TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13052759
Played Sep 2Finished
Martin Huk
Home
2.50
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1186111210118––
Jakub Kycelt
Away
1.50
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:05 and never touched — 63.3% is still 63.3%
Graded at full timeJakub Kycelt to win
63.3%
63.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingMartin Huk above · Jakub Kycelt below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 12-10
Set 4 · 11-8
Point 77 set 4, 11-8 — our read held Jakub Kycelt at 63.3%
77 points played in total.
H2H Martin Huk 11–20 Jakub Kycelt Martin Huk has won 11 of their 31 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 13:05What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Kycelt
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
11-20 in 31
Kycelt
Wrong
gap of 9 in 31, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Huk 1808 vs Kycelt 1757
Huk
Correct
both rated, 51 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Huk 60% vs Kycelt 40%
Huk
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Huk 60% vs Kycelt 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Huk +3 · Kycelt -1
Huk
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 63% — Clear lean (leans Kycelt)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kycelt form (40%) is below what odds imply (67%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHuk 2.50 / Kycelt 1.50
Signal prob.37% / 63%
Edge (Kycelt)+0.8pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13052759
Huk2.50
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog41% won 134 of 324
Down 0–1, comes back24% 40 of 168
Down 0–2, comes back7% 6 of 86
Kycelt1.50
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite61% won 41 of 67
Up 2–0, closes it96% 25 of 26
Up 1–0, closes it83% 33 of 40
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHuk2wins
AwayKycelt8wins
2 of 10 to a deciderKycelt leads 8–2, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHuk50%2 of 4
AwayKycelt100%6 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Huk4Kycelt6n = 10Kycelt took 6 of 10
S2Huk2Kycelt8n = 10Kycelt took 8 of 10
S3Huk4Kycelt6n = 10Kycelt took 6 of 10
S4Huk3Kycelt3n = 6split evenly
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricHukKyceltH − KBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match29.337.6−8.3per matchSweeps13−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHukKyceltBasisWin rate · lifetime816 / 1662 vs 153 / 30849.1%49.7%816 / 1662 vs 153 / 308Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.537.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KyceltHuk 2.50/Kycelt 1.50
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
63.3%
Kycelt · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Huk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LJul 8 · 18:30M. Huk—11591192J. Kycelt—811118113
LJun 1 · 16:00M. Huk—931181J. Kycelt—11117113
LMay 27 · 03:30M. Huk—371131J. Kycelt—11119113
LMay 27 · 01:30M. Huk—51281132J. Kycelt—1110116113
WApr 3 · 06:30M. Huk—11812113J. Kycelt—1111061
LApr 2 · 18:30M. Huk—9250J. Kycelt—1111113
LMar 25 · 22:30M. Huk—4670J. Kycelt—1111113
WMar 25 · 21:30M. Huk—1111113J. Kycelt—9990
LMar 12 · 20:30M. Huk—113551J. Kycelt—91111113
LMar 10 · 22:00M. Huk—9670J. Kycelt—1111113
M. Huk10
WSep 3 · 13:29M. Zahradka1.6110131081M. Huk2.20121112113WSep 3 · 12:30M. Huk1.8312119113J. Ruzicka1.831071191LSep 3 · 11:00M. Huk1.91711561M. Zahradka1.8011911113WSep 3 · 10:00E. Mares1.4461114662M. Huk2.631151211113LSep 3 · 09:28M. Zahradka1.801111113M. Huk1.915750LSep 3 · 08:00M. Zahradka1.73511114123M. Huk2.00118711102WSep 3 · 07:00M. Klimenta1.80118681M. Huk1.9141111113WSep 3 · 06:30M. Huk1.801171011113J. Ruzicka1.9161112772WSep 2 · 21:28J. Kycelt1.50116871M. Huk2.5041111113WSep 2 · 20:30M. Huk1.83118116113J. Ruzicka1.8331181152
J. Kycelt10
LSep 2 · 21:28J. Kycelt1.50116871M. Huk2.5041111113LSep 2 · 20:00J. Kycelt1.916840T. Postelt1.801111113WSep 2 · 19:30J. Ruzicka2.509750J. Kycelt1.501111113WSep 2 · 18:00J. Kycelt1.531111113M. Huk2.388780WSep 2 · 03:00L. Zeman1.73891251J. Kycelt2.00111110113LSep 2 · 01:30J. Kycelt2.63913691E. Mares1.44111111113LSep 1 · 23:30L. Zeman1.7310111011123J. Kycelt2.00126125102WSep 1 · 22:30J. Kycelt1.9111113113F. Wolf1.80361191LSep 1 · 17:30J. Kycelt1.85116781T. Postelt1.8581111113WSep 1 · 16:30L. Jindrak1.408490J. Kycelt2.751111113
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