TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13059888
Played Sep 1Finished
Lukas Jindrak
Home
1.50
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
119311611911––
Filip Wolf
Away
2.50
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 16:53 and never touched — 64.5% is still 64.5%
Graded at full timeLukas Jindrak to win
64.5%
64.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingLukas Jindrak above · Filip Wolf below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 3-11
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 9-11
Point 71 set 4, 9-11 — our read held Lukas Jindrak at 64.5%
71 points played in total.
H2H Lukas Jindrak 5–1 Filip Wolf Filip Wolf has won 1 of their 6 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 16:53What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Jindrak
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-1 in 6
Jindrak
Wrong
gap of 4 in 6, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Jindrak 1970 vs Wolf 1839
Jindrak
Wrong
both rated, 131 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Jindrak 40% vs Wolf 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Jindrak 60% vs Wolf 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Jindrak -2 · Wolf -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 67% — Clear lean (leans Jindrak) · live re-read · sealed at 65% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Jindrak form (40%) is below what odds imply (67%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsJindrak 1.50 / Wolf 2.50
Signal prob.67% / 33%
Edge (Jindrak)+4.4pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13059888
Jindrak1.50
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite65% won 86 of 132
Up 2–0, closes it91% 41 of 45
Up 1–0, closes it82% 60 of 73
Wolf2.50
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog46% won 37 of 81
Down 0–1, comes back30% 13 of 44
Down 0–2, comes back7% 2 of 27
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomeJindrak5wins
AwayWolf1wins
1 of 6 to a deciderJindrak leads 5–1, and 1 of those 6 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeJindrak100%3 of 3
AwayWolf33.3%1 of 3
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Jindrak3Wolf3n = 6split evenly
S2Jindrak6Wolf0n = 6Jindrak took 6 of 6
S3Jindrak4Wolf2n = 6Jindrak took 4 of 6
S4Jindrak4Wolf0n = 4Jindrak took 4 of 4
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home233%
3–1Four sets, home350%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away117%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 6 meetings
MetricJindrakWolfJ − WBasisWins51+4in 6 meetingsFirst set330of 6Avg pointsper match42.732.7+10.0per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricJindrakWolfBasisWin rate · lifetime246 / 446 vs 104 / 20355.2%51.2%246 / 446 vs 104 / 203Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match39.037.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
JindrakJindrak 1.50/Wolf 2.50
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
66.9%
Jindrak · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Wolf won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
WSep 1 · 14:00L. Jindrak—13159113F. Wolf—11131151
WAug 26 · 06:00L. Jindrak—1111123F. Wolf—56100
WMay 26 · 17:00L. Jindrak—1111113F. Wolf—7340
LMay 26 · 15:30L. Jindrak—813711102F. Wolf—1111116123
WMay 4 · 12:58L. Jindrak—121111113F. Wolf—149431
WMay 4 · 12:00L. Jindrak—111111143F. Wolf—1396121
L. Jindrak10
LSep 5 · 16:59L. Jindrak1.8576110J. Vales1.851111133WSep 5 · 16:00L. Jindrak2.6391111113J. Zajicek1.44114941LSep 5 · 15:30J. Medek1.331111113L. Jindrak3.257750WSep 5 · 14:00L. Jindrak1.831011511113J. Vales1.8312911592LSep 1 · 16:30L. Jindrak1.408490J. Kycelt2.751111113LSep 1 · 15:00L. Jindrak1.50114111252T. Postelt2.50711414113WSep 1 · 14:00F. Wolf2.6311131151L. Jindrak1.4413159113WAug 26 · 09:28E. Mares2.2511671152L. Jindrak1.57611115113LAug 26 · 08:00L. Jindrak1.619880E. Mares2.201111113WAug 26 · 07:30T. Postelt2.3811560L. Jindrak1.531311113
F. Wolf10
WSep 2 · 02:00F. Wolf1.5011116113M. Huk2.50681171LSep 2 · 01:00F. Wolf2.00118813102L. Zeman1.739111111123LSep 2 · 24:00E. Mares1.671112113F. Wolf2.1081060LSep 1 · 22:30J. Kycelt1.9111113113F. Wolf1.80361191LSep 1 · 16:00F. Wolf1.80511751T. Postelt1.9111411113WSep 1 · 15:30J. Kycelt1.91101112572F. Wolf1.801281011113LSep 1 · 14:00F. Wolf2.6311131151L. Jindrak1.4413159113LAug 26 · 13:30F. Wolf1.538511101J. Ruzicka2.2011116123WAug 26 · 12:00J. Jr2.38119881F. Wolf1.5361111113WAug 26 · 11:00O. Kolisnyk2.259670F. Wolf1.571111113
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