TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13047935
Played Aug 31Finished
Frantisek Nadymacek
Home
1.44
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 4
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
118116116––––
Michal Chalupa
Away
2.63
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:53 and never touched — 60.1% is still 60.1%
Graded at full timeFrantisek Nadymacek to win
60.1%
60.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingFrantisek Nadymacek above · Michal Chalupa below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 11-6
Point 53 set 3, 11-6 — our read held Frantisek Nadymacek at 60.1%
53 points played in total.
H2H Frantisek Nadymacek 4–2 Michal Chalupa Michal Chalupa has won 2 of their 6 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 15:53What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Nadymacek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-2 in 6
Nadymacek
Correct
gap of 2 in 6, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Nadymacek 1769 vs Chalupa 1570
Nadymacek
Correct
both rated, 199 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Nadymacek 80% vs Chalupa 40%
Nadymacek
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Nadymacek 70% vs Chalupa 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Nadymacek +4 · Chalupa +1
Nadymacek
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 67% — Clear lean (leans Nadymacek) · live re-read · sealed at 60% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Nadymacek form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (69%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsNadymacek 1.44 / Chalupa 2.63
Signal prob.67% / 34%
Edge (Nadymacek)+2.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13047935
Nadymacek1.44
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite61% won 17 of 28
Up 2–0, closes it100% 6 of 6
Up 1–0, closes it85% 11 of 13
Chalupa2.63
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog47% won 97 of 208
Down 0–1, comes back28% 35 of 124
Down 0–2, comes back9% 6 of 66
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomeNadymacek4wins
AwayChalupa2wins
3 of 6 to a deciderNadymacek leads 4–2, and 3 of those 6 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeNadymacek75%3 of 4
AwayChalupan = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Nadymacek4Chalupa2n = 6Nadymacek took 4 of 6
S2Nadymacek4Chalupa2n = 6Nadymacek took 4 of 6
S3Nadymacek4Chalupa2n = 6Nadymacek took 4 of 6
S4Nadymacek1Chalupa3n = 4Chalupa took 3 of 4
S5Nadymacek2Chalupa1n = 3Nadymacek took 2 of 3
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home233%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home233%
2–3Decider, away117%
1–3Four sets, away117%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 6 meetings
MetricNadymacekChalupaN − CBasisWins42+2in 6 meetingsFirst set42+2of 6Avg pointsper match40.839.0+1.8per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricNadymacekChalupaBasisWin rate · lifetime27 / 40 vs 360 / 69067.5%52.2%27 / 40 vs 360 / 690Avg sets wonper match2.42.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.539.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
NadymacekNadymacek 1.44/Chalupa 2.63
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
66.5%
Nadymacek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Nadymacek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
WAug 31 · 10:00F. Nadymacek—1111123M. Chalupa—56100
LAug 16 · 16:59F. Nadymacek—811117102M. Chalupa—119911123
LAug 16 · 14:00F. Nadymacek—119871M. Chalupa—51111113
WAug 10 · 15:00F. Nadymacek—311134113M. Chalupa—118111152
WAug 5 · 16:00F. Nadymacek—1171111113M. Chalupa—71113992
WJul 23 · 14:00F. Nadymacek—1411113M. Chalupa—12970
F. Nadymacek10
LSep 1 · 17:29L. Velebil1.7311119113F. Nadymacek2.00671191WSep 1 · 16:30R. Urbaniec2.00811681F. Nadymacek1.7311711113WSep 1 · 15:30F. Nadymacek1.571111123L. Kern2.2565100LSep 1 · 14:30L. Velebil1.7311911113F. Nadymacek2.00911881WAug 31 · 17:29F. Nadymacek1.6711611113M. Holub2.10911681LAug 31 · 16:00M. Holub2.501111113F. Nadymacek1.507760WAug 31 · 15:00Z. Pagac2.381011591F. Nadymacek1.5312411113WAug 31 · 13:30F. Nadymacek1.8311812123L. Kern1.8331110101WAug 31 · 12:30F. Nadymacek1.5011117113D. Szotek2.50581181WAug 31 · 11:00F. Nadymacek1.83781111113L. Kern1.8311114282
M. Chalupa10
LSep 4 · 21:30R. Hudeczek1.731110117113M. Chalupa2.0081291142WSep 4 · 20:00L. Kern1.91511991M. Chalupa1.8011911113LSep 4 · 19:00R. Hudeczek1.80711115113M. Chalupa1.9111581132WSep 4 · 18:30M. Chalupa1.5711811113Z. Pagac2.25911481WSep 4 · 17:05L. Kern2.00511111092M. Chalupa1.73112512113LSep 4 · 16:00L. Kern1.91251111133M. Chalupa1.80111198112LSep 4 · 15:00Z. Pagac2.2511712113M. Chalupa1.574111091LSep 4 · 14:30M. Chalupa1.91451171R. Hudeczek1.8011119113WSep 3 · 21:30M. Chalupa1.52119114113Z. Pagac2.3561181162WSep 3 · 20:00M. Holub2.005470M. Chalupa1.731111113
Upcoming Matches
F. Nadymacek
Nothing scheduled
M. Chalupa
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.