TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13082683
Played Sep 5Finished
Erik Mares
Home
1.73
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1161113711711––
Jan Zajicek
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 3
How it is goingErik Mares above · Jan Zajicek below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 11-13
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 7-9
Point 75 set 4, 7-9
75 points drawn · the score is 2 ahead; the rest land in a moment.
H2H Erik Mares 62–62 Jan Zajicek Dead even across their 124 meetings.
Last 10 · 6–4Head to head
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Mares)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zajicek form (20%) is below what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMares 1.73 / Zajicek 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Mares)+0.8pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13082683
Mares1.73
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite58% won 143 of 247
Up 2–0, closes it86% 89 of 103
Up 1–0, closes it72% 116 of 161
Zajicek2.00
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog39% won 45 of 115
Down 0–1, comes back21% 13 of 62
Down 0–2, comes back10% 4 of 42
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMares6wins
AwayZajicek4wins
2 of 10 to a deciderMares leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMares83.3%5 of 6
AwayZajicek75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Mares6Zajicek4n = 10Mares took 6 of 10
S2Mares7Zajicek3n = 10Mares took 7 of 10
S3Mares8Zajicek2n = 10Mares took 8 of 10
S4Mares3Zajicek3n = 6split evenly
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home440%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricMaresZajicekM − ZBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match39.733.9+5.8per matchSweeps40+43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMaresZajicekBasisWin rate · lifetime593 / 1181 vs 347 / 65550.2%53%593 / 1181 vs 347 / 655Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.936.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MaresMares 1.73/Zajicek 2.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54.4%
Mares · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Zajicek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 5 · 11:30E. Mares—11711113J. Zajicek—911681
WSep 4 · 19:30E. Mares—1111153J. Zajicek—85130
WSep 2 · 20:30E. Mares—81111113J. Zajicek—113281
LAug 30 · 07:00E. Mares—910131262J. Zajicek—11121110113
WAug 26 · 20:30E. Mares—1113113J. Zajicek—71190
LAug 25 · 21:04E. Mares—111191292J. Zajicek—571114113
WAug 25 · 20:00E. Mares—1111113J. Zajicek—7240
LAug 19 · 16:00E. Mares—51612101J. Zajicek—111414123
WAug 18 · 20:58E. Mares—1111113J. Zajicek—6760
LAug 18 · 20:00E. Mares—881161J. Zajicek—11119113
E. Mares10
LSep 6 · 09:00E. Mares1.579111111102O. Kolisnyk2.25111369123WSep 6 · 08:00E. Mares1.83114116113J. Vales1.8351151152WSep 6 · 07:30O. Kolisnyk2.5089111172E. Mares1.50111169113LSep 6 · 06:00E. Mares1.83911117102T. Postelt1.83113911123LSep 5 · 12:00E. Mares1.83119113132J. Vales1.83611511153WSep 5 · 11:30J. Zajicek1.73911681E. Mares2.0011711113LSep 5 · 10:00E. Mares2.259620J. Medek1.571111113LSep 4 · 21:30E. Mares2.00311111052J. Medek1.73119912113WSep 4 · 20:00E. Mares1.8011813113J. Vales1.912111171WSep 4 · 19:30J. Zajicek1.7385130E. Mares2.001111153
J. Zajicek10
LSep 5 · 17:29J. Medek1.731111113J. Zajicek2.005690LSep 5 · 16:00L. Jindrak2.6391111113J. Zajicek1.44114941WSep 5 · 15:00J. Vales2.6310370J. Zajicek1.441211113WSep 5 · 14:30J. Zajicek1.8311116143J. Medek1.839811121LSep 5 · 12:30J. Medek1.831111113J. Zajicek1.839970LSep 5 · 11:30J. Zajicek1.73911681E. Mares2.0011711113LSep 5 · 10:30J. Vales2.631111123J. Zajicek1.4474100WSep 4 · 20:58J. Vales2.508690J. Zajicek1.501111113LSep 4 · 20:30J. Medek1.8061111113J. Zajicek1.91117671LSep 4 · 19:30J. Zajicek1.7385130E. Mares2.001111153
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