TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13052818
Played Sep 1Finished
Michal Wollny
Home
1.80
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1141189111012117
Vitezslav Burdik
Away
1.91
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:05 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMichal Wollny to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMichal Wollny above · Vitezslav Burdik below
Set 1 · 11-4
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 10-12
Set 5 · 11-7
Point 94 set 5, 11-7 — our read held Michal Wollny at 54.0%
94 points played in total.
H2H Michal Wollny 7–5 Vitezslav Burdik Vitezslav Burdik has won 5 of their 12 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 13:05What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Wollny
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
7-5 in 12
Wollny
Correct
gap of 2 in 12, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Wollny 1778 vs Burdik 1731
Wollny
Correct
both rated, 48 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Wollny 40% vs Burdik 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Wollny 50% vs Burdik 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Wollny -1 · Burdik +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Wollny)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Burdik form (40%) is below what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsWollny 1.80 / Burdik 1.91
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Wollny)+2.5pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13052818
Wollny1.80
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite53% won 25 of 47
Up 2–0, closes it90% 9 of 10
Up 1–0, closes it71% 20 of 28
Burdik1.91
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog52% won 17 of 33
Down 0–1, comes back19% 3 of 16
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeWollny7wins
AwayBurdik3wins
3 of 10 to a deciderWollny leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeWollny80%4 of 5
AwayBurdik40%2 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Wollny5Burdik5n = 10split evenly
S2Wollny5Burdik5n = 10split evenly
S3Wollny6Burdik4n = 10Wollny took 6 of 10
S4Wollny4Burdik5n = 9Burdik took 5 of 9
S5Wollny3Burdik0n = 3Wollny took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricWollnyBurdikW − BBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match41.037.5+3.5per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricWollnyBurdikBasisWin rate · lifetime123 / 231 vs 93 / 18453.3%50.5%123 / 231 vs 93 / 184Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.037.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
WollnyWollny 1.80/Burdik 1.91
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Wollny · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Wollny won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 1 · 18:00M. Wollny—1111910113V. Burdik—48111272
LAug 18 · 16:58M. Wollny—71350V. Burdik—1115113
WAug 18 · 16:30M. Wollny—13811113V. Burdik—1111851
WJun 25 · 20:00M. Wollny—91111113V. Burdik—117251
LJun 23 · 19:00M. Wollny—751191V. Burdik—11113113
WJun 21 · 07:00M. Wollny—111011113V. Burdik—712671
WJun 14 · 21:30M. Wollny—711114113V. Burdik—11851192
LJun 14 · 20:00M. Wollny—1710671V. Burdik—151211113
WNov 7 · 19:30M. Wollny—611135113V. Burdik—116111182
WSep 4 · 19:30M. Wollny—12119113V. Burdik—1011161
M. Wollny10
LSep 3 · 21:00V. Burdik2.00111411113M. Wollny1.73516781LSep 3 · 20:00M. Wollny2.20661181M. Kratochvil1.6111118113LSep 3 · 19:30R. Urbaniec2.6311911113M. Wollny1.44911781LSep 3 · 18:00M. Wollny1.7361111852V. Burdik2.00119711113WSep 1 · 21:28M. Wollny1.731011911113V. Burdik2.0012711882WSep 1 · 20:00M. Wollny1.6111118113R. Urbaniec2.20941171WSep 1 · 19:30L. Kern2.50115981M. Wollny1.5091111113LAug 18 · 16:58M. Wollny1.7371350V. Burdik2.001115113WAug 18 · 16:30M. Wollny1.8013811113V. Burdik1.911111851LAug 18 · 15:00M. Wollny1.7341161192L. Velebil2.00118118113
V. Burdik10
WSep 3 · 21:00V. Burdik2.00111411113M. Wollny1.73516781LSep 3 · 20:30V. Burdik1.91711251R. Urbaniec1.8011811113LSep 3 · 19:00V. Burdik2.201179101M. Kratochvil1.6191111123WSep 3 · 18:00M. Wollny1.7361111852V. Burdik2.00119711113LSep 1 · 21:28M. Wollny1.731011911113V. Burdik2.0012711882WSep 1 · 20:30V. Burdik1.5311411113L. Kern2.38911571WSep 1 · 19:00V. Burdik2.0091111123R. Urbaniec1.731185101WAug 18 · 16:58M. Wollny1.7371350V. Burdik2.001115113LAug 18 · 16:30M. Wollny1.8013811113V. Burdik1.911111851LAug 18 · 15:30V. Burdik2.5064100M. Grundel1.501111123
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