TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13058515
Played Sep 1Finished
Filip Wolf
Home
2.63
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
11131315119511––
Lukas Jindrak
Away
1.44
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:13 and never touched — 68.5% is still 68.5%
Graded at full timeLukas Jindrak to win
68.5%
68.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingFilip Wolf above · Lukas Jindrak below
Set 1 · 11-13
Set 2 · 13-15
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 5-11
Point 88 set 4, 5-11 — our read held Lukas Jindrak at 68.5%
88 points played in total.
H2H Filip Wolf 1–4 Lukas Jindrak Filip Wolf has won 1 of their 5 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 11:13What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Jindrak
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-4 in 5
Jindrak
Correct
gap of 3 in 5, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Wolf 1850 vs Jindrak 2003
Jindrak
Correct
both rated, 152 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Wolf 60% vs Jindrak 80%
Jindrak
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Wolf 50% vs Jindrak 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Wolf -1 · Jindrak +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 69% — Clear lean (leans Jindrak)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Jindrak form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (69%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsWolf 2.63 / Jindrak 1.44
Signal prob.32% / 69%
Edge (Jindrak)+4.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13058515
Wolf2.63
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog46% won 37 of 81
Down 0–1, comes back30% 13 of 44
Down 0–2, comes back7% 2 of 27
Jindrak1.44
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite65% won 86 of 132
Up 2–0, closes it91% 41 of 45
Up 1–0, closes it82% 60 of 73
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomeWolf1wins
AwayJindrak4wins
1 of 5 to a deciderJindrak leads 4–1, and 1 of those 5 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeWolf33.3%1 of 3
AwayJindrakn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Wolf3Jindrak2n = 5Wolf took 3 of 5
S2Wolf0Jindrak5n = 5Jindrak took 5 of 5
S3Wolf1Jindrak4n = 5Jindrak took 4 of 5
S4Wolf0Jindrak3n = 3Jindrak took 3 of 3
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home120%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away240%
0–3Straight, away240%
These 5 meetings
MetricWolfJindrakW − JBasisWins14−3in 5 meetingsFirst set32+1of 5Avg pointsper match31.241.6−10.4per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricWolfJindrakBasisWin rate · lifetime103 / 200 vs 247 / 44651.5%55.4%103 / 200 vs 247 / 446Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.039.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
JindrakWolf 2.63/Jindrak 1.44
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
68.5%
Jindrak · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Jindrak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
LAug 26 · 06:00F. Wolf—56100L. Jindrak—1111123
LMay 26 · 17:00F. Wolf—7340L. Jindrak—1111113
WMay 26 · 15:30F. Wolf—1111116123L. Jindrak—813711102
LMay 4 · 12:58F. Wolf—149431L. Jindrak—121111113
LMay 4 · 12:00F. Wolf—1396121L. Jindrak—111111143
F. Wolf10
WSep 2 · 02:00F. Wolf1.5011116113M. Huk2.50681171LSep 2 · 01:00F. Wolf2.00118813102L. Zeman1.739111111123LSep 2 · 24:00E. Mares1.671112113F. Wolf2.1081060LSep 1 · 22:30J. Kycelt1.9111113113F. Wolf1.80361191WSep 1 · 17:00L. Jindrak1.50113691F. Wolf2.5091111113LSep 1 · 16:00F. Wolf1.80511751T. Postelt1.9111411113WSep 1 · 15:30J. Kycelt1.91101112572F. Wolf1.801281011113LAug 26 · 13:30F. Wolf1.538511101J. Ruzicka2.2011116123WAug 26 · 12:00J. Jr2.38119881F. Wolf1.5361111113WAug 26 · 11:00O. Kolisnyk2.259670F. Wolf1.571111113
L. Jindrak10
LSep 5 · 16:59L. Jindrak1.8576110J. Vales1.851111133WSep 5 · 16:00L. Jindrak2.6391111113J. Zajicek1.44114941LSep 5 · 15:30J. Medek1.331111113L. Jindrak3.257750WSep 5 · 14:00L. Jindrak1.831011511113J. Vales1.8312911592LSep 1 · 17:00L. Jindrak1.50113691F. Wolf2.5091111113LSep 1 · 16:30L. Jindrak1.408490J. Kycelt2.751111113LSep 1 · 15:00L. Jindrak1.50114111252T. Postelt2.50711414113WAug 26 · 09:28E. Mares2.2511671152L. Jindrak1.57611115113LAug 26 · 08:00L. Jindrak1.619880E. Mares2.201111113WAug 26 · 07:30T. Postelt2.3811560L. Jindrak1.531311113
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