TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13070576
Played Sep 3Finished
Jan Szotkowski
Home
1.57
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1210118119––––
Radovan Polasek
Away
2.25
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
How it is goingJan Szotkowski above · Radovan Polasek below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 11-9
Point 61 set 3, 11-9
61 points played in total.
H2H Jan Szotkowski 28–20 Radovan Polasek Radovan Polasek has won 20 of their 48 meetings.
Signal confidence: 60% — Slight lean (leans Szotkowski)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Polasek form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (44%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSzotkowski 1.57 / Polasek 2.25
Signal prob.60% / 40%
Edge (Szotkowski)+1.2pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13070576
Szotkowski1.57
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite54% won 134 of 250
Up 2–0, closes it93% 66 of 71
Up 1–0, closes it72% 105 of 146
Polasek2.25
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog51% won 168 of 331
Down 0–1, comes back29% 48 of 164
Down 0–2, comes back11% 9 of 82
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSzotkowski6wins
AwayPolasek4wins
3 of 10 to a deciderSzotkowski leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSzotkowski75%3 of 4
AwayPolasek50%3 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Szotkowski4Polasek6n = 10Polasek took 6 of 10
S2Szotkowski5Polasek5n = 10split evenly
S3Szotkowski5Polasek5n = 10split evenly
S4Szotkowski5Polasek2n = 7Szotkowski took 5 of 7
S5Szotkowski2Polasek1n = 3Szotkowski took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricSzotkowskiPolasekS − PBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match39.935.8+4.1per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSzotkowskiPolasekBasisWin rate · lifetime435 / 833 vs 431 / 84752.2%50.9%435 / 833 vs 431 / 847Avg sets wonper match2.22.1per matchAvg pointsper match40.538.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SzotkowskiSzotkowski 1.57/Polasek 2.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
60.1%
Szotkowski · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Szotkowski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 3 · 07:00J. Szotkowski—1111113R. Polasek—6260
WAug 27 · 16:30J. Szotkowski—691111113R. Polasek—11112372
WAug 25 · 11:30J. Szotkowski—131111113R. Polasek—157381
WAug 11 · 10:00J. Szotkowski—11118113R. Polasek—481141
LAug 3 · 15:00J. Szotkowski—88100R. Polasek—1111123
WJul 17 · 11:00J. Szotkowski—111012113R. Polasek—7121081
WJul 16 · 12:00J. Szotkowski—8111311133R. Polasek—119159112
LJul 9 · 13:30J. Szotkowski—59110R. Polasek—1111133
LJul 9 · 12:00J. Szotkowski—1110881R. Polasek—61211113
LJul 6 · 12:59J. Szotkowski—81211572R. Polasek—1110611113
J. Szotkowski10
LSep 3 · 12:58T. Zika1.911112113J. Szotkowski1.8071090LSep 3 · 12:00T. Dousek1.831112113J. Szotkowski1.8361090LSep 3 · 11:00M. Sedlacek1.801111113J. Szotkowski1.919660WSep 3 · 10:30J. Szotkowski1.831111113T. Zika1.837730WSep 3 · 08:30J. Szotkowski1.671111113R. Revay2.108590WSep 3 · 07:00J. Szotkowski1.671111113R. Polasek2.106260WSep 3 · 06:00T. Zika1.733820J. Szotkowski2.001111113LSep 2 · 13:28T. Dousek1.831111113J. Szotkowski1.838890LSep 2 · 12:00M. Sedlacek1.7311711113J. Szotkowski2.00611631WSep 2 · 11:00T. Dousek1.8311181162J. Szotkowski1.83117119113
R. Polasek10
LSep 6 · 21:00R. Polasek1.73111312882M. Vavrecka2.006151011113LSep 6 · 20:00R. Polasek1.917811141T. Dousek1.8011117163WSep 6 · 19:30P. Wawrosz1.8021250R. Polasek1.911114113LSep 6 · 18:00R. Polasek1.7381111862M. Vavrecka2.00119611113WSep 5 · 17:29M. Biolek1.4411671122R. Polasek2.63711115113LSep 5 · 16:30R. Polasek1.8311410101T. Zika1.8331112123LSep 5 · 15:00R. Polasek2.2011441182M. Biolek1.61411119113WSep 5 · 14:00T. Dousek1.809911101R. Polasek1.9111117123WSep 4 · 12:59R. Polasek1.911111113T. Dousek1.808880LSep 3 · 07:00J. Szotkowski1.671111113R. Polasek2.106260
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