TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13071852
Played Sep 4Finished
Josef Medek
Home
1.80
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
611117116117––
Jan Zajicek
Away
1.91
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:58 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJan Zajicek to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingJosef Medek above · Jan Zajicek below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 11-7
Point 70 set 4, 11-7 — our read held Jan Zajicek at 54.0%
70 points played in total.
H2H Josef Medek 131–91 Jan Zajicek Jan Zajicek has won 91 of their 222 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 13:58What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Medek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
131-91 in 222
Medek
Correct
gap of 40 in 222, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Medek 1887 vs Zajicek 1894
Zajicek
Wrong
both rated, 7 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Medek 40% vs Zajicek 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Medek 40% vs Zajicek 60%
Zajicek
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Medek -3 · Zajicek -1
Medek
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Medek) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zajicek form (40%) is below what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMedek 1.80 / Zajicek 1.91
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Medek)+2.5pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13071852
Medek1.80
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite60% won 115 of 193
Up 2–0, closes it93% 57 of 61
Up 1–0, closes it80% 82 of 103
Zajicek1.91
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog40% won 46 of 115
Down 0–1, comes back22% 14 of 63
Down 0–2, comes back10% 4 of 42
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMedek7wins
AwayZajicek3wins
2 of 10 to a deciderMedek leads 7–3, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMedek100%3 of 3
AwayZajicek42.9%3 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Medek3Zajicek7n = 10Zajicek took 7 of 10
S2Medek6Zajicek4n = 10Medek took 6 of 10
S3Medek7Zajicek3n = 10Medek took 7 of 10
S4Medek5Zajicek2n = 7Medek took 5 of 7
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricMedekZajicekM − ZBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match38.434.2+4.2per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMedekZajicekBasisWin rate · lifetime294 / 512 vs 346 / 65257.4%53.1%294 / 512 vs 346 / 652Avg sets wonper match2.22.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.936.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MedekMedek 1.80/Zajicek 1.91
Hit
What we said
54%
Medek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Medek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 2 · 18:00J. Medek—51112113J. Zajicek—1191091
WAug 26 · 21:00J. Medek—981211133J. Zajicek—1111104112
WAug 26 · 18:30J. Medek—1111113J. Zajicek—5850
WAug 25 · 18:30J. Medek—11118113J. Zajicek—431161
WAug 25 · 14:00J. Medek—1111113J. Zajicek—9850
LAug 11 · 21:30J. Medek—81080J. Zajicek—1112113
LAug 11 · 19:00J. Medek—811661J. Zajicek—11711113
WAug 3 · 20:00J. Medek—871111113J. Zajicek—11119552
WAug 2 · 17:00J. Medek—81211123J. Zajicek—11108101
LAug 2 · 15:00J. Medek—981191J. Zajicek—11115113
J. Medek10
WSep 5 · 17:29J. Medek1.731111113J. Zajicek2.005690WSep 5 · 16:30J. Vales2.507590J. Medek1.501111113WSep 5 · 15:30J. Medek1.331111113L. Jindrak3.257750LSep 5 · 14:30J. Zajicek1.8311116143J. Medek1.839811121WSep 5 · 13:30J. Vales2.20591181J. Medek1.6011116113WSep 5 · 12:30J. Medek1.831111113J. Zajicek1.839970LSep 5 · 11:00J. Medek1.4461290J. Vales2.631114113WSep 5 · 10:00E. Mares2.259620J. Medek1.571111113WSep 4 · 21:30E. Mares2.00311111052J. Medek1.73119912113LSep 4 · 19:00J. Medek1.4076111162J. Vales2.75111145113
J. Zajicek10
LSep 5 · 17:29J. Medek1.731111113J. Zajicek2.005690LSep 5 · 16:00L. Jindrak2.6391111113J. Zajicek1.44114941WSep 5 · 15:00J. Vales2.6310370J. Zajicek1.441211113WSep 5 · 14:30J. Zajicek1.8311116143J. Medek1.839811121WSep 5 · 13:00E. Mares1.731111771J. Zajicek2.0061311113LSep 5 · 12:30J. Medek1.831111113J. Zajicek1.839970LSep 5 · 11:30J. Zajicek1.73911681E. Mares2.0011711113LSep 5 · 10:30J. Vales2.631111123J. Zajicek1.4474100WSep 4 · 20:58J. Vales2.508690J. Zajicek1.501111113LSep 4 · 19:30J. Zajicek1.7385130E. Mares2.001111153
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