TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13052638
Played Sep 1Finished
Michal Wollny
Home
1.62
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
119114811117––
Radim Urbaniec
Away
2.20
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:46 and never touched — 59.3% is still 59.3%
Graded at full timeMichal Wollny to win
59.3%
59.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMichal Wollny above · Radim Urbaniec below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-4
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 11-7
Point 72 set 4, 11-7 — our read held Michal Wollny at 59.3%
72 points played in total.
H2H Michal Wollny 7–3 Radim Urbaniec Radim Urbaniec has won 3 of their 10 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 12:46What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Wollny
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
7-3 in 10
Wollny
Correct
gap of 4 in 10, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Wollny 1778 vs Urbaniec 1697
Wollny
Correct
both rated, 82 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Wollny 60% vs Urbaniec 40%
Wollny
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Wollny 50% vs Urbaniec 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Wollny +2 · Urbaniec -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Wollny)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsWollny 1.61 / Urbaniec 2.20
Signal prob.59% / 41%
Edge (Wollny)+1.6pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13052638
Wollny1.61
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite53% won 25 of 47
Up 2–0, closes it90% 9 of 10
Up 1–0, closes it71% 20 of 28
Urbaniec2.20
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog41% won 191 of 469
Down 0–1, comes back21% 55 of 263
Down 0–2, comes back4% 6 of 144
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeWollny7wins
AwayUrbaniec3wins
5 of 10 to a deciderWollny leads 7–3, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeWollny100%7 of 7
AwayUrbaniec100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Wollny7Urbaniec3n = 10Wollny took 7 of 10
S2Wollny7Urbaniec3n = 10Wollny took 7 of 10
S3Wollny3Urbaniec7n = 10Urbaniec took 7 of 10
S4Wollny5Urbaniec3n = 8Wollny took 5 of 8
S5Wollny3Urbaniec2n = 5Wollny took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricWollnyUrbaniecW − UBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match42.438.4+4.0per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricWollnyUrbaniecBasisWin rate · lifetime123 / 231 vs 603 / 118253.3%51%123 / 231 vs 603 / 1182Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.037.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
WollnyWollny 1.61/Urbaniec 2.20
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
59.3%
Wollny · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Wollny won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WJun 25 · 21:30M. Wollny—111159113R. Urbaniec—69111182
WJun 25 · 18:00M. Wollny—1112107113R. Urbaniec—710121142
LJun 23 · 18:30M. Wollny—9950R. Urbaniec—1111113
WMay 20 · 15:30M. Wollny—11811113R. Urbaniec—611541
LApr 29 · 17:00M. Wollny—811111272R. Urbaniec—115914113
LApr 29 · 14:00M. Wollny—111491192R. Urbaniec—1312116113
WApr 23 · 14:00M. Wollny—12114113R. Urbaniec—1061161
WJan 10 · 21:00M. Wollny—118311113R. Urbaniec—81111862
WJan 7 · 12:30M. Wollny—1111113R. Urbaniec—7680
WDec 17 · 08:30M. Wollny—13119113R. Urbaniec—1171161
M. Wollny10
LSep 3 · 21:00V. Burdik2.00111411113M. Wollny1.73516781LSep 3 · 20:00M. Wollny2.20661181M. Kratochvil1.6111118113LSep 3 · 19:30R. Urbaniec2.6311911113M. Wollny1.44911781LSep 3 · 18:00M. Wollny1.7361111852V. Burdik2.00119711113WSep 1 · 21:28M. Wollny1.731011911113V. Burdik2.0012711882WSep 1 · 19:30L. Kern2.50115981M. Wollny1.5091111113WSep 1 · 18:00M. Wollny1.801111910113V. Burdik1.9148111272LAug 18 · 16:58M. Wollny1.7371350V. Burdik2.001115113WAug 18 · 16:30M. Wollny1.8013811113V. Burdik1.911111851LAug 18 · 15:00M. Wollny1.7341161192L. Velebil2.00118118113
R. Urbaniec10
LSep 3 · 21:30R. Urbaniec2.00771171M. Kratochvil1.7311119113WSep 3 · 20:30V. Burdik1.91711251R. Urbaniec1.8011811113WSep 3 · 19:30R. Urbaniec2.6311911113M. Wollny1.44911781WSep 3 · 18:30M. Kratochvil1.50914881R. Urbaniec2.50111211113LSep 3 · 16:59R. Urbaniec2.635450L. Velebil1.441111113WSep 3 · 16:30L. Velebil1.33111158102R. Urbaniec3.25891111123LSep 3 · 15:30R. Urbaniec3.253660M. Grundel1.331111113LSep 3 · 14:30M. Skotnica1.40811911113R. Urbaniec2.7511411862WSep 2 · 21:00R. Urbaniec1.611111113R. Hudeczek2.205660WSep 2 · 20:00R. Urbaniec1.44711118113M. Chalupa2.6311971192
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