TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13017877
Played Aug 26Finished
Erik Mares
Home
2.25
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
116611711115511
Lukas Jindrak
Away
1.57
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
How it is goingErik Mares above · Lukas Jindrak below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 11-5
Set 5 · 5-11
Point 84 set 5, 5-11
84 points played in total.
H2H Erik Mares 23–35 Lukas Jindrak Erik Mares has won 23 of their 58 meetings.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Jindrak)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Jindrak form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (64%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMares 2.25 / Jindrak 1.57
Signal prob.40% / 61%
Edge (Jindrak)+1.6pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13017877
Mares2.25
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog45% won 92 of 203
Down 0–1, comes back27% 28 of 104
Down 0–2, comes back13% 8 of 60
Jindrak1.57
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite64% won 83 of 129
Up 2–0, closes it91% 39 of 43
Up 1–0, closes it81% 58 of 72
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMares3wins
AwayJindrak7wins
2 of 10 to a deciderJindrak leads 7–3, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMaresn = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayJindrak87.5%7 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Mares2Jindrak8n = 10Jindrak took 8 of 10
S2Mares6Jindrak4n = 10Mares took 6 of 10
S3Mares2Jindrak8n = 10Jindrak took 8 of 10
S4Mares3Jindrak3n = 6split evenly
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricMaresJindrakM − JBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match32.937.3−4.4per matchSweeps13−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMaresJindrakBasisWin rate · lifetime588 / 1161 vs 250 / 44950.7%55.7%588 / 1161 vs 250 / 449Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.939.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
JindrakMares 2.25/Jindrak 1.57
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
60.5%
Jindrak · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Jindrak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 26 · 08:00E. Mares—1111113L. Jindrak—9880
LAug 20 · 16:58E. Mares—712130L. Jindrak—1114153
LAug 20 · 16:00E. Mares—811751L. Jindrak—11011113
LAug 16 · 09:00E. Mares—6850L. Jindrak—1111113
LAug 16 · 06:00E. Mares—111161172L. Jindrak—138115113
LAug 10 · 15:00E. Mares—611321L. Jindrak—11111113
WAug 10 · 13:28E. Mares—11115123L. Jindrak—4411101
LAug 10 · 11:00E. Mares—94140L. Jindrak—1111163
LAug 8 · 12:00E. Mares—1211191L. Jindrak—14711113
WAug 8 · 09:30E. Mares—571311113L. Jindrak—111111982
E. Mares10
LSep 6 · 09:00E. Mares1.579111111102O. Kolisnyk2.25111369123WSep 6 · 08:00E. Mares1.83114116113J. Vales1.8351151152WSep 6 · 07:30O. Kolisnyk2.5089111172E. Mares1.50111169113LSep 6 · 06:00E. Mares1.83911117102T. Postelt1.83113911123LSep 5 · 13:00E. Mares1.731111771J. Zajicek2.0061311113LSep 5 · 12:00E. Mares1.83119113132J. Vales1.83611511153WSep 5 · 11:30J. Zajicek1.73911681E. Mares2.0011711113LSep 5 · 10:00E. Mares2.259620J. Medek1.571111113LSep 4 · 21:30E. Mares2.00311111052J. Medek1.73119912113WSep 4 · 20:00E. Mares1.8011813113J. Vales1.912111171
L. Jindrak10
LSep 5 · 16:59L. Jindrak1.8576110J. Vales1.851111133WSep 5 · 16:00L. Jindrak2.6391111113J. Zajicek1.44114941LSep 5 · 15:30J. Medek1.331111113L. Jindrak3.257750WSep 5 · 14:00L. Jindrak1.831011511113J. Vales1.8312911592LSep 1 · 17:00L. Jindrak1.50113691F. Wolf2.5091111113LSep 1 · 16:30L. Jindrak1.408490J. Kycelt2.751111113LSep 1 · 15:00L. Jindrak1.50114111252T. Postelt2.50711414113WSep 1 · 14:00F. Wolf2.6311131151L. Jindrak1.4413159113LAug 26 · 08:00L. Jindrak1.619880E. Mares2.201111113WAug 26 · 07:30T. Postelt2.3811560L. Jindrak1.531311113
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