TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #12331982
Played Jul 31Finished
Jaroslav Neuwirth Snr
Home
1.50
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
91112101719911––
Tomas Petrek
Away
2.50
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 16:04 and never touched — 62.5% is still 62.5%
Graded at full timeJaroslav Neuwirth Snr to win
62.5%
62.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingJaroslav Neuwirth Snr above · Tomas Petrek below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 17-19
Set 4 · 9-11
Point 98 set 4, 9-11 — our read held Jaroslav Neuwirth Snr at 62.5%
98 points played in total.
H2H Jaroslav Neuwirth Snr 3–1 Tomas Petrek Tomas Petrek has won 1 of their 4 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 16:04What took a side3 for · 3 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Snr
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-1 in 4
Snr
Wrong
gap of 2 in 4, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Snr 1655 vs Petrek 1656
Petrek
Correct
both rated, 2 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Snr 40% vs Petrek 80%
Petrek
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Snr 40% vs Petrek 60%
Petrek
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Snr -3 · Petrek +2
Snr
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 63% — Clear lean (leans Snr)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Petrek form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (40%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSnr 1.50 / Petrek 2.50
Signal prob.63% / 38%
Edge (Snr)+0.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #12331982
Snr1.50
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite59% won 65 of 111
Up 2–0, closes it76% 22 of 29
Up 1–0, closes it73% 47 of 64
Petrek2.50
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog55% won 21 of 38
Down 0–1, comes back37% 7 of 19
Down 0–2, comes back30% 3 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeSnr3wins
AwayPetrek1wins
1 of 4 to a deciderSnr leads 3–1, and 1 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSnr66.7%2 of 3
AwayPetrekn = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Snr3Petrek1n = 4Snr took 3 of 4
S2Snr2Petrek2n = 4split evenly
S3Snr4Petrek0n = 4Snr took 4 of 4
S4Snr2Petrek1n = 3Snr took 2 of 3
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home125%
3–1Four sets, home250%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away125%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 4 meetings
MetricSnrPetrekS − PBasisWins31+2in 4 meetingsFirst set31+2of 4Avg pointsper match40.532.0+8.5per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSnrPetrekBasisWin rate · lifetime122 / 238 vs 118 / 22251.3%53.2%122 / 238 vs 118 / 222Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.338.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SnrSnr 1.50/Petrek 2.50
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
62.5%
Snr · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Petrek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
WJul 16 · 07:00J. Snr—1111113T. Petrek—6780
WApr 15 · 17:29J. Snr—111111113T. Petrek—313921
LApr 15 · 16:00J. Snr—11411972T. Petrek—511911113
WApr 14 · 06:00J. Snr—101111113T. Petrek—129661
J. Snr10
WSep 5 · 09:29D. Heczko1.57139281J. Snr2.25111111113WSep 5 · 08:30A. Walek2.38118591J. Snr1.5391111113WSep 5 · 07:30J. Snr1.83811115113L. Martinak1.8311941162LSep 5 · 06:30D. Heczko1.6771511113J. Snr2.101113971LSep 1 · 09:00L. Martinak1.9181214113J. Snr1.8011101271LSep 1 · 08:30J. Cabak1.831111143J. Snr1.8375120WSep 1 · 07:30J. Snr1.8011112113L. Martinak1.91691171LSep 1 · 06:30S. Byrtus2.001111113J. Snr1.738770LJul 31 · 21:00R. Skacelik2.00114211113J. Snr1.7351111792LJul 31 · 19:30R. Skacelik2.1011117113J. Snr1.67851191
T. Petrek10
LAug 28 · 13:30J. Hutnik1.5061111113T. Petrek2.50116331WAug 28 · 12:30L. Martinak1.737138111T. Petrek2.00111111133LAug 28 · 11:30T. Petrek2.386690J. Hutnik1.531111113WAug 28 · 10:30J. Simecek1.67111061262T. Petrek2.109121110113LAug 27 · 09:00T. Petrek1.911012491J. Hutnik1.80121011113LAug 27 · 08:00J. Simecek1.73411711113T. Petrek2.0011711792LAug 27 · 07:00L. Martinak1.8311115113T. Petrek1.83381191WAug 27 · 06:30T. Petrek2.75111465113J. Hutnik1.40512111182WAug 26 · 08:58L. Martinak1.80101040T. Petrek1.911212113LAug 26 · 08:30T. Petrek2.0051450J. Hutnik1.731116113
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.