TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13047769
Played Aug 31Finished
Frantisek Nadymacek
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
711811114112118
Lukas Kern
Away
1.83
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:17 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeLukas Kern to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingFrantisek Nadymacek above · Lukas Kern below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 11-4
Set 4 · 11-2
Set 5 · 11-8
Point 84 set 5, 11-8 — our read held Lukas Kern at 54.0%
84 points played in total.
H2H Frantisek Nadymacek 1–0 Lukas Kern Lukas Kern has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 15:17What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Kern
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Nadymacek 1722 vs Kern 1711
Nadymacek
Correct
both rated, 12 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Nadymacek 80% vs Kern 60%
Nadymacek
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Nadymacek 50% vs Kern 80%
Kern
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Nadymacek +1 · Kern +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Kern)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Nadymacek form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsNadymacek 1.83 / Kern 1.83
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Kern)+4.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13047769
Nadymacek1.83
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Kern1.83
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeNadymacek1wins
AwayKern0wins
1 of 1 to a deciderNadymacek leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home1
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricNadymacekKernN − KBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match48.036.0+12.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricNadymacekKernBasisWin rate · lifetime25 / 38 vs 127 / 23665.8%53.8%25 / 38 vs 127 / 236Avg sets wonper match2.42.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.437.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KernNadymacek 1.83/Kern 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Kern · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Nadymacek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WAug 31 · 11:00F. Nadymacek—781111113L. Kern—11114282
F. Nadymacek10
LSep 1 · 17:29L. Velebil1.7311119113F. Nadymacek2.00671191WSep 1 · 16:30R. Urbaniec2.00811681F. Nadymacek1.7311711113WSep 1 · 15:30F. Nadymacek1.571111123L. Kern2.2565100LSep 1 · 14:30L. Velebil1.7311911113F. Nadymacek2.00911881WAug 31 · 17:29F. Nadymacek1.6711611113M. Holub2.10911681LAug 31 · 16:00M. Holub2.501111113F. Nadymacek1.507760WAug 31 · 15:00Z. Pagac2.381011591F. Nadymacek1.5312411113WAug 31 · 14:30F. Nadymacek1.441111113M. Chalupa2.638660WAug 31 · 13:30F. Nadymacek1.8311812123L. Kern1.8331110101WAug 31 · 12:30F. Nadymacek1.5011117113D. Szotek2.50581181
L. Kern10
WSep 4 · 21:00L. Kern1.4071112113Z. Pagac2.751171011LSep 4 · 20:00L. Kern1.91511991M. Chalupa1.8011911113WSep 4 · 19:30Z. Pagac3.251112831L. Kern1.3371411113LSep 4 · 18:00L. Kern1.7311790R. Hudeczek2.001311113LSep 4 · 17:05L. Kern2.00511111092M. Chalupa1.73112512113WSep 4 · 16:00L. Kern1.91251111133M. Chalupa1.80111198112LSep 4 · 15:30R. Hudeczek2.0012911113L. Kern1.731011731WSep 4 · 14:00L. Kern1.33711118113Z. Pagac3.2511981192LSep 1 · 15:30F. Nadymacek1.571111123L. Kern2.2565100LAug 31 · 13:30F. Nadymacek1.8311812123L. Kern1.8331110101
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