TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13073650
Played Sep 3Finished
Vitezslav Burdik
Home
2.00
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1151416117118––
Michal Wollny
Away
1.73
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:59 and never touched — 54.5% is still 54.5%
Graded at full timeMichal Wollny to win
54.5%
54.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingVitezslav Burdik above · Michal Wollny below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 14-16
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 11-8
Point 83 set 4, 11-8 — our read held Michal Wollny at 54.5%
83 points played in total.
H2H Vitezslav Burdik 6–8 Michal Wollny Vitezslav Burdik has won 6 of their 14 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:59What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Wollny
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-8 in 14
Wollny
Wrong
gap of 2 in 14, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Burdik 1697 vs Wollny 1762
Wollny
Wrong
both rated, 65 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Burdik 40% vs Wollny 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Burdik 40% vs Wollny 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Burdik -2 · Wollny -3
Wollny
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Coin-flip (leans Wollny)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Wollny form (40%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBurdik 2.00 / Wollny 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 55%
Edge (Wollny)+0.8pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13073650
Burdik2.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog50% won 18 of 36
Down 0–1, comes back22% 4 of 18
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 11
Wollny1.73
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite57% won 29 of 51
Up 2–0, closes it92% 11 of 12
Up 1–0, closes it73% 22 of 30
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBurdik4wins
AwayWollny6wins
4 of 10 to a deciderWollny leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBurdik50%3 of 6
AwayWollny75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Burdik6Wollny4n = 10Burdik took 6 of 10
S2Burdik5Wollny5n = 10split evenly
S3Burdik4Wollny6n = 10Wollny took 6 of 10
S4Burdik5Wollny4n = 9Burdik took 5 of 9
S5Burdik1Wollny3n = 4Wollny took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricBurdikWollnyB − WBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match39.541.4−1.9per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBurdikWollnyBasisWin rate · lifetime95 / 189 vs 125 / 23650.3%53%95 / 189 vs 125 / 236Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.638.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
WollnyBurdik 2.00/Wollny 1.73
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54.5%
Wollny · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Burdik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 3 · 18:00V. Burdik—119711113M. Wollny—61111852
LSep 1 · 21:28V. Burdik—12711882M. Wollny—1011911113
LSep 1 · 18:00V. Burdik—48111272M. Wollny—1111910113
WAug 18 · 16:58V. Burdik—1115113M. Wollny—71350
LAug 18 · 16:30V. Burdik—1111851M. Wollny—13811113
LJun 25 · 20:00V. Burdik—117251M. Wollny—91111113
WJun 23 · 19:00V. Burdik—11113113M. Wollny—751191
LJun 21 · 07:00V. Burdik—712671M. Wollny—111011113
LJun 14 · 21:30V. Burdik—11851192M. Wollny—711114113
WJun 14 · 20:00V. Burdik—151211113M. Wollny—1710671
V. Burdik10
LSep 3 · 20:30V. Burdik1.91711251R. Urbaniec1.8011811113LSep 3 · 19:00V. Burdik2.201179101M. Kratochvil1.6191111123WSep 3 · 18:00M. Wollny1.7361111852V. Burdik2.00119711113LSep 1 · 21:28M. Wollny1.731011911113V. Burdik2.0012711882WSep 1 · 20:30V. Burdik1.5311411113L. Kern2.38911571WSep 1 · 19:00V. Burdik2.0091111123R. Urbaniec1.731185101LSep 1 · 18:00M. Wollny1.801111910113V. Burdik1.9148111272WAug 18 · 16:58M. Wollny1.7371350V. Burdik2.001115113LAug 18 · 16:30M. Wollny1.8013811113V. Burdik1.911111851LAug 18 · 15:30V. Burdik2.5064100M. Grundel1.501111123
M. Wollny10
LSep 3 · 20:00M. Wollny2.20661181M. Kratochvil1.6111118113LSep 3 · 19:30R. Urbaniec2.6311911113M. Wollny1.44911781LSep 3 · 18:00M. Wollny1.7361111852V. Burdik2.00119711113WSep 1 · 21:28M. Wollny1.731011911113V. Burdik2.0012711882WSep 1 · 20:00M. Wollny1.6111118113R. Urbaniec2.20941171WSep 1 · 19:30L. Kern2.50115981M. Wollny1.5091111113WSep 1 · 18:00M. Wollny1.801111910113V. Burdik1.9148111272LAug 18 · 16:58M. Wollny1.7371350V. Burdik2.001115113WAug 18 · 16:30M. Wollny1.8013811113V. Burdik1.911111851LAug 18 · 15:00M. Wollny1.7341161192L. Velebil2.00118118113
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