TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13013854
Played Aug 26Finished
Lukas Jindrak
Home
1.62
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 4
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
911811811––––
Erik Mares
Away
2.20
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:27 and never touched — 60.0% is still 60.0%
Graded at full timeLukas Jindrak to win
60.0%
60.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongpick shipped
How it is goingLukas Jindrak above · Erik Mares below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 8-11
Point 58 set 3, 8-11 — our read held Lukas Jindrak at 60.0%
58 points played in total.
H2H Lukas Jindrak 35–22 Erik Mares Erik Mares has won 22 of their 57 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 14:27What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Jindrak
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
35-22 in 57
Jindrak
Wrong
gap of 13 in 57, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Jindrak 2016 vs Mares 1865
Jindrak
Wrong
both rated, 151 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Jindrak 80% vs Mares 40%
Jindrak
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Jindrak 60% vs Mares 20%
Jindrak
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Jindrak +4 · Mares -1
Jindrak
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent — and the gate let it through as .
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Jindrak) · live re-read · sealed at 60% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Jindrak form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsJindrak 1.61 / Mares 2.20
Signal prob.61% / 39%
Edge (Jindrak)+3.6pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13013854
Jindrak1.61
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite64% won 83 of 129
Up 2–0, closes it91% 39 of 43
Up 1–0, closes it81% 58 of 72
Mares2.20
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog45% won 92 of 203
Down 0–1, comes back27% 28 of 104
Down 0–2, comes back13% 8 of 60
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeJindrak8wins
AwayMares2wins
3 of 10 to a deciderJindrak leads 8–2, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeJindrak87.5%7 of 8
AwayMaresn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Jindrak8Mares2n = 10Jindrak took 8 of 10
S2Jindrak5Mares5n = 10split evenly
S3Jindrak9Mares1n = 10Jindrak took 9 of 10
S4Jindrak3Mares4n = 7Mares took 4 of 7
S5Jindrak2Mares1n = 3Jindrak took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricJindrakMaresJ − MBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match39.533.4+6.1per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricJindrakMaresBasisWin rate · lifetime250 / 448 vs 587 / 116055.8%50.6%250 / 448 vs 587 / 1160Avg sets wonper match2.22.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.139.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
JindrakJindrak 1.61/Mares 2.20
Miss
What we said
61.3%
Jindrak · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Mares won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 20 · 16:58L. Jindrak—1114153E. Mares—712130
WAug 20 · 16:00L. Jindrak—11011113E. Mares—811751
WAug 16 · 09:00L. Jindrak—1111113E. Mares—6850
WAug 16 · 06:00L. Jindrak—138115113E. Mares—111161172
WAug 10 · 15:00L. Jindrak—11111113E. Mares—611321
LAug 10 · 13:28L. Jindrak—4411101E. Mares—11115123
WAug 10 · 11:00L. Jindrak—1111163E. Mares—94140
WAug 8 · 12:00L. Jindrak—14711113E. Mares—1211191
LAug 8 · 09:30L. Jindrak—111111982E. Mares—571311113
WAug 8 · 08:00L. Jindrak—611118113E. Mares—11531182
L. Jindrak10
LSep 5 · 16:59L. Jindrak1.8576110J. Vales1.851111133WSep 5 · 16:00L. Jindrak2.6391111113J. Zajicek1.44114941LSep 5 · 15:30J. Medek1.331111113L. Jindrak3.257750WSep 5 · 14:00L. Jindrak1.831011511113J. Vales1.8312911592LSep 1 · 17:00L. Jindrak1.50113691F. Wolf2.5091111113LSep 1 · 16:30L. Jindrak1.408490J. Kycelt2.751111113LSep 1 · 15:00L. Jindrak1.50114111252T. Postelt2.50711414113WSep 1 · 14:00F. Wolf2.6311131151L. Jindrak1.4413159113WAug 26 · 09:28E. Mares2.2511671152L. Jindrak1.57611115113WAug 26 · 07:30T. Postelt2.3811560L. Jindrak1.531311113
E. Mares10
LSep 6 · 09:00E. Mares1.579111111102O. Kolisnyk2.25111369123WSep 6 · 08:00E. Mares1.83114116113J. Vales1.8351151152WSep 6 · 07:30O. Kolisnyk2.5089111172E. Mares1.50111169113LSep 6 · 06:00E. Mares1.83911117102T. Postelt1.83113911123LSep 5 · 13:00E. Mares1.731111771J. Zajicek2.0061311113LSep 5 · 12:00E. Mares1.83119113132J. Vales1.83611511153WSep 5 · 11:30J. Zajicek1.73911681E. Mares2.0011711113LSep 5 · 10:00E. Mares2.259620J. Medek1.571111113LSep 4 · 21:30E. Mares2.00311111052J. Medek1.73119912113LAug 26 · 09:28E. Mares2.2511671152L. Jindrak1.57611115113
Upcoming Matches
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.