TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13064114
Played Sep 3Finished
Tadeas Zika
Home
1.73
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
311811211––––
Jan Szotkowski
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:38 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeTadeas Zika to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingTadeas Zika above · Jan Szotkowski below
Set 1 · 3-11
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 2-11
Point 46 set 3, 2-11 — our read held Tadeas Zika at 54.0%
46 points played in total.
H2H Tadeas Zika 98–114 Jan Szotkowski Tadeas Zika has won 98 of their 212 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 10:38What took a side1 for · 2 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Zika
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
98-114 in 212
Szotkowski
Correct
gap of 16 in 212, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Zika 1855 vs Szotkowski 1917
Szotkowski
Correct
both rated, 62 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Zika 40% vs Szotkowski 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Zika 50% vs Szotkowski 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Zika -2 · Szotkowski -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Zika)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zika form (40%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZika 1.73 / Szotkowski 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Zika)+0.3pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13064114
Zika1.73
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite53% won 109 of 204
Up 2–0, closes it96% 50 of 52
Up 1–0, closes it70% 77 of 110
Szotkowski2.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog52% won 79 of 153
Down 0–1, comes back19% 12 of 62
Down 0–2, comes back9% 3 of 32
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeZika4wins
AwaySzotkowski6wins
2 of 10 to a deciderSzotkowski leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeZika66.7%2 of 3
AwaySzotkowski71.4%5 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Zika3Szotkowski7n = 10Szotkowski took 7 of 10
S2Zika7Szotkowski3n = 10Zika took 7 of 10
S3Zika4Szotkowski6n = 10Szotkowski took 6 of 10
S4Zika2Szotkowski5n = 7Szotkowski took 5 of 7
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricZikaSzotkowskiZ − SBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match35.039.6−4.6per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZikaSzotkowskiBasisWin rate · lifetime784 / 1709 vs 432 / 83045.9%52.1%784 / 1709 vs 432 / 830Avg sets wonper match2.02.2per matchAvg pointsper match38.540.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZikaZika 1.73/Szotkowski 2.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Zika · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Szotkowski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 3 · 12:58T. Zika—1112113J. Szotkowski—71090
LSep 3 · 10:30T. Zika—7730J. Szotkowski—1111113
LSep 3 · 06:00T. Zika—3820J. Szotkowski—1111113
LSep 2 · 10:30T. Zika—1711861J. Szotkowski—19911113
LAug 31 · 19:00T. Zika—10114101J. Szotkowski—12811123
LAug 31 · 15:00T. Zika—111114762J. Szotkowski—781611113
LAug 27 · 17:30T. Zika—5119101J. Szotkowski—11811123
WAug 27 · 14:30T. Zika—11311113J. Szotkowski—911981
WAug 27 · 10:00T. Zika—912116113J. Szotkowski—111051182
WAug 25 · 17:30T. Zika—71111113J. Szotkowski—117971
T. Zika10
WSep 5 · 16:58T. Dousek1.7361181182T. Zika2.00117117113WSep 5 · 16:30R. Polasek1.8311410101T. Zika1.8331112123LSep 5 · 15:30T. Zika2.101112111182T. Dousek1.67814913113LSep 5 · 14:30M. Biolek1.501112123T. Zika2.50810100LSep 5 · 13:03M. Cabis1.5571211113T. Zika2.301110831LSep 5 · 12:00M. Biolek1.571111113T. Zika2.258880LSep 5 · 11:00M. Cabis1.6111811113T. Zika2.20611931WSep 5 · 10:30T. Zika1.8313811113O. Paril1.831111781WSep 4 · 09:00P. Wawrosz1.911311771T. Zika1.8015711113LSep 4 · 08:00R. Polasek1.9171114113T. Zika1.801161241
J. Szotkowski10
LSep 3 · 12:58T. Zika1.911112113J. Szotkowski1.8071090LSep 3 · 12:00T. Dousek1.831112113J. Szotkowski1.8361090LSep 3 · 11:00M. Sedlacek1.801111113J. Szotkowski1.919660WSep 3 · 10:30J. Szotkowski1.831111113T. Zika1.837730WSep 3 · 09:28J. Szotkowski1.571211113R. Polasek2.2510890WSep 3 · 08:30J. Szotkowski1.671111113R. Revay2.108590WSep 3 · 07:00J. Szotkowski1.671111113R. Polasek2.106260LSep 2 · 13:28T. Dousek1.831111113J. Szotkowski1.838890LSep 2 · 12:00M. Sedlacek1.7311711113J. Szotkowski2.00611631WSep 2 · 11:00T. Dousek1.8311181162J. Szotkowski1.83117119113
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