TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13052631
Played Sep 1Finished
Michael Sedlacek
Home
1.73
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
811511117711––
Tomas Dousek
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:46 and never touched — 55.7% is still 55.7%
Graded at full timeMichael Sedlacek to win
55.7%
55.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingMichael Sedlacek above · Tomas Dousek below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 7-11
Point 71 set 4, 7-11 — our read held Michael Sedlacek at 55.7%
71 points played in total.
H2H Michael Sedlacek 19–8 Tomas Dousek Tomas Dousek has won 8 of their 27 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 12:46What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Sedlacek
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
19-8 in 27
Sedlacek
Wrong
gap of 11 in 27, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sedlacek 1904 vs Dousek 1822
Sedlacek
Wrong
both rated, 82 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sedlacek 60% vs Dousek 20%
Sedlacek
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sedlacek 60% vs Dousek 40%
Sedlacek
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Sedlacek -1 · Dousek -4
Dousek
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Sedlacek) · live re-read · sealed at 56% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Dousek form (20%) is below what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSedlacek 1.73 / Dousek 2.00
Signal prob.58% / 42%
Edge (Sedlacek)+4.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13052631
Sedlacek1.73
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite64% won 120 of 187
Up 2–0, closes it92% 44 of 48
Up 1–0, closes it80% 82 of 102
Dousek2.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog44% won 38 of 87
Down 0–1, comes back33% 16 of 49
Down 0–2, comes back17% 4 of 23
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSedlacek6wins
AwayDousek4wins
6 of 10 to a deciderSedlacek leads 6–4, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSedlacek57.1%4 of 7
AwayDousek33.3%1 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sedlacek7Dousek3n = 10Sedlacek took 7 of 10
S2Sedlacek3Dousek7n = 10Dousek took 7 of 10
S3Sedlacek4Dousek6n = 10Dousek took 6 of 10
S4Sedlacek4Dousek6n = 10Dousek took 6 of 10
S5Sedlacek5Dousek1n = 6Sedlacek took 5 of 6
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home550%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricSedlacekDousekS − DBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match45.145.2−0.1per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSedlacekDousekBasisWin rate · lifetime320 / 518 vs 223 / 42161.8%53%320 / 518 vs 223 / 421Avg sets wonper match2.32.1per matchAvg pointsper match40.939.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SedlacekSedlacek 1.73/Dousek 2.00
Miss
What we said
57.7%
Sedlacek · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Dousek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 12 · 13:30M. Sedlacek—11913123T. Dousek—91111101
LAug 12 · 10:00M. Sedlacek—101181192T. Dousek—129118113
LAug 3 · 13:29M. Sedlacek—119891T. Dousek—91111113
WAug 3 · 10:00M. Sedlacek—12121110123T. Dousek—1014912102
WJul 30 · 13:30M. Sedlacek—114511113T. Dousek—41111792
LJul 30 · 12:00M. Sedlacek—1181091T. Dousek—71112113
WJul 15 · 10:00M. Sedlacek—4111111113T. Dousek—11891392
WJul 12 · 12:00M. Sedlacek—128911113T. Dousek—101111692
LJun 29 · 12:00M. Sedlacek—1181051T. Dousek—81112113
WJun 19 · 10:00M. Sedlacek—1211115113T. Dousek—14441182
M. Sedlacek10
LSep 3 · 13:28T. Dousek1.801111123M. Sedlacek1.9146100LSep 3 · 12:30M. Sedlacek1.4081111842T. Zika2.75114711113WSep 3 · 11:00M. Sedlacek1.801111113J. Szotkowski1.919660WSep 3 · 10:00T. Dousek2.0061181192M. Sedlacek1.73118113113WSep 2 · 12:59T. Zika2.2011770M. Sedlacek1.611311113WSep 2 · 12:00M. Sedlacek1.7311711113J. Szotkowski2.00611631LSep 2 · 11:30T. Zika2.631111123M. Sedlacek1.4446100LSep 2 · 10:00M. Sedlacek1.67511961T. Dousek2.1011911113LSep 1 · 12:58T. Dousek2.251111113M. Sedlacek1.577860LSep 1 · 11:30O. Paril2.20811911113M. Sedlacek1.6111311742
T. Dousek10
LSep 6 · 21:30T. Dousek1.46127921P. Wawrosz2.36101111113WSep 6 · 20:00R. Polasek1.917811141T. Dousek1.8011117163WSep 6 · 19:00M. Vavrecka1.91711681T. Dousek1.8011911113LSep 6 · 18:30T. Dousek1.6111127982P. Wawrosz2.204101111113LSep 5 · 16:58T. Dousek1.7361181182T. Zika2.00117117113LSep 5 · 16:00T. Dousek2.5011911842M. Biolek1.50711811113WSep 3 · 13:28T. Dousek1.801111123M. Sedlacek1.9146100LSep 3 · 10:00T. Dousek2.0061181192M. Sedlacek1.73118113113WSep 2 · 10:00M. Sedlacek1.67511961T. Dousek2.1011911113WSep 1 · 12:58T. Dousek2.251111113M. Sedlacek1.577860
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