TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13058208
Played Sep 1Finished
Radim Urbaniec
Home
2.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
811117611811––
Frantisek Nadymacek
Away
1.73
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:55 and never touched — 68.6% is still 68.6%
Graded at full timeFrantisek Nadymacek to win
68.6%
68.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingRadim Urbaniec above · Frantisek Nadymacek below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 8-11
Point 73 set 4, 8-11 — our read held Frantisek Nadymacek at 68.6%
73 points played in total.
H2H Radim Urbaniec 1–1 Frantisek Nadymacek Dead even across their 2 meetings.
Last 2 · 1–1Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 09:55What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Nadymacek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-1 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Urbaniec 1679 vs Nadymacek 1784
Nadymacek
Correct
both rated, 105 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Urbaniec 40% vs Nadymacek 60%
Nadymacek
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Urbaniec 30% vs Nadymacek 80%
Nadymacek
Correct
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Urbaniec -1 · Nadymacek +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Coin-flip (leans Nadymacek) · live re-read · sealed at 69% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsUrbaniec 2.00 / Nadymacek 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 55%
Edge (Nadymacek)+0.8pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13058208
Urbaniec2.00
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog41% won 191 of 469
Down 0–1, comes back21% 55 of 263
Down 0–2, comes back4% 6 of 144
Nadymacek1.73
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite67% won 24 of 36
Up 2–0, closes it100% 9 of 9
Up 1–0, closes it90% 17 of 19
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeUrbaniec1wins
AwayNadymacek1wins
Level at 1–1.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away1
These 2 meetings
MetricUrbaniecNadymacekU − NBasisWins110in 2 meetingsFirst set110of 2Avg pointsper match31.031.00.0per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricUrbaniecNadymacekBasisWin rate · lifetime601 / 1178 vs 31 / 4651%67.4%601 / 1178 vs 31 / 46Avg sets wonper match2.02.4per matchAvg pointsper match37.638.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
NadymacekUrbaniec 2.00/Nadymacek 1.73
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54.5%
Nadymacek · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Nadymacek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
WAug 4 · 10:00R. Urbaniec—111611113F. Nadymacek—418251
LAug 3 · 16:00R. Urbaniec—4450F. Nadymacek—1111113
R. Urbaniec10
LSep 3 · 21:30R. Urbaniec2.00771171M. Kratochvil1.7311119113WSep 3 · 20:30V. Burdik1.91711251R. Urbaniec1.8011811113WSep 3 · 19:30R. Urbaniec2.6311911113M. Wollny1.44911781WSep 3 · 18:30M. Kratochvil1.50914881R. Urbaniec2.50111211113LSep 3 · 16:59R. Urbaniec2.635450L. Velebil1.441111113WSep 3 · 16:30L. Velebil1.33111158102R. Urbaniec3.25891111123LSep 3 · 15:30R. Urbaniec3.253660M. Grundel1.331111113LSep 3 · 14:30M. Skotnica1.40811911113R. Urbaniec2.7511411862WSep 2 · 21:00R. Urbaniec1.611111113R. Hudeczek2.205660WSep 2 · 20:00R. Urbaniec1.44711118113M. Chalupa2.6311971192
F. Nadymacek10
LSep 1 · 17:29L. Velebil1.7311119113F. Nadymacek2.00671191WSep 1 · 15:30F. Nadymacek1.571111123L. Kern2.2565100LSep 1 · 14:30L. Velebil1.7311911113F. Nadymacek2.00911881WAug 31 · 17:29F. Nadymacek1.6711611113M. Holub2.10911681LAug 31 · 16:00M. Holub2.501111113F. Nadymacek1.507760WAug 31 · 15:00Z. Pagac2.381011591F. Nadymacek1.5312411113WAug 31 · 14:30F. Nadymacek1.441111113M. Chalupa2.638660WAug 31 · 13:30F. Nadymacek1.8311812123L. Kern1.8331110101WAug 31 · 12:30F. Nadymacek1.5011117113D. Szotek2.50581181WAug 31 · 11:00F. Nadymacek1.83781111113L. Kern1.8311114282
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