TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13048194
Played Aug 31Finished
Marek Holub
Home
2.50
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
117117116––––
Frantisek Nadymacek
Away
1.50
At publish
Won last 6Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 6
The read, and what happenedsealed at 16:54 and never touched — 63.6% is still 63.6%
Graded at full timeFrantisek Nadymacek to win
63.6%
63.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingMarek Holub above · Frantisek Nadymacek below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 11-6
Point 53 set 3, 11-6 — our read held Frantisek Nadymacek at 63.6%
53 points played in total.
H2H Marek Holub 1–1 Frantisek Nadymacek Dead even across their 2 meetings.
Last 2 · 1–1Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 16:54What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Nadymacek
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-1 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Holub 1598 vs Nadymacek 1799
Nadymacek
Wrong
both rated, 201 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Holub 60% vs Nadymacek 100%
Nadymacek
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Holub 60% vs Nadymacek 90%
Nadymacek
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Holub -1 · Nadymacek +5
Nadymacek
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 65% — Clear lean (leans Nadymacek) · live re-read · sealed at 64% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Nadymacek form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (67%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHolub 2.50 / Nadymacek 1.50
Signal prob.35% / 65%
Edge (Nadymacek)+2.8pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13048194
Holub2.50
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog41% won 67 of 163
Down 0–1, comes back19% 17 of 89
Down 0–2, comes back4% 2 of 54
Nadymacek1.50
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Won last 6
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite61% won 17 of 28
Up 2–0, closes it100% 6 of 6
Up 1–0, closes it85% 11 of 13
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeHolub1wins
AwayNadymacek1wins
Level at 1–1.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away1
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricHolubNadymacekH − NBasisWins110in 2 meetingsFirst set20+2of 2Avg pointsper match35.038.5−3.5per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHolubNadymacekBasisWin rate · lifetime140 / 298 vs 29 / 4247%69.1%140 / 298 vs 29 / 42Avg sets wonper match1.92.5per matchAvg pointsper match37.939.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
NadymacekHolub 2.50/Nadymacek 1.50
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
65.3%
Nadymacek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Holub won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
LAug 20 · 15:30M. Holub—1112351F. Nadymacek—71411113
WAug 5 · 14:30M. Holub—11116113F. Nadymacek—991151
M. Holub10
LSep 3 · 21:00M. Holub1.839720T. Kypr1.831111113LSep 3 · 20:00M. Holub2.005470M. Chalupa1.731111113WSep 3 · 19:30T. Kypr1.80410110M. Holub1.911112133LSep 3 · 18:00M. Holub1.83712691Z. Pagac1.83111011113WSep 2 · 21:30M. Holub1.91118119113M. Chalupa1.8061121172WSep 2 · 20:30R. Hudeczek1.61911321M. Holub2.2011711113WSep 2 · 19:30M. Holub2.25116911113R. Urbaniec1.5781111412LSep 2 · 18:30M. Chalupa1.73111268113M. Holub2.00810111172LSep 1 · 21:28M. Holub2.0012991182M. Chalupa1.731011117113WSep 1 · 20:00M. Chalupa1.73131151182M. Holub2.00159117113
F. Nadymacek10
LSep 1 · 17:29L. Velebil1.7311119113F. Nadymacek2.00671191WSep 1 · 16:30R. Urbaniec2.00811681F. Nadymacek1.7311711113WSep 1 · 15:30F. Nadymacek1.571111123L. Kern2.2565100LSep 1 · 14:30L. Velebil1.7311911113F. Nadymacek2.00911881WAug 31 · 17:29F. Nadymacek1.6711611113M. Holub2.10911681WAug 31 · 15:00Z. Pagac2.381011591F. Nadymacek1.5312411113WAug 31 · 14:30F. Nadymacek1.441111113M. Chalupa2.638660WAug 31 · 13:30F. Nadymacek1.8311812123L. Kern1.8331110101WAug 31 · 12:30F. Nadymacek1.5011117113D. Szotek2.50581181WAug 31 · 11:00F. Nadymacek1.83781111113L. Kern1.8311114282
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