TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13058935
Played Sep 2Finished
Michael Sedlacek
Home
1.73
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 5
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
116711116113––
Jan Szotkowski
Away
2.00
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:05 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMichael Sedlacek to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMichael Sedlacek above · Jan Szotkowski below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 11-3
Point 66 set 4, 11-3 — our read held Michael Sedlacek at 54.0%
66 points played in total.
H2H Michael Sedlacek 53–43 Jan Szotkowski Jan Szotkowski has won 43 of their 96 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 13:05What took a side3 for · 3 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Sedlacek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
53-43 in 96
Sedlacek
Correct
gap of 10 in 96, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sedlacek 1843 vs Szotkowski 1886
Szotkowski
Wrong
both rated, 42 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sedlacek 0% vs Szotkowski 80%
Szotkowski
Wrong
80pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sedlacek 30% vs Szotkowski 50%
Szotkowski
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Sedlacek -5 · Szotkowski +2
Sedlacek
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Sedlacek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Szotkowski form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSedlacek 1.73 / Szotkowski 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Sedlacek)+0.3pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13058935
Sedlacek1.73
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 5
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite63% won 119 of 189
Up 2–0, closes it92% 45 of 49
Up 1–0, closes it79% 81 of 102
Szotkowski2.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog52% won 76 of 146
Down 0–1, comes back21% 12 of 58
Down 0–2, comes back10% 3 of 29
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSedlacek6wins
AwaySzotkowski4wins
2 of 10 to a deciderSedlacek leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSedlacek100%4 of 4
AwaySzotkowski66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sedlacek4Szotkowski6n = 10Szotkowski took 6 of 10
S2Sedlacek7Szotkowski3n = 10Sedlacek took 7 of 10
S3Sedlacek5Szotkowski5n = 10split evenly
S4Sedlacek5Szotkowski2n = 7Sedlacek took 5 of 7
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricSedlacekSzotkowskiSedlacek − SzotkowskiBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match39.235.9+3.3per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSedlacekSzotkowskiBasisWin rate · lifetime320 / 522 vs 432 / 82861.3%52.2%320 / 522 vs 432 / 828Avg sets wonper match2.32.2per matchAvg pointsper match40.840.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SedlacekSedlacek 1.73/Szotkowski 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Sedlacek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Sedlacek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 18 · 10:00M. Sedlacek—831181J. Szotkowski—11116113
WAug 11 · 13:28M. Sedlacek—121111113J. Szotkowski—143951
LAug 11 · 12:00M. Sedlacek—10980J. Szotkowski—1211113
WAug 10 · 13:28M. Sedlacek—1111911113J. Szotkowski—13711742
LAug 10 · 12:00M. Sedlacek—611101172J. Szotkowski—118127113
WAug 5 · 12:58M. Sedlacek—11168173J. Szotkowski—91411151
WAug 5 · 11:00M. Sedlacek—11117113J. Szotkowski—771191
LAug 3 · 12:00M. Sedlacek—861181J. Szotkowski—11119113
WJul 30 · 10:00M. Sedlacek—1111113J. Szotkowski—7750
WJul 28 · 12:00M. Sedlacek—1112113J. Szotkowski—41060
M. Sedlacek10
LSep 3 · 13:28T. Dousek1.801111123M. Sedlacek1.9146100LSep 3 · 12:30M. Sedlacek1.4081111842T. Zika2.75114711113WSep 3 · 11:00M. Sedlacek1.801111113J. Szotkowski1.919660WSep 3 · 10:00T. Dousek2.0061181192M. Sedlacek1.73118113113WSep 2 · 12:59T. Zika2.2011770M. Sedlacek1.611311113LSep 2 · 11:30T. Zika2.631111123M. Sedlacek1.4446100LSep 2 · 10:00M. Sedlacek1.67511961T. Dousek2.1011911113LSep 1 · 12:58T. Dousek2.251111113M. Sedlacek1.577860LSep 1 · 12:00M. Sedlacek1.73851171T. Dousek2.0011117113LSep 1 · 11:30O. Paril2.20811911113M. Sedlacek1.6111311742
J. Szotkowski10
LSep 3 · 12:58T. Zika1.911112113J. Szotkowski1.8071090LSep 3 · 12:00T. Dousek1.831112113J. Szotkowski1.8361090LSep 3 · 11:00M. Sedlacek1.801111113J. Szotkowski1.919660WSep 3 · 10:30J. Szotkowski1.831111113T. Zika1.837730WSep 3 · 09:28J. Szotkowski1.571211113R. Polasek2.2510890WSep 3 · 08:30J. Szotkowski1.671111113R. Revay2.108590WSep 3 · 07:00J. Szotkowski1.671111113R. Polasek2.106260WSep 3 · 06:00T. Zika1.733820J. Szotkowski2.001111113LSep 2 · 13:28T. Dousek1.831111113J. Szotkowski1.838890WSep 2 · 11:00T. Dousek1.8311181162J. Szotkowski1.83117119113
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