TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13003506
Played Aug 25Finished
Vladimir Adamczyk
Home
2.00
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
5111191210811611
Jaroslav Schwan
Away
1.73
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:09 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJaroslav Schwan to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVladimir Adamczyk above · Jaroslav Schwan below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 12-10
Set 4 · 8-11
Set 5 · 6-11
Point 94 set 5, 6-11 — our read held Jaroslav Schwan at 54.0%
94 points played in total.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 15:09What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Schwan
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Adamczyk 1579 vs Schwan 1542
Adamczyk
Wrong
both rated, 37 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Adamczyk 20% vs Schwan 60%
Schwan
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Adamczyk 40% vs Schwan 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Adamczyk -3 · Schwan -1
Adamczyk
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Schwan)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Adamczyk form (20%) is below what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsAdamczyk 2.00 / Schwan 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Schwan)+0.3pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13003506
Adamczyk2.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog48% won 31 of 64
Down 0–1, comes back36% 14 of 39
Down 0–2, comes back14% 3 of 21
Schwan1.73
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite61% won 49 of 81
Up 2–0, closes it96% 22 of 23
Up 1–0, closes it74% 32 of 43
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricAdamczykSchwanBasisWin rate · lifetime100 / 180 vs 117 / 25055.6%46.8%100 / 180 vs 117 / 250Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.737.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SchwanAdamczyk 2.00/Schwan 1.73
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Schwan · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Schwan won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
V. Adamczyk10
WAug 25 · 21:05V. Adamczyk2.2591111113R. Vavrecka1.57116271LAug 25 · 20:00V. Adamczyk1.83411481D. Langer1.8311811113WAug 25 · 19:30R. Vavrecka1.8381191192V. Adamczyk1.83116114113LAug 24 · 08:58D. Oborny1.73111210113V. Adamczyk2.007101281LAug 24 · 08:30V. Adamczyk1.61451161D. Oborny2.2011118113LAug 24 · 07:00V. Adamczyk1.914850A. Walek1.801111113WAug 24 · 06:00D. Heczko2.10811891V. Adamczyk1.6711711113LAug 19 · 21:30V. Adamczyk1.39125811J. Hutnik2.55101111113WAug 19 · 20:00V. Adamczyk2.201411113J. Hutnik1.6112670WAug 19 · 19:30M. Heczko2.5061113642V. Adamczyk1.501151111113
J. Schwan10
LSep 6 · 16:59J. Levicky3.401312113J. Schwan1.30111080LSep 6 · 16:00R. Skacelik1.831311113J. Schwan1.8311730LSep 6 · 15:00D. Langer1.9114511113J. Schwan1.801211561LSep 6 · 14:30J. Schwan1.2811870J. Levicky3.501311113LSep 2 · 17:30L. Martinak1.80119114113J. Schwan1.8081151192WSep 2 · 16:30J. Schwan1.361111113J. Stoch3.007840WSep 2 · 15:00J. Schwan1.8381111133R. Skacelik1.831195111LSep 2 · 14:00L. Martinak1.8341111113J. Schwan1.83116691LAug 25 · 21:28J. Schwan1.50118571D. Langer2.5051111113WAug 25 · 20:30J. Schwan2.00411126113R. Vavrecka1.73115101162
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