TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13058209
Played Sep 1Finished
Frantisek Nadymacek
Home
1.57
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1161151210––––
Lukas Kern
Away
2.25
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:55 and never touched — 55.3% is still 55.3%
Graded at full timeFrantisek Nadymacek to win
55.3%
55.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingFrantisek Nadymacek above · Lukas Kern below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 12-10
Point 55 set 3, 12-10 — our read held Frantisek Nadymacek at 55.3%
55 points played in total.
H2H Frantisek Nadymacek 2–0 Lukas Kern Lukas Kern has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 09:55What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Nadymacek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-0 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Nadymacek 1772 vs Kern 1682
Nadymacek
Correct
both rated, 90 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Nadymacek 60% vs Kern 40%
Nadymacek
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Nadymacek 70% vs Kern 50%
Nadymacek
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Nadymacek -1 · Kern -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Nadymacek) · live re-read · sealed at 55% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsNadymacek 1.57 / Kern 2.25
Signal prob.59% / 41%
Edge (Nadymacek)+0.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13058209
Nadymacek1.57
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite67% won 24 of 36
Up 2–0, closes it100% 9 of 9
Up 1–0, closes it90% 17 of 19
Kern2.25
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog41% won 41 of 101
Down 0–1, comes back22% 12 of 54
Down 0–2, comes back9% 3 of 33
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeNadymacek2wins
AwayKern0wins
1 of 2 to a deciderNadymacek leads 2–0, and 1 of those 2 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home1
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricNadymacekKernN − KBasisWins20+2in 2 meetingsFirst set110of 2Avg pointsper match45.535.0+10.5per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricNadymacekKernBasisWin rate · lifetime30 / 45 vs 128 / 23966.7%53.6%30 / 45 vs 128 / 239Avg sets wonper match2.42.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.837.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
NadymacekNadymacek 1.57/Kern 2.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
58.9%
Nadymacek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Nadymacek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
WAug 31 · 13:30F. Nadymacek—11812123L. Kern—31110101
WAug 31 · 11:00F. Nadymacek—781111113L. Kern—11114282
F. Nadymacek10
LSep 1 · 17:29L. Velebil1.7311119113F. Nadymacek2.00671191WSep 1 · 16:30R. Urbaniec2.00811681F. Nadymacek1.7311711113LSep 1 · 14:30L. Velebil1.7311911113F. Nadymacek2.00911881WAug 31 · 17:29F. Nadymacek1.6711611113M. Holub2.10911681LAug 31 · 16:00M. Holub2.501111113F. Nadymacek1.507760WAug 31 · 15:00Z. Pagac2.381011591F. Nadymacek1.5312411113WAug 31 · 14:30F. Nadymacek1.441111113M. Chalupa2.638660WAug 31 · 13:30F. Nadymacek1.8311812123L. Kern1.8331110101WAug 31 · 12:30F. Nadymacek1.5011117113D. Szotek2.50581181WAug 31 · 11:00F. Nadymacek1.83781111113L. Kern1.8311114282
L. Kern10
WSep 4 · 21:00L. Kern1.4071112113Z. Pagac2.751171011LSep 4 · 20:00L. Kern1.91511991M. Chalupa1.8011911113WSep 4 · 19:30Z. Pagac3.251112831L. Kern1.3371411113LSep 4 · 18:00L. Kern1.7311790R. Hudeczek2.001311113LSep 4 · 17:05L. Kern2.00511111092M. Chalupa1.73112512113WSep 4 · 16:00L. Kern1.91251111133M. Chalupa1.80111198112LSep 4 · 15:30R. Hudeczek2.0012911113L. Kern1.731011731WSep 4 · 14:00L. Kern1.33711118113Z. Pagac3.2511981192LAug 31 · 13:30F. Nadymacek1.8311812123L. Kern1.8331110101LAug 31 · 11:00F. Nadymacek1.83781111113L. Kern1.8311114282
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