TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13091840
Played Sep 8Finished
Radovan Polasek
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1210811811116911
Pavel Wawrosz
Away
1.83
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:39 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timePavel Wawrosz to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingRadovan Polasek above · Pavel Wawrosz below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 11-6
Set 5 · 9-11
Point 97 set 5, 9-11 — our read held Pavel Wawrosz at 54.0%
97 points played in total.
H2H Radovan Polasek 26–26 Pavel Wawrosz Dead even across their 52 meetings.
Last 10 · 4–6Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 10:39What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Wawrosz
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
26-26 in 52
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Polasek 1829 vs Wawrosz 1813
Polasek
Wrong
both rated, 16 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Polasek 60% vs Wawrosz 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Polasek 50% vs Wawrosz 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Polasek +2 · Wawrosz +3
Wawrosz
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Polasek) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPolasek 1.83 / Wawrosz 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Polasek)+4.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13091840
Polasek1.83
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
Wawrosz1.83
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePolasek4wins
AwayWawrosz6wins
1 of 10 to a deciderWawrosz leads 6–4, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePolasek80%4 of 5
AwayWawrosz100%5 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Polasek5Wawrosz5n = 10split evenly
S2Polasek5Wawrosz5n = 10split evenly
S3Polasek5Wawrosz5n = 10split evenly
S4Polasek3Wawrosz4n = 7Wawrosz took 4 of 7
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricPolasekWawroszP − WBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match34.833.9+0.9per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPolasekWawroszBasisWin rate · lifetime441 / 867 vs 208 / 40850.9%51%441 / 867 vs 208 / 408Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.639.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PolasekPolasek 1.83/Wawrosz 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Polasek · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Wawrosz won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 8 · 08:00R. Polasek—12881192P. Wawrosz—1011116113
WSep 6 · 19:30R. Polasek—1114113P. Wawrosz—21250
WSep 4 · 06:00R. Polasek—11611113P. Wawrosz—811541
LSep 2 · 07:30R. Polasek—611681P. Wawrosz—11711113
LAug 25 · 07:00R. Polasek—1251171P. Wawrosz—14118113
LAug 24 · 08:59R. Polasek—911991P. Wawrosz—11611113
WAug 24 · 07:00R. Polasek—11611113P. Wawrosz—811621
LAug 19 · 08:30R. Polasek—5590P. Wawrosz—1111113
LAug 17 · 12:00R. Polasek—611851P. Wawrosz—11711113
WAug 15 · 07:30R. Polasek—1111113P. Wawrosz—8660
R. Polasek10
WSep 8 · 07:30M. Navedla2.20101161162R. Polasek1.61126119113WSep 8 · 06:00R. Polasek1.57111175113J. Pilch2.2576111132LSep 6 · 21:00R. Polasek1.73111312882M. Vavrecka2.006151011113LSep 6 · 20:00R. Polasek1.917811141T. Dousek1.8011117163WSep 6 · 19:30P. Wawrosz1.8021250R. Polasek1.911114113LSep 6 · 18:00R. Polasek1.7381111862M. Vavrecka2.00119611113WSep 5 · 17:29M. Biolek1.4411671122R. Polasek2.63711115113LSep 5 · 16:30R. Polasek1.8311410101T. Zika1.8331112123LSep 5 · 15:00R. Polasek2.2011441182M. Biolek1.61411119113WSep 5 · 14:00T. Dousek1.809911101R. Polasek1.9111117123
P. Wawrosz10
WSep 8 · 07:00J. Pilch1.73551171P. Wawrosz2.0011116113WSep 8 · 06:30P. Wawrosz1.53111111113M. Navedla2.38813481WSep 7 · 13:07J. Pilch1.72117271P. Wawrosz2.0041111113LSep 7 · 12:00T. Dousek1.6171111113P. Wawrosz2.20117881LSep 7 · 11:00J. Pilch1.8371113113P. Wawrosz1.831171161LSep 7 · 10:30P. Wawrosz1.738550M. Navedla2.001111113WSep 6 · 21:30T. Dousek1.46127921P. Wawrosz2.36101111113WSep 6 · 20:30M. Vavrecka1.80117761P. Wawrosz1.9191111113LSep 6 · 19:30P. Wawrosz1.8021250R. Polasek1.911114113WSep 6 · 18:30T. Dousek1.6111127982P. Wawrosz2.204101111113
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