TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13059598
Played Sep 2Finished
Martin Huk
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
113811118611115
Jiri Ruzicka
Away
1.83
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:53 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMartin Huk to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMartin Huk above · Jiri Ruzicka below
Set 1 · 11-3
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 6-11
Set 5 · 11-5
Point 85 set 5, 11-5 — our read held Martin Huk at 54.0%
85 points played in total.
H2H Martin Huk 160–102 Jiri Ruzicka Jiri Ruzicka has won 102 of their 262 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 15:53What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Ruzicka
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
160-102 in 262
Huk
Correct
gap of 58 in 262, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Huk 1818 vs Ruzicka 1690
Huk
Correct
both rated, 128 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Huk 60% vs Ruzicka 20%
Huk
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Huk 60% vs Ruzicka 30%
Huk
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Huk +1 · Ruzicka -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Huk)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Ruzicka form (20%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHuk 1.83 / Ruzicka 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Huk)+4.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13059598
Huk1.83
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Ruzicka1.83
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHuk5wins
AwayRuzicka5wins
1 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHuk80%4 of 5
AwayRuzicka80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Huk5Ruzicka5n = 10split evenly
S2Huk4Ruzicka6n = 10Ruzicka took 6 of 10
S3Huk8Ruzicka2n = 10Huk took 8 of 10
S4Huk4Ruzicka5n = 9Ruzicka took 5 of 9
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricHukRuzickaH − RBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match39.138.1+1.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHukRuzickaBasisWin rate · lifetime818 / 1666 vs 676 / 139649.1%48.4%818 / 1666 vs 676 / 1396Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.538.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HukHuk 1.83/Ruzicka 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Huk · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Huk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 25 · 06:30M. Huk—581181J. Ruzicka—11117113
LAug 24 · 21:30M. Huk—9117101J. Ruzicka—11911123
LAug 24 · 18:30M. Huk—1113141182J. Ruzicka—13111213113
WAug 24 · 15:30M. Huk—11811133J. Ruzicka—9118111
WAug 20 · 01:00M. Huk—11711113J. Ruzicka—811971
LAug 19 · 03:00M. Huk—3611121J. Ruzicka—11115143
WAug 19 · 01:30M. Huk—1111113J. Ruzicka—9680
WAug 15 · 23:30M. Huk—91111113J. Ruzicka—116781
LAug 13 · 23:30M. Huk—1181041J. Ruzicka—41112113
WAug 5 · 22:30M. Huk—11911113J. Ruzicka—911641
M. Huk10
WSep 3 · 13:29M. Zahradka1.6110131081M. Huk2.20121112113WSep 3 · 12:30M. Huk1.8312119113J. Ruzicka1.831071191LSep 3 · 11:00M. Huk1.91711561M. Zahradka1.8011911113WSep 3 · 10:00E. Mares1.4461114662M. Huk2.631151211113LSep 3 · 09:28M. Zahradka1.801111113M. Huk1.915750LSep 3 · 08:00M. Zahradka1.73511114123M. Huk2.00118711102WSep 3 · 07:00M. Klimenta1.80118681M. Huk1.9141111113WSep 3 · 06:30M. Huk1.801171011113J. Ruzicka1.9161112772WSep 2 · 21:28J. Kycelt1.50116871M. Huk2.5041111113WSep 2 · 19:00M. Huk2.1061112113T. Postelt1.671171091
J. Ruzicka10
WSep 3 · 12:59E. Mares1.4471311952J. Ruzicka2.631111711113LSep 3 · 12:30M. Huk1.8312119113J. Ruzicka1.831071191LSep 3 · 11:30J. Ruzicka2.7561113092E. Mares1.401191111113LSep 3 · 10:30M. Zahradka1.6191111113J. Ruzicka2.20116361WSep 3 · 08:59M. Klimenta1.809860J. Ruzicka1.911111113LSep 3 · 08:30M. Klimenta1.80991111133J. Ruzicka1.91111193112LSep 3 · 07:30J. Ruzicka2.105480M. Zahradka1.671111113LSep 3 · 06:30M. Huk1.801171011113J. Ruzicka1.9161112772LSep 2 · 20:58T. Postelt1.731111153J. Ruzicka2.0079130LSep 2 · 19:30J. Ruzicka2.509750J. Kycelt1.501111113
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