TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13071754
Played Sep 3Finished
Tomas Dousek
Home
1.80
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 4
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1141161210––––
Michael Sedlacek
Away
1.91
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
How it is goingTomas Dousek above · Michael Sedlacek below
Set 1 · 11-4
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 12-10
Point 54 set 3, 12-10
54 points played in total.
H2H Tomas Dousek 11–20 Michael Sedlacek Tomas Dousek has won 11 of their 31 meetings.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Sedlacek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Dousek form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDousek 1.80 / Sedlacek 1.91
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Sedlacek)+5.5pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13071754
Dousek1.80
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite56% won 111 of 198
Up 2–0, closes it93% 51 of 55
Up 1–0, closes it77% 85 of 111
Sedlacek1.91
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog58% won 14 of 24
Down 0–1, comes back20% 2 of 10
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 6
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeDousek6wins
AwaySedlacek4wins
4 of 10 to a deciderDousek leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDousek100%4 of 4
AwaySedlacek66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Dousek4Sedlacek6n = 10Sedlacek took 6 of 10
S2Dousek8Sedlacek2n = 10Dousek took 8 of 10
S3Dousek6Sedlacek4n = 10Dousek took 6 of 10
S4Dousek6Sedlacek3n = 9Dousek took 6 of 9
S5Dousek1Sedlacek3n = 4Sedlacek took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricDousekSedlacekD − SBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match43.239.5+3.7per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDousekSedlacekBasisWin rate · lifetime230 / 430 vs 324 / 52753.5%61.5%230 / 430 vs 324 / 527Avg sets wonper match2.22.3per matchAvg pointsper match39.340.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SedlacekDousek 1.80/Sedlacek 1.91
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Sedlacek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Dousek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 3 · 10:00T. Dousek—61181192M. Sedlacek—118113113
WSep 2 · 10:00T. Dousek—11911113M. Sedlacek—511961
WSep 1 · 12:58T. Dousek—1111113M. Sedlacek—7860
WSep 1 · 12:00T. Dousek—11117113M. Sedlacek—851171
LAug 12 · 13:30T. Dousek—91111101M. Sedlacek—11913123
WAug 12 · 10:00T. Dousek—129118113M. Sedlacek—101181192
WAug 3 · 13:29T. Dousek—91111113M. Sedlacek—119891
LAug 3 · 10:00T. Dousek—1014912102M. Sedlacek—12121110123
LJul 30 · 13:30T. Dousek—41111792M. Sedlacek—114511113
WJul 30 · 12:00T. Dousek—71112113M. Sedlacek—1181091
T. Dousek10
LSep 6 · 21:30T. Dousek1.46127921P. Wawrosz2.36101111113WSep 6 · 20:00R. Polasek1.917811141T. Dousek1.8011117163WSep 6 · 19:00M. Vavrecka1.91711681T. Dousek1.8011911113LSep 6 · 18:30T. Dousek1.6111127982P. Wawrosz2.204101111113LSep 5 · 16:58T. Dousek1.7361181182T. Zika2.00117117113LSep 5 · 16:00T. Dousek2.5011911842M. Biolek1.50711811113WSep 5 · 15:30T. Zika2.101112111182T. Dousek1.67814913113LSep 5 · 14:00T. Dousek1.809911101R. Polasek1.9111117123LSep 4 · 12:59R. Polasek1.911111113T. Dousek1.808880LSep 4 · 12:00T. Dousek1.831181081R. Polasek1.8391112113
M. Sedlacek10
LSep 3 · 12:30M. Sedlacek1.4081111842T. Zika2.75114711113WSep 3 · 11:00M. Sedlacek1.801111113J. Szotkowski1.919660WSep 3 · 10:00T. Dousek2.0061181192M. Sedlacek1.73118113113WSep 2 · 12:59T. Zika2.2011770M. Sedlacek1.611311113WSep 2 · 12:00M. Sedlacek1.7311711113J. Szotkowski2.00611631LSep 2 · 11:30T. Zika2.631111123M. Sedlacek1.4446100LSep 2 · 10:00M. Sedlacek1.67511961T. Dousek2.1011911113LSep 1 · 12:58T. Dousek2.251111113M. Sedlacek1.577860LSep 1 · 12:00M. Sedlacek1.73851171T. Dousek2.0011117113LSep 1 · 11:30O. Paril2.20811911113M. Sedlacek1.6111311742
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