TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13053011
Played Sep 1Finished
Jan Dzida
Home
1.67
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
119118115––––
Ondrej Paril
Away
2.10
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:36 and never touched — 55.8% is still 55.8%
Graded at full timeJan Dzida to win
55.8%
55.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJan Dzida above · Ondrej Paril below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 11-5
Point 55 set 3, 11-5 — our read held Jan Dzida at 55.8%
55 points played in total.
H2H Jan Dzida 25–23 Ondrej Paril Ondrej Paril has won 23 of their 48 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 13:36What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Dzida
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
25-23 in 48
Dzida
Correct
gap of 2 in 48, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Dzida 1914 vs Paril 1856
Dzida
Correct
both rated, 58 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Dzida 60% vs Paril 20%
Dzida
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Dzida 50% vs Paril 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Dzida -2 · Paril -4
Paril
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Dzida)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Paril form (20%) is below what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDzida 1.67 / Paril 2.10
Signal prob.56% / 44%
Edge (Dzida)+0.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13053011
Dzida1.67
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite58% won 136 of 234
Up 2–0, closes it95% 58 of 61
Up 1–0, closes it74% 98 of 133
Paril2.10
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog47% won 125 of 264
Down 0–1, comes back25% 36 of 144
Down 0–2, comes back8% 6 of 74
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeDzida3wins
AwayParil7wins
2 of 10 to a deciderParil leads 7–3, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDzida50%2 of 4
AwayParil83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Dzida4Paril6n = 10Paril took 6 of 10
S2Dzida3Paril7n = 10Paril took 7 of 10
S3Dzida4Paril6n = 10Paril took 6 of 10
S4Dzida3Paril4n = 7Paril took 4 of 7
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricDzidaParilD − PBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match34.238.1−3.9per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDzidaParilBasisWin rate · lifetime199 / 338 vs 495 / 95358.9%51.9%199 / 338 vs 495 / 953Avg sets wonper match2.22.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.637.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DzidaDzida 1.67/Paril 2.10
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
55.8%
Dzida · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Dzida won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 29 · 10:00J. Dzida—91110101O. Paril—11912123
WAug 23 · 20:58J. Dzida—1111113O. Paril—7790
WAug 23 · 18:30J. Dzida—641111113O. Paril—11118362
LAug 22 · 14:00J. Dzida—11550O. Paril—1311113
LJul 18 · 18:30J. Dzida—971261O. Paril—111110113
WJul 18 · 14:30J. Dzida—111110113O. Paril—861271
LJul 17 · 06:30J. Dzida—8580O. Paril—1111113
LJul 3 · 10:30J. Dzida—571261O. Paril—111110113
LJul 1 · 14:30J. Dzida—1381001O. Paril—111112113
LJun 28 · 14:00J. Dzida—11691192O. Paril—511115113
J. Dzida10
WSep 6 · 21:30D. Opanasiuk1.6411621582J. Dzida2.019111911113LSep 6 · 20:30D. Opanasiuk1.8081212113J. Dzida1.9111101081WSep 6 · 19:30J. Dzida1.8011118113M. Biolek1.91991151WSep 6 · 18:30O. Paril2.0013790J. Dzida1.731511113LSep 4 · 13:30O. Paril1.941113113J. Dzida1.6851180LSep 4 · 12:30J. Dzida1.738811101O. Paril2.0011113123WSep 4 · 11:00J. Dzida1.3614119113R. Polasek3.001221191WSep 4 · 10:00T. Dousek2.7551181362J. Dzida1.401141111113WSep 1 · 16:59J. Dzida1.91311118113O. Paril1.8011881192LSep 1 · 15:00J. Dzida1.40461171T. Zika2.7511115113
O. Paril10
LSep 6 · 20:58M. Biolek1.801211113O. Paril1.9110950LSep 6 · 20:00M. Biolek1.7311128113O. Paril2.007101181LSep 6 · 19:00D. Opanasiuk1.4471113133O. Paril2.6311411111LSep 6 · 18:30O. Paril2.0013790J. Dzida1.731511113WSep 5 · 13:29M. Biolek1.801110661O. Paril1.9171211113WSep 5 · 12:30M. Cabis1.6151113872O. Paril2.201151111113WSep 5 · 11:30O. Paril2.0011116123M. Biolek1.735511101WSep 4 · 13:30O. Paril1.941113113J. Dzida1.6851180WSep 4 · 12:30J. Dzida1.738811101O. Paril2.0011113123LSep 1 · 16:59J. Dzida1.91311118113O. Paril1.8011881192
Upcoming Matches
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O. Paril
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