TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #12481118
Played Aug 24Finished
Vladimir Adamczyk
Home
1.62
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
411511118611––
Dominik Oborny
Away
2.20
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 16:53 and never touched — 58.7% is still 58.7%
Graded at full timeVladimir Adamczyk to win
58.7%
58.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingVladimir Adamczyk above · Dominik Oborny below
Set 1 · 4-11
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 6-11
Point 67 set 4, 6-11 — our read held Vladimir Adamczyk at 58.7%
67 points played in total.
H2H Vladimir Adamczyk 5–3 Dominik Oborny Dominik Oborny has won 3 of their 8 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 16:53What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Adamczyk
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-3 in 8
Adamczyk
Wrong
gap of 2 in 8, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Adamczyk 1603 vs Oborny 1588
Adamczyk
Wrong
both rated, 15 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Adamczyk 60% vs Oborny 20%
Adamczyk
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Adamczyk 50% vs Oborny 30%
Adamczyk
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Adamczyk -1 · Oborny -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Adamczyk)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Oborny form (20%) is below what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsAdamczyk 1.61 / Oborny 2.20
Signal prob.59% / 41%
Edge (Adamczyk)+1.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #12481118
Adamczyk1.61
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite59% won 64 of 109
Up 2–0, closes it97% 31 of 32
Up 1–0, closes it80% 51 of 64
Oborny2.20
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog41% won 60 of 146
Down 0–1, comes back24% 21 of 89
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 42
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 8 meetings
HomeAdamczyk5wins
AwayOborny3wins
3 of 8 to a deciderAdamczyk leads 5–3, and 3 of those 8 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeAdamczyk100%4 of 4
AwayOborny75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 8 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Adamczyk4Oborny4n = 8split evenly
S2Adamczyk5Oborny3n = 8Adamczyk took 5 of 8
S3Adamczyk4Oborny4n = 8split evenly
S4Adamczyk3Oborny2n = 5Adamczyk took 3 of 5
S5Adamczyk2Oborny1n = 3Adamczyk took 2 of 3
How those 8 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 8 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home225%
3–1Four sets, home113%
3–2Decider, home225%
2–3Decider, away113%
1–3Four sets, away113%
0–3Straight, away113%
These 8 meetings
MetricAdamczykObornyA − OBasisWins53+2in 8 meetingsFirst set440of 8Avg pointsper match40.637.2+3.4per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricAdamczykObornyBasisWin rate · lifetime100 / 178 vs 315 / 60756.2%51.9%100 / 178 vs 315 / 607Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.837.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
AdamczykAdamczyk 1.61/Oborny 2.20
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
58.7%
Adamczyk · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Oborny won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record8
WAug 19 · 18:00V. Adamczyk—111197113D. Oborny—88111182
LAug 5 · 20:58V. Adamczyk—5590D. Oborny—1111113
LAug 5 · 19:00V. Adamczyk—841181D. Oborny—11117113
LJun 8 · 19:00V. Adamczyk—1111811102D. Oborny—135117123
WJun 7 · 08:00V. Adamczyk—61111113D. Oborny—118771
WMay 13 · 20:00V. Adamczyk—11111511113D. Oborny—71317592
WMay 9 · 06:00V. Adamczyk—1111113D. Oborny—5420
WMar 23 · 07:00V. Adamczyk—2211113D. Oborny—20970
V. Adamczyk10
WAug 25 · 21:05V. Adamczyk2.2591111113R. Vavrecka1.57116271LAug 25 · 20:00V. Adamczyk1.83411481D. Langer1.8311811113WAug 25 · 19:30R. Vavrecka1.8381191192V. Adamczyk1.83116114113LAug 25 · 18:00V. Adamczyk2.0051112862J. Schwan1.731191011113LAug 24 · 08:58D. Oborny1.73111210113V. Adamczyk2.007101281LAug 24 · 07:00V. Adamczyk1.914850A. Walek1.801111113WAug 24 · 06:00D. Heczko2.10811891V. Adamczyk1.6711711113LAug 19 · 21:30V. Adamczyk1.39125811J. Hutnik2.55101111113WAug 19 · 20:00V. Adamczyk2.201411113J. Hutnik1.6112670WAug 19 · 19:30M. Heczko2.5061113642V. Adamczyk1.501151111113
D. Oborny10
WSep 7 · 08:30D. Oborny1.8011116113M. Heczko1.91961191WSep 7 · 07:00D. Oborny1.83111169113J. Levicky1.8387111162LSep 7 · 06:00A. Rinka1.671011311113D. Oborny2.1012611762WSep 2 · 20:58D. Oborny1.731191112113J. Levicky2.0061161482LSep 2 · 20:00D. Oborny1.73911891J. Levicky2.0011711113LSep 2 · 19:30L. Velicka2.255111111123D. Oborny1.57119137102WSep 2 · 18:00D. Oborny1.801111113T. Milota1.914790WAug 31 · 20:58M. Heczko2.0078111152D. Oborny1.73111199113LAug 31 · 20:00D. Oborny1.91411110M. Heczko1.801113133WAug 24 · 08:58D. Oborny1.73111210113V. Adamczyk2.007101281
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