TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13058363
Played Sep 2Finished
Tomas Dousek
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 3
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
111117811119611
Jan Szotkowski
Away
1.83
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:33 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJan Szotkowski to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingTomas Dousek above · Jan Szotkowski below
Set 1 · 1-11
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 11-9
Set 5 · 6-11
Point 86 set 5, 6-11 — our read held Jan Szotkowski at 54.0%
86 points played in total.
H2H Tomas Dousek 14–15 Jan Szotkowski Tomas Dousek has won 14 of their 29 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 10:33What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Szotkowski
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
14-15 in 29
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Dousek 1853 vs Szotkowski 1886
Szotkowski
Correct
both rated, 33 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Dousek 60% vs Szotkowski 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Dousek 40% vs Szotkowski 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Dousek +3 · Szotkowski +1
Dousek
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Szotkowski)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDousek 1.83 / Szotkowski 1.83
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Szotkowski)+4.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13058363
Dousek1.83
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Szotkowski1.83
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeDousek4wins
AwaySzotkowski6wins
5 of 10 to a deciderSzotkowski leads 6–4, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDousek100%3 of 3
AwaySzotkowski85.7%6 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Dousek3Szotkowski7n = 10Szotkowski took 7 of 10
S2Dousek7Szotkowski3n = 10Dousek took 7 of 10
S3Dousek3Szotkowski7n = 10Szotkowski took 7 of 10
S4Dousek9Szotkowski0n = 9Dousek took 9 of 9
S5Dousek0Szotkowski5n = 5Szotkowski took 5 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away550%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricDousekSzotkowskiD − SBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match41.640.7+0.9per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDousekSzotkowskiBasisWin rate · lifetime226 / 425 vs 432 / 82853.2%52.2%226 / 425 vs 432 / 828Avg sets wonper match2.12.2per matchAvg pointsper match39.340.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SzotkowskiDousek 1.83/Szotkowski 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Szotkowski · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Szotkowski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 2 · 11:00T. Dousek—11181162J. Szotkowski—117119113
WAug 3 · 11:00T. Dousek—11118113J. Szotkowski—261191
LJul 30 · 11:00T. Dousek—101191142J. Szotkowski—126115113
WJul 14 · 15:30T. Dousek—81111113J. Szotkowski—117771
LJul 12 · 10:30T. Dousek—4870J. Szotkowski—1111113
LJun 29 · 13:30T. Dousek—1111131192J. Szotkowski—138155113
WJun 29 · 11:00T. Dousek—12911113J. Szotkowski—1011861
LJun 25 · 12:58T. Dousek—711411142J. Szotkowski—114119163
WJun 25 · 12:00T. Dousek—11611113J. Szotkowski—711871
LJun 20 · 16:58T. Dousek—911511132J. Szotkowski—119113153
T. Dousek10
LSep 6 · 21:30T. Dousek1.46127921P. Wawrosz2.36101111113WSep 6 · 20:00R. Polasek1.917811141T. Dousek1.8011117163WSep 6 · 19:00M. Vavrecka1.91711681T. Dousek1.8011911113LSep 6 · 18:30T. Dousek1.6111127982P. Wawrosz2.204101111113LSep 5 · 16:58T. Dousek1.7361181182T. Zika2.00117117113LSep 5 · 16:00T. Dousek2.5011911842M. Biolek1.50711811113WSep 5 · 15:30T. Zika2.101112111182T. Dousek1.67814913113LSep 5 · 14:00T. Dousek1.809911101R. Polasek1.9111117123LSep 4 · 12:59R. Polasek1.911111113T. Dousek1.808880LSep 4 · 12:00T. Dousek1.831181081R. Polasek1.8391112113
J. Szotkowski10
LSep 3 · 12:58T. Zika1.911112113J. Szotkowski1.8071090LSep 3 · 12:00T. Dousek1.831112113J. Szotkowski1.8361090LSep 3 · 11:00M. Sedlacek1.801111113J. Szotkowski1.919660WSep 3 · 10:30J. Szotkowski1.831111113T. Zika1.837730WSep 3 · 09:28J. Szotkowski1.571211113R. Polasek2.2510890WSep 3 · 08:30J. Szotkowski1.671111113R. Revay2.108590WSep 3 · 07:00J. Szotkowski1.671111113R. Polasek2.106260WSep 3 · 06:00T. Zika1.733820J. Szotkowski2.001111113LSep 2 · 13:28T. Dousek1.831111113J. Szotkowski1.838890LSep 2 · 12:00M. Sedlacek1.7311711113J. Szotkowski2.00611631
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