TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13058964
Played Sep 1Finished
Tomas Dousek
Home
2.25
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
117118116––––
Michael Sedlacek
Away
1.57
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
How it is goingTomas Dousek above · Michael Sedlacek below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 11-6
Point 54 set 3, 11-6
54 points played in total.
H2H Tomas Dousek 8–19 Michael Sedlacek Tomas Dousek has won 8 of their 27 meetings.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Sedlacek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sedlacek form (40%) is below what odds imply (64%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDousek 2.25 / Sedlacek 1.57
Signal prob.39% / 61%
Edge (Sedlacek)+2.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13058964
Dousek2.25
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog44% won 38 of 87
Down 0–1, comes back33% 16 of 49
Down 0–2, comes back17% 4 of 23
Sedlacek1.57
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite64% won 120 of 187
Up 2–0, closes it92% 44 of 48
Up 1–0, closes it80% 82 of 102
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeDousek4wins
AwaySedlacek6wins
6 of 10 to a deciderSedlacek leads 6–4, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDousek33.3%1 of 3
AwaySedlacek57.1%4 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Dousek3Sedlacek7n = 10Sedlacek took 7 of 10
S2Dousek7Sedlacek3n = 10Dousek took 7 of 10
S3Dousek6Sedlacek4n = 10Dousek took 6 of 10
S4Dousek6Sedlacek4n = 10Dousek took 6 of 10
S5Dousek1Sedlacek5n = 6Sedlacek took 5 of 6
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away550%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricDousekSedlacekD − SBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match45.245.1+0.1per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDousekSedlacekBasisWin rate · lifetime224 / 422 vs 320 / 51953.1%61.7%224 / 422 vs 320 / 519Avg sets wonper match2.12.3per matchAvg pointsper match39.340.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SedlacekDousek 2.25/Sedlacek 1.57
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
60.9%
Sedlacek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Dousek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 12 · 13:30T. Dousek—91111101M. Sedlacek—11913123
WAug 12 · 10:00T. Dousek—129118113M. Sedlacek—101181192
WAug 3 · 13:29T. Dousek—91111113M. Sedlacek—119891
LAug 3 · 10:00T. Dousek—1014912102M. Sedlacek—12121110123
LJul 30 · 13:30T. Dousek—41111792M. Sedlacek—114511113
WJul 30 · 12:00T. Dousek—71112113M. Sedlacek—1181091
LJul 15 · 10:00T. Dousek—11891392M. Sedlacek—4111111113
LJul 12 · 12:00T. Dousek—101111692M. Sedlacek—128911113
WJun 29 · 12:00T. Dousek—81112113M. Sedlacek—1181051
LJun 19 · 10:00T. Dousek—14441182M. Sedlacek—1211115113
T. Dousek10
LSep 6 · 21:30T. Dousek1.46127921P. Wawrosz2.36101111113WSep 6 · 20:00R. Polasek1.917811141T. Dousek1.8011117163WSep 6 · 19:00M. Vavrecka1.91711681T. Dousek1.8011911113LSep 6 · 18:30T. Dousek1.6111127982P. Wawrosz2.204101111113LSep 5 · 16:58T. Dousek1.7361181182T. Zika2.00117117113LSep 5 · 16:00T. Dousek2.5011911842M. Biolek1.50711811113WSep 5 · 15:30T. Zika2.101112111182T. Dousek1.67814913113LSep 5 · 14:00T. Dousek1.809911101R. Polasek1.9111117123LSep 4 · 12:59R. Polasek1.911111113T. Dousek1.808880LSep 4 · 12:00T. Dousek1.831181081R. Polasek1.8391112113
M. Sedlacek10
LSep 3 · 13:28T. Dousek1.801111123M. Sedlacek1.9146100LSep 3 · 12:30M. Sedlacek1.4081111842T. Zika2.75114711113WSep 3 · 11:00M. Sedlacek1.801111113J. Szotkowski1.919660WSep 3 · 10:00T. Dousek2.0061181192M. Sedlacek1.73118113113WSep 2 · 12:59T. Zika2.2011770M. Sedlacek1.611311113WSep 2 · 12:00M. Sedlacek1.7311711113J. Szotkowski2.00611631LSep 2 · 11:30T. Zika2.631111123M. Sedlacek1.4446100LSep 2 · 10:00M. Sedlacek1.67511961T. Dousek2.1011911113LSep 1 · 12:00M. Sedlacek1.73851171T. Dousek2.0011117113LSep 1 · 11:30O. Paril2.20811911113M. Sedlacek1.6111311742
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