TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13091747
Played Sep 8Finished
Radovan Polasek
Home
1.57
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
117116711511113
Jakub Pilch
Away
2.25
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:09 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJakub Pilch to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingRadovan Polasek above · Jakub Pilch below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 5-11
Set 5 · 11-3
Point 83 set 5, 11-3 — our read held Jakub Pilch at 54.0%
83 points played in total.
H2H Radovan Polasek 14–9 Jakub Pilch Jakub Pilch has won 9 of their 23 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 10:09What took a side0 for · 3 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Polasek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
14-9 in 23
Polasek
Correct
gap of 5 in 23, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Polasek 1832 vs Pilch 1803
Polasek
Correct
both rated, 29 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Polasek 40% vs Pilch 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Polasek 50% vs Pilch 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Polasek -2 · Pilch -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
0 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Polasek) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Polasek form (40%) is below what odds imply (64%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPolasek 1.57 / Pilch 2.25
Signal prob.59% / 41%
Edge (Polasek)+0.4pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13091747
Polasek1.57
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite52% won 193 of 372
Up 2–0, closes it84% 91 of 108
Up 1–0, closes it70% 131 of 186
Pilch2.25
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog45% won 33 of 73
Down 0–1, comes back29% 11 of 38
Down 0–2, comes back5% 1 of 19
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePolasek7wins
AwayPilch3wins
4 of 10 to a deciderPolasek leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePolasek100%6 of 6
AwayPilch75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Polasek6Pilch4n = 10Polasek took 6 of 10
S2Polasek8Pilch2n = 10Polasek took 8 of 10
S3Polasek5Pilch5n = 10split evenly
S4Polasek4Pilch3n = 7Polasek took 4 of 7
S5Polasek2Pilch2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricPolasekPilchPolasek − PilchBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match40.535.6+4.9per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPolasekPilchBasisWin rate · lifetime440 / 865 vs 217 / 42950.9%50.6%440 / 865 vs 217 / 429Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.537.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PolasekPolasek 1.57/Pilch 2.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
59.3%
Polasek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Polasek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 8 · 06:00R. Polasek—111175113J. Pilch—76111132
WAug 1 · 14:30R. Polasek—11414113J. Pilch—7111241
LAug 1 · 10:30R. Polasek—8850J. Pilch—1111113
WJul 21 · 12:30R. Polasek—1211107113J. Pilch—108121182
WJul 1 · 11:00R. Polasek—31111113J. Pilch—117461
WMay 1 · 10:30R. Polasek—12119113J. Pilch—1041151
WApr 30 · 17:00R. Polasek—1111113J. Pilch—6350
WApr 30 · 16:00R. Polasek—1112123J. Pilch—610100
LApr 23 · 12:00R. Polasek—111181282J. Pilch—1351110113
LApr 23 · 08:00R. Polasek—91114892J. Pilch—1191211113
R. Polasek10
LSep 6 · 21:00R. Polasek1.73111312882M. Vavrecka2.006151011113LSep 6 · 20:00R. Polasek1.917811141T. Dousek1.8011117163WSep 6 · 19:30P. Wawrosz1.8021250R. Polasek1.911114113LSep 6 · 18:00R. Polasek1.7381111862M. Vavrecka2.00119611113WSep 5 · 17:29M. Biolek1.4411671122R. Polasek2.63711115113LSep 5 · 16:30R. Polasek1.8311410101T. Zika1.8331112123LSep 5 · 15:00R. Polasek2.2011441182M. Biolek1.61411119113WSep 5 · 14:00T. Dousek1.809911101R. Polasek1.9111117123WSep 4 · 12:59R. Polasek1.911111113T. Dousek1.808880WSep 4 · 12:00T. Dousek1.831181081R. Polasek1.8391112113
J. Pilch10
LSep 7 · 13:07J. Pilch1.72117271P. Wawrosz2.0041111113WSep 7 · 12:30J. Pilch1.731161110123M. Navedla2.00611512102WSep 7 · 11:00J. Pilch1.8371113113P. Wawrosz1.831171161LSep 7 · 10:00T. Dousek1.611111113J. Pilch2.209980LAug 2 · 17:30M. Kratochvil2.2014411113J. Pilch1.611211621LAug 2 · 16:30M. Kratochvil2.00212411113J. Pilch1.73111011672WAug 2 · 15:30J. Pilch2.251111711113J. Plachta1.5775111362WAug 2 · 14:30M. Szwarc1.8511790J. Pilch1.851311113WAug 2 · 13:30J. Pilch1.911311113O. Paril1.8011590LAug 2 · 12:30M. Szwarc2.001111113J. Pilch1.738880
Upcoming Matches
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.