TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13065101
Played Sep 3Finished
Michal Zahradka
Home
1.62
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 4
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
911116113116––
Jiri Ruzicka
Away
2.20
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:20 and never touched — 56.6% is still 56.6%
Graded at full timeMichal Zahradka to win
56.6%
56.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMichal Zahradka above · Jiri Ruzicka below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 11-3
Set 4 · 11-6
Point 68 set 4, 11-6 — our read held Michal Zahradka at 56.6%
68 points played in total.
H2H Michal Zahradka 39–29 Jiri Ruzicka Jiri Ruzicka has won 29 of their 68 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 13:20What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Zahradka
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
39-29 in 68
Zahradka
Correct
gap of 10 in 68, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Zahradka 1836 vs Ruzicka 1689
Zahradka
Correct
both rated, 147 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Zahradka 80% vs Ruzicka 20%
Zahradka
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Zahradka 60% vs Ruzicka 20%
Zahradka
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Zahradka +4 · Ruzicka +1
Zahradka
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Zahradka) · live re-read · sealed at 57% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Ruzicka form (20%) is below what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZahradka 1.61 / Ruzicka 2.20
Signal prob.59% / 41%
Edge (Zahradka)+1.6pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13065101
Zahradka1.61
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite54% won 101 of 187
Up 2–0, closes it88% 45 of 51
Up 1–0, closes it79% 70 of 89
Ruzicka2.20
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog40% won 150 of 372
Down 0–1, comes back22% 50 of 230
Down 0–2, comes back5% 6 of 118
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeZahradka7wins
AwayRuzicka3wins
1 of 10 to a deciderZahradka leads 7–3, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeZahradka85.7%6 of 7
AwayRuzicka66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Zahradka7Ruzicka3n = 10Zahradka took 7 of 10
S2Zahradka6Ruzicka4n = 10Zahradka took 6 of 10
S3Zahradka6Ruzicka4n = 10Zahradka took 6 of 10
S4Zahradka4Ruzicka3n = 7Zahradka took 4 of 7
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricZahradkaRuzickaZ − RBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match37.133.7+3.4per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZahradkaRuzickaBasisWin rate · lifetime432 / 888 vs 677 / 140248.7%48.3%432 / 888 vs 677 / 1402Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.638.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZahradkaZahradka 1.61/Ruzicka 2.20
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
59.3%
Zahradka · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Zahradka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 3 · 07:30M. Zahradka—1111113J. Ruzicka—5480
WAug 27 · 18:30M. Zahradka—11611133J. Ruzicka—9119111
LAug 24 · 16:58M. Zahradka—312781J. Ruzicka—111011113
WAug 24 · 14:30M. Zahradka—11116113J. Ruzicka—871161
WAug 6 · 03:00M. Zahradka—1191111113J. Ruzicka—51113262
LAug 6 · 01:30M. Zahradka—1328101J. Ruzicka—111111123
WAug 5 · 11:30M. Zahradka—1111113J. Ruzicka—7650
WAug 3 · 10:00M. Zahradka—1111113J. Ruzicka—9860
WAug 1 · 22:30M. Zahradka—81111113J. Ruzicka—118791
LJul 30 · 24:00M. Zahradka—7314111J. Ruzicka—111112133
M. Zahradka10
WSep 5 · 21:28M. Zahradka1.731111113J. Kanera2.006450LSep 5 · 20:00J. Jr1.611112157133M. Zahradka2.209141311112WSep 5 · 19:00J. Kanera2.104121151M. Zahradka1.671114793WSep 5 · 18:30M. Zahradka1.831111188113O. Kolisnyk1.8348201182LSep 3 · 13:29M. Zahradka1.6110131081M. Huk2.20121112113WSep 3 · 12:00E. Mares1.22916891M. Zahradka4.00111411113WSep 3 · 11:00M. Huk1.91711561M. Zahradka1.8011911113WSep 3 · 09:28M. Zahradka1.801111113M. Huk1.915750WSep 3 · 08:00M. Zahradka1.73511114123M. Huk2.00118711102WSep 3 · 07:30J. Ruzicka2.105480M. Zahradka1.671111113
J. Ruzicka10
WSep 3 · 12:59E. Mares1.4471311952J. Ruzicka2.631111711113LSep 3 · 12:30M. Huk1.8312119113J. Ruzicka1.831071191LSep 3 · 11:30J. Ruzicka2.7561113092E. Mares1.401191111113WSep 3 · 08:59M. Klimenta1.809860J. Ruzicka1.911111113LSep 3 · 08:30M. Klimenta1.80991111133J. Ruzicka1.91111193112LSep 3 · 07:30J. Ruzicka2.105480M. Zahradka1.671111113LSep 3 · 06:30M. Huk1.801171011113J. Ruzicka1.9161112772LSep 2 · 20:58T. Postelt1.731111153J. Ruzicka2.0079130LSep 2 · 20:30M. Huk1.83118116113J. Ruzicka1.8331181152LSep 2 · 19:30J. Ruzicka2.509750J. Kycelt1.501111113
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