TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13071651
Played Sep 3Finished
Erik Mares
Home
1.44
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
7111311117911511
Jiri Ruzicka
Away
2.63
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 3
How it is goingErik Mares above · Jiri Ruzicka below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 13-11
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 9-11
Set 5 · 5-11
Point 96 set 5, 5-11
96 points played in total.
H2H Erik Mares 7–3 Jiri Ruzicka Jiri Ruzicka has won 3 of their 10 meetings.
Signal confidence: 69% — Clear lean (leans Mares)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Ruzicka form (20%) is below what odds imply (38%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMares 1.44 / Ruzicka 2.63
Signal prob.69% / 32%
Edge (Mares)+4.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13071651
Mares1.44
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite58% won 141 of 242
Up 2–0, closes it86% 89 of 103
Up 1–0, closes it72% 114 of 159
Ruzicka2.63
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog40% won 150 of 372
Down 0–1, comes back22% 50 of 230
Down 0–2, comes back5% 6 of 118
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMares7wins
AwayRuzicka3wins
4 of 10 to a deciderMares leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMares75%6 of 8
AwayRuzickan = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Mares8Ruzicka2n = 10Mares took 8 of 10
S2Mares3Ruzicka7n = 10Ruzicka took 7 of 10
S3Mares3Ruzicka7n = 10Ruzicka took 7 of 10
S4Mares5Ruzicka3n = 8Mares took 5 of 8
S5Mares4Ruzicka0n = 4Mares took 4 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricMaresRuzickaM − RBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match45.743.8+1.9per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMaresRuzickaBasisWin rate · lifetime589 / 1173 vs 677 / 140550.2%48.2%589 / 1173 vs 677 / 1405Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.938.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MaresMares 1.44/Ruzicka 2.63
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
68.5%
Mares · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Ruzicka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WJun 22 · 13:00E. Mares—1111113J. Ruzicka—4980
WJun 22 · 10:30E. Mares—111116113J. Ruzicka—591891
WJan 19 · 11:30E. Mares—129913133J. Ruzicka—10111111112
WJan 12 · 14:00E. Mares—128915283J. Ruzicka—10111113262
WJan 12 · 11:30E. Mares—11119113J. Ruzicka—941141
LDec 23 · 04:08E. Mares—1381681J. Ruzicka—111118113
WDec 23 · 03:30E. Mares—139116133J. Ruzicka—1111911112
WDec 18 · 14:00E. Mares—681111113J. Ruzicka—11119742
LDec 18 · 12:30E. Mares—1194101J. Ruzicka—91111123
LDec 1 · 13:00E. Mares—81090J. Ruzicka—1112113
E. Mares10
LSep 6 · 09:00E. Mares1.579111111102O. Kolisnyk2.25111369123WSep 6 · 08:00E. Mares1.83114116113J. Vales1.8351151152WSep 6 · 07:30O. Kolisnyk2.5089111172E. Mares1.50111169113LSep 6 · 06:00E. Mares1.83911117102T. Postelt1.83113911123LSep 5 · 13:00E. Mares1.731111771J. Zajicek2.0061311113LSep 5 · 12:00E. Mares1.83119113132J. Vales1.83611511153WSep 5 · 11:30J. Zajicek1.73911681E. Mares2.0011711113LSep 5 · 10:00E. Mares2.259620J. Medek1.571111113LSep 4 · 21:30E. Mares2.00311111052J. Medek1.73119912113WSep 4 · 20:00E. Mares1.8011813113J. Vales1.912111171
J. Ruzicka10
LSep 3 · 12:30M. Huk1.8312119113J. Ruzicka1.831071191LSep 3 · 11:30J. Ruzicka2.7561113092E. Mares1.401191111113LSep 3 · 10:30M. Zahradka1.6191111113J. Ruzicka2.20116361WSep 3 · 08:59M. Klimenta1.809860J. Ruzicka1.911111113LSep 3 · 08:30M. Klimenta1.80991111133J. Ruzicka1.91111193112LSep 3 · 07:30J. Ruzicka2.105480M. Zahradka1.671111113LSep 3 · 06:30M. Huk1.801171011113J. Ruzicka1.9161112772LSep 2 · 20:58T. Postelt1.731111153J. Ruzicka2.0079130LSep 2 · 20:30M. Huk1.83118116113J. Ruzicka1.8331181152LSep 2 · 19:30J. Ruzicka2.509750J. Kycelt1.501111113
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