TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #12462422
Played Aug 19Finished
Vladimir Adamczyk
Home
1.39
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 3
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1210511811111––
Jakub Hutnik
Away
2.55
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:21 and never touched — 57.7% is still 57.7%
Graded at full timeVladimir Adamczyk to win
57.7%
57.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingVladimir Adamczyk above · Jakub Hutnik below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 1-11
Point 69 set 4, 1-11 — our read held Vladimir Adamczyk at 57.7%
69 points played in total.
H2H Vladimir Adamczyk 2–3 Jakub Hutnik Vladimir Adamczyk has won 2 of their 5 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 21:21What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.39 (65%)
Adamczyk
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-3 in 5
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Adamczyk 1606 vs Hutnik 1719
Hutnik
Correct
both rated, 114 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Adamczyk 60% vs Hutnik 80%
Hutnik
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Adamczyk 50% vs Hutnik 80%
Hutnik
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Adamczyk +3 · Hutnik -1
Adamczyk
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Adamczyk) · live re-read · sealed at 58% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hutnik form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (39%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsAdamczyk 1.39 / Hutnik 2.55
Signal prob.57% / 43%
Edge (Adamczyk)-8.0pp (anti-value)
Czech Liga Pro · #12462422
Adamczyk1.39
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite59% won 62 of 106
Up 2–0, closes it97% 30 of 31
Up 1–0, closes it80% 49 of 61
Hutnik2.55
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog64% won 9 of 14
Down 0–1, comes back33% 2 of 6
Down 0–2, comes back20% 1 of 5
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomeAdamczyk2wins
AwayHutnik3wins
1 of 5 to a deciderHutnik leads 3–2, and 1 of those 5 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeAdamczyk66.7%2 of 3
AwayHutnikn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Adamczyk3Hutnik2n = 5Adamczyk took 3 of 5
S2Adamczyk3Hutnik2n = 5Adamczyk took 3 of 5
S3Adamczyk3Hutnik2n = 5Adamczyk took 3 of 5
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home240%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away120%
1–3Four sets, away120%
0–3Straight, away120%
These 5 meetings
MetricAdamczykHutnikA − HBasisWins23−1in 5 meetingsFirst set32+1of 5Avg pointsper match33.035.4−2.4per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricAdamczykHutnikBasisWin rate · lifetime99 / 176 vs 18 / 2856.3%64.3%99 / 176 vs 18 / 28Avg sets wonper match2.22.3per matchAvg pointsper match38.936.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
AdamczykAdamczyk 1.39/Hutnik 2.55
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
56.7%
Adamczyk · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Hutnik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
LAug 19 · 21:30V. Adamczyk—125811J. Hutnik—101111113
WAug 19 · 20:00V. Adamczyk—1411113J. Hutnik—12670
LAug 13 · 13:30V. Adamczyk—91111972J. Hutnik—116911113
LAug 13 · 12:30V. Adamczyk—11570J. Hutnik—1311113
WAug 13 · 08:30V. Adamczyk—1111113J. Hutnik—9980
V. Adamczyk10
WAug 25 · 21:05V. Adamczyk2.2591111113R. Vavrecka1.57116271LAug 25 · 20:00V. Adamczyk1.83411481D. Langer1.8311811113WAug 25 · 19:30R. Vavrecka1.8381191192V. Adamczyk1.83116114113LAug 25 · 18:00V. Adamczyk2.0051112862J. Schwan1.731191011113LAug 24 · 08:58D. Oborny1.73111210113V. Adamczyk2.007101281LAug 24 · 08:30V. Adamczyk1.61451161D. Oborny2.2011118113LAug 24 · 07:00V. Adamczyk1.914850A. Walek1.801111113WAug 24 · 06:00D. Heczko2.10811891V. Adamczyk1.6711711113WAug 19 · 20:00V. Adamczyk2.201411113J. Hutnik1.6112670WAug 19 · 19:30M. Heczko2.5061113642V. Adamczyk1.501151111113
J. Hutnik10
WAug 28 · 17:30J. Hutnik1.361111113S. Byrtus3.004680WAug 28 · 16:30D. Machander2.008690J. Hutnik1.731111113WAug 28 · 15:30J. Hutnik1.401112113S. Byrtus2.7591050WAug 28 · 14:30L. Martinak2.109890J. Hutnik1.671111113WAug 28 · 13:30J. Hutnik1.5061111113T. Petrek2.50116331WAug 28 · 12:00J. Hutnik1.501111113J. Simecek2.506950WAug 28 · 11:30T. Petrek2.386690J. Hutnik1.531111113WAug 28 · 10:00J. Hutnik1.6711811113L. Martinak2.10911741WAug 27 · 09:00T. Petrek1.911012491J. Hutnik1.80121011113LAug 19 · 20:00V. Adamczyk2.201411113J. Hutnik1.6112670
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