671111113D. Machander2.108970LAug 30 · 13:14D. Langer1.98143115113D. Machander1.73121191142WAug 30 · 12:00D. Machander1.911111113D. Langer1.805560
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