TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13077751
Played Sep 5Finished
Josef Medek
Home
1.33
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
117117115––––
Lukas Jindrak
Away
3.25
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:18 and never touched — 70.9% is still 70.9%
Graded at full timeJosef Medek to win
70.9%
70.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJosef Medek above · Lukas Jindrak below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 11-7
Point 36 set 2, 11-7 — our read held Josef Medek at 70.9%
36 points drawn · the score is 16 ahead; the rest land in a moment.
H2H Josef Medek 4–0 Lukas Jindrak Lukas Jindrak has won 0 of their 4 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 14:18What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.33 (71%)
Medek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-0 in 4
Medek
Correct
gap of 4 in 4, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Medek 1945 vs Jindrak 1961
Jindrak
Wrong
both rated, 16 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Medek 60% vs Jindrak 40%
Medek
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Medek 50% vs Jindrak 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Medek -1 · Jindrak +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 71% — Strong (leans Medek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Medek form (60%) is below what odds imply (75%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMedek 1.33 / Jindrak 3.25
Signal prob.71% / 29%
Edge (Medek)-0.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13077751
Medek1.33
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite59% won 115 of 194
Up 2–0, closes it93% 57 of 61
Up 1–0, closes it80% 82 of 102
Jindrak3.25
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog41% won 29 of 70
Down 0–1, comes back27% 9 of 34
Down 0–2, comes back5% 1 of 19
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeMedek4wins
AwayJindrak0wins
2 of 4 to a deciderMedek leads 4–0, and 2 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMedek100%3 of 3
AwayJindrakn = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Medek3Jindrak1n = 4Medek took 3 of 4
S2Medek4Jindrak0n = 4Medek took 4 of 4
S3Medek3Jindrak1n = 4Medek took 3 of 4
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home250%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home250%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 4 meetings
MetricMedekJindrakM − JBasisWins40+4in 4 meetingsFirst set31+2of 4Avg pointsper match39.831.5+8.3per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMedekJindrakBasisWin rate · lifetime299 / 519 vs 240 / 43557.6%55.2%299 / 519 vs 240 / 435Avg sets wonper match2.22.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.939.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MedekMedek 1.33/Jindrak 3.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
70.9%
Medek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Medek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
WApr 23 · 15:00J. Medek—1111108113L. Jindrak—98121182
WApr 1 · 18:00J. Medek—1111113L. Jindrak—6980
WMar 4 · 21:00J. Medek—511114113L. Jindrak—11661132
WMar 1 · 15:00J. Medek—1111113L. Jindrak—9450
J. Medek10
WSep 5 · 17:29J. Medek1.731111113J. Zajicek2.005690WSep 5 · 16:30J. Vales2.507590J. Medek1.501111113LSep 5 · 14:30J. Zajicek1.8311116143J. Medek1.839811121WSep 5 · 13:30J. Vales2.20591181J. Medek1.6011116113WSep 5 · 12:30J. Medek1.831111113J. Zajicek1.839970LSep 5 · 11:00J. Medek1.4461290J. Vales2.631114113WSep 5 · 10:00E. Mares2.259620J. Medek1.571111113WSep 4 · 21:30E. Mares2.00311111052J. Medek1.73119912113WSep 4 · 20:30J. Medek1.8061111113J. Zajicek1.91117671LSep 4 · 19:00J. Medek1.4076111162J. Vales2.75111145113
L. Jindrak10
LSep 5 · 16:59L. Jindrak1.8576110J. Vales1.851111133WSep 5 · 16:00L. Jindrak2.6391111113J. Zajicek1.44114941WSep 5 · 14:00L. Jindrak1.831011511113J. Vales1.8312911592LSep 1 · 17:00L. Jindrak1.50113691F. Wolf2.5091111113LSep 1 · 16:30L. Jindrak1.408490J. Kycelt2.751111113LSep 1 · 15:00L. Jindrak1.50114111252T. Postelt2.50711414113WSep 1 · 14:00F. Wolf2.6311131151L. Jindrak1.4413159113WAug 26 · 09:28E. Mares2.2511671152L. Jindrak1.57611115113LAug 26 · 08:00L. Jindrak1.619880E. Mares2.201111113WAug 26 · 07:30T. Postelt2.3811560L. Jindrak1.531311113
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