TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13065078
Played Sep 3Finished
Jiri Ruzicka
Home
2.10
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 4
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
511411811––––
Michal Zahradka
Away
1.67
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:21 and never touched — 56.6% is still 56.6%
Graded at full timeMichal Zahradka to win
56.6%
56.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJiri Ruzicka above · Michal Zahradka below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 4-11
Set 3 · 8-11
Point 50 set 3, 8-11 — our read held Michal Zahradka at 56.6%
50 points played in total.
H2H Jiri Ruzicka 29–40 Michal Zahradka Jiri Ruzicka has won 29 of their 69 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 13:21What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Zahradka
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
29-40 in 69
Zahradka
Correct
gap of 11 in 69, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Ruzicka 1677 vs Zahradka 1849
Zahradka
Correct
both rated, 172 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Ruzicka 20% vs Zahradka 60%
Zahradka
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Ruzicka 10% vs Zahradka 50%
Zahradka
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Ruzicka -4 · Zahradka +1
Ruzicka
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Zahradka) · live re-read · sealed at 57% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Ruzicka form (20%) is below what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsRuzicka 2.10 / Zahradka 1.67
Signal prob.41% / 59%
Edge (Zahradka)+3.2pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13065078
Ruzicka2.10
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog40% won 152 of 380
Down 0–1, comes back21% 50 of 234
Down 0–2, comes back5% 6 of 120
Zahradka1.67
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite55% won 106 of 193
Up 2–0, closes it89% 47 of 53
Up 1–0, closes it79% 73 of 92
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeRuzicka2wins
AwayZahradka8wins
1 of 10 to a deciderZahradka leads 8–2, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeRuzicka33.3%1 of 3
AwayZahradka85.7%6 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Ruzicka3Zahradka7n = 10Zahradka took 7 of 10
S2Ruzicka3Zahradka7n = 10Zahradka took 7 of 10
S3Ruzicka4Zahradka6n = 10Zahradka took 6 of 10
S4Ruzicka2Zahradka5n = 7Zahradka took 5 of 7
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricRuzickaZahradkaR − ZBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match31.637.8−6.2per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricRuzickaZahradkaBasisWin rate · lifetime673 / 1397 vs 435 / 89248.2%48.8%673 / 1397 vs 435 / 892Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.638.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZahradkaRuzicka 2.10/Zahradka 1.67
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
59%
Zahradka · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Zahradka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 3 · 10:30J. Ruzicka—116361M. Zahradka—91111113
LSep 3 · 07:30J. Ruzicka—5480M. Zahradka—1111113
LAug 27 · 18:30J. Ruzicka—9119111M. Zahradka—11611133
WAug 24 · 16:58J. Ruzicka—111011113M. Zahradka—312781
LAug 24 · 14:30J. Ruzicka—871161M. Zahradka—11116113
LAug 6 · 03:00J. Ruzicka—51113262M. Zahradka—1191111113
WAug 6 · 01:30J. Ruzicka—111111123M. Zahradka—1328101
LAug 5 · 11:30J. Ruzicka—7650M. Zahradka—1111113
LAug 3 · 10:00J. Ruzicka—9860M. Zahradka—1111113
LAug 1 · 22:30J. Ruzicka—118791M. Zahradka—81111113
J. Ruzicka10
WSep 3 · 12:59E. Mares1.4471311952J. Ruzicka2.631111711113LSep 3 · 12:30M. Huk1.8312119113J. Ruzicka1.831071191LSep 3 · 11:30J. Ruzicka2.7561113092E. Mares1.401191111113LSep 3 · 10:30M. Zahradka1.6191111113J. Ruzicka2.20116361WSep 3 · 08:59M. Klimenta1.809860J. Ruzicka1.911111113LSep 3 · 08:30M. Klimenta1.80991111133J. Ruzicka1.91111193112LSep 3 · 06:30M. Huk1.801171011113J. Ruzicka1.9161112772LSep 2 · 20:58T. Postelt1.731111153J. Ruzicka2.0079130LSep 2 · 20:30M. Huk1.83118116113J. Ruzicka1.8331181152LSep 2 · 19:30J. Ruzicka2.509750J. Kycelt1.501111113
M. Zahradka10
WSep 5 · 21:28M. Zahradka1.731111113J. Kanera2.006450LSep 5 · 20:00J. Jr1.611112157133M. Zahradka2.209141311112WSep 5 · 19:00J. Kanera2.104121151M. Zahradka1.671114793WSep 5 · 18:30M. Zahradka1.831111188113O. Kolisnyk1.8348201182LSep 3 · 13:29M. Zahradka1.6110131081M. Huk2.20121112113WSep 3 · 12:00E. Mares1.22916891M. Zahradka4.00111411113WSep 3 · 11:00M. Huk1.91711561M. Zahradka1.8011911113WSep 3 · 10:30M. Zahradka1.6191111113J. Ruzicka2.20116361WSep 3 · 09:28M. Zahradka1.801111113M. Huk1.915750WSep 3 · 08:00M. Zahradka1.73511114123M. Huk2.00118711102
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