TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13052740
Played Aug 31Finished
Frantisek Nadymacek
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
11381112101210––
Lukas Kern
Away
1.83
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:59 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeFrantisek Nadymacek to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingFrantisek Nadymacek above · Lukas Kern below
Set 1 · 11-3
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 12-10
Set 4 · 12-10
Point 77 set 4, 12-10 — our read held Frantisek Nadymacek at 54.0%
77 points played in total.
H2H Frantisek Nadymacek 1–0 Lukas Kern Lukas Kern has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 12:59What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Kern
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Nadymacek 1734 vs Kern 1724
Nadymacek
Correct
both rated, 10 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Nadymacek 80% vs Kern 60%
Nadymacek
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Nadymacek 60% vs Kern 80%
Kern
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Nadymacek +2 · Kern +3
Kern
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Kern) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Nadymacek form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsNadymacek 1.83 / Kern 1.83
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Kern)+4.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13052740
Nadymacek1.83
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
Kern1.83
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeNadymacek1wins
AwayKern0wins
1 of 1 to a deciderNadymacek leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home1
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricNadymacekKernN − KBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match48.036.0+12.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricNadymacekKernBasisWin rate · lifetime26 / 39 vs 128 / 23766.7%54%26 / 39 vs 128 / 237Avg sets wonper match2.42.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.437.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KernNadymacek 1.83/Kern 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Kern · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Nadymacek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WAug 31 · 11:00F. Nadymacek—781111113L. Kern—11114282
F. Nadymacek10
LSep 1 · 17:29L. Velebil1.7311119113F. Nadymacek2.00671191WSep 1 · 16:30R. Urbaniec2.00811681F. Nadymacek1.7311711113WSep 1 · 15:30F. Nadymacek1.571111123L. Kern2.2565100LSep 1 · 14:30L. Velebil1.7311911113F. Nadymacek2.00911881WAug 31 · 17:29F. Nadymacek1.6711611113M. Holub2.10911681LAug 31 · 16:00M. Holub2.501111113F. Nadymacek1.507760WAug 31 · 15:00Z. Pagac2.381011591F. Nadymacek1.5312411113WAug 31 · 14:30F. Nadymacek1.441111113M. Chalupa2.638660WAug 31 · 12:30F. Nadymacek1.5011117113D. Szotek2.50581181WAug 31 · 11:00F. Nadymacek1.83781111113L. Kern1.8311114282
L. Kern10
WSep 4 · 21:00L. Kern1.4071112113Z. Pagac2.751171011LSep 4 · 20:00L. Kern1.91511991M. Chalupa1.8011911113WSep 4 · 19:30Z. Pagac3.251112831L. Kern1.3371411113LSep 4 · 18:00L. Kern1.7311790R. Hudeczek2.001311113LSep 4 · 17:05L. Kern2.00511111092M. Chalupa1.73112512113WSep 4 · 16:00L. Kern1.91251111133M. Chalupa1.80111198112LSep 4 · 15:30R. Hudeczek2.0012911113L. Kern1.731011731WSep 4 · 14:00L. Kern1.33711118113Z. Pagac3.2511981192LSep 1 · 15:30F. Nadymacek1.571111123L. Kern2.2565100LAug 31 · 11:00F. Nadymacek1.83781111113L. Kern1.8311114282
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