TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13065114
Played Sep 3Finished
Martin Huk
Home
1.91
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
711119511611––
Michal Zahradka
Away
1.80
At publish
Won last 5Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 5
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:29 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMichal Zahradka to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMartin Huk above · Michal Zahradka below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 5-11
Set 4 · 6-11
Point 71 set 4, 6-11 — our read held Michal Zahradka at 54.0%
71 points played in total.
H2H Martin Huk 52–70 Michal Zahradka Martin Huk has won 52 of their 122 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 13:29What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Zahradka
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
52-70 in 122
Zahradka
Correct
gap of 18 in 122, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Huk 1794 vs Zahradka 1843
Zahradka
Correct
both rated, 49 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Huk 60% vs Zahradka 100%
Zahradka
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Huk 70% vs Zahradka 70%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Huk +1 · Zahradka +5
Zahradka
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Huk) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zahradka form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHuk 1.91 / Zahradka 1.80
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Huk)+5.5pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13065114
Huk1.91
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog42% won 139 of 329
Down 0–1, comes back25% 43 of 173
Down 0–2, comes back7% 6 of 88
Zahradka1.80
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 5
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite54% won 101 of 187
Up 2–0, closes it88% 45 of 51
Up 1–0, closes it79% 70 of 89
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHuk5wins
AwayZahradka5wins
4 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHuk100%3 of 3
AwayZahradka71.4%5 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Huk3Zahradka7n = 10Zahradka took 7 of 10
S2Huk4Zahradka6n = 10Zahradka took 6 of 10
S3Huk7Zahradka3n = 10Huk took 7 of 10
S4Huk1Zahradka8n = 9Zahradka took 8 of 9
S5Huk4Zahradka0n = 4Huk took 4 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricHukZahradkaH − ZBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match40.441.8−1.4per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHukZahradkaBasisWin rate · lifetime823 / 1673 vs 433 / 88949.2%48.7%823 / 1673 vs 433 / 889Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.538.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HukHuk 1.91/Zahradka 1.80
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Huk · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Zahradka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 10 · 01:30M. Huk—99100M. Zahradka—1111123
WAug 6 · 24:00M. Huk—118119143M. Zahradka—711711122
WAug 5 · 17:28M. Huk—1111115113M. Zahradka—91371192
LAug 5 · 15:00M. Huk—1021151M. Zahradka—12116113
LAug 2 · 01:00M. Huk—791161M. Zahradka—11117113
WJul 30 · 02:59M. Huk—71111113M. Zahradka—117861
LJul 30 · 01:00M. Huk—1211991M. Zahradka—14811113
LJul 15 · 06:30M. Huk—791281M. Zahradka—111110113
WJul 14 · 12:59M. Huk—111167113M. Zahradka—66111172
WJul 14 · 12:00M. Huk—911118113M. Zahradka—11891182
M. Huk10
WSep 3 · 13:29M. Zahradka1.6110131081M. Huk2.20121112113WSep 3 · 12:30M. Huk1.8312119113J. Ruzicka1.831071191WSep 3 · 10:00E. Mares1.4461114662M. Huk2.631151211113LSep 3 · 09:28M. Zahradka1.801111113M. Huk1.915750LSep 3 · 08:00M. Zahradka1.73511114123M. Huk2.00118711102WSep 3 · 07:00M. Klimenta1.80118681M. Huk1.9141111113WSep 3 · 06:30M. Huk1.801171011113J. Ruzicka1.9161112772WSep 2 · 21:28J. Kycelt1.50116871M. Huk2.5041111113WSep 2 · 20:30M. Huk1.83118116113J. Ruzicka1.8331181152WSep 2 · 19:00M. Huk2.1061112113T. Postelt1.671171091
M. Zahradka10
WSep 5 · 21:28M. Zahradka1.731111113J. Kanera2.006450LSep 5 · 20:00J. Jr1.611112157133M. Zahradka2.209141311112WSep 5 · 19:00J. Kanera2.104121151M. Zahradka1.671114793WSep 5 · 18:30M. Zahradka1.831111188113O. Kolisnyk1.8348201182LSep 3 · 13:29M. Zahradka1.6110131081M. Huk2.20121112113WSep 3 · 12:00E. Mares1.22916891M. Zahradka4.00111411113WSep 3 · 10:30M. Zahradka1.6191111113J. Ruzicka2.20116361WSep 3 · 09:28M. Zahradka1.801111113M. Huk1.915750WSep 3 · 08:00M. Zahradka1.73511114123M. Huk2.00118711102WSep 3 · 07:30J. Ruzicka2.105480M. Zahradka1.671111113
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