TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13058530
Played Sep 1Finished
Lukas Jindrak
Home
1.40
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
811411911––––
Jakub Kycelt
Away
2.75
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:13 and never touched — 67.5% is still 67.5%
Graded at full timeLukas Jindrak to win
67.5%
67.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingLukas Jindrak above · Jakub Kycelt below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 4-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Point 54 set 3, 9-11 — our read held Lukas Jindrak at 67.5%
54 points played in total.
H2H Lukas Jindrak 4–2 Jakub Kycelt Jakub Kycelt has won 2 of their 6 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 11:13What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Jindrak
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-2 in 6
Jindrak
Wrong
gap of 2 in 6, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Jindrak 1993 vs Kycelt 1771
Jindrak
Wrong
both rated, 222 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Jindrak 60% vs Kycelt 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Jindrak 60% vs Kycelt 40%
Jindrak
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Jindrak -1 · Kycelt -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 68% — Clear lean (leans Jindrak)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kycelt form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (36%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsJindrak 1.40 / Kycelt 2.75
Signal prob.68% / 33%
Edge (Jindrak)+1.2pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13058530
Jindrak1.40
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite65% won 86 of 132
Up 2–0, closes it91% 41 of 45
Up 1–0, closes it82% 60 of 73
Kycelt2.75
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog44% won 52 of 118
Down 0–1, comes back25% 16 of 63
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 33
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomeJindrak4wins
AwayKycelt2wins
Jindrak leads 4–2.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeJindrak66.7%2 of 3
AwayKycelt33.3%1 of 3
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Jindrak3Kycelt3n = 6split evenly
S2Jindrak3Kycelt3n = 6split evenly
S3Jindrak4Kycelt2n = 6Jindrak took 4 of 6
S4Jindrak3Kycelt1n = 4Jindrak took 3 of 4
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home117%
3–1Four sets, home350%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away117%
0–3Straight, away117%
These 6 meetings
MetricJindrakKyceltJ − KBasisWins42+2in 6 meetingsFirst set330of 6Avg pointsper match36.533.7+2.8per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricJindrakKyceltBasisWin rate · lifetime246 / 445 vs 151 / 30355.3%49.8%246 / 445 vs 151 / 303Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.137.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
JindrakJindrak 1.40/Kycelt 2.75
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
67.5%
Jindrak · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Kycelt won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
WAug 1 · 19:00L. Jindrak—81111113J. Kycelt—118491
LAug 1 · 16:00L. Jindrak—9780J. Kycelt—1111113
WMay 14 · 13:00L. Jindrak—11911113J. Kycelt—411491
LMay 14 · 12:00L. Jindrak—1171191J. Kycelt—81113113
WApr 3 · 08:58L. Jindrak—41111133J. Kycelt—1188111
WApr 3 · 08:00L. Jindrak—1113113J. Kycelt—81190
L. Jindrak10
LSep 5 · 16:59L. Jindrak1.8576110J. Vales1.851111133WSep 5 · 16:00L. Jindrak2.6391111113J. Zajicek1.44114941LSep 5 · 15:30J. Medek1.331111113L. Jindrak3.257750WSep 5 · 14:00L. Jindrak1.831011511113J. Vales1.8312911592LSep 1 · 17:00L. Jindrak1.50113691F. Wolf2.5091111113LSep 1 · 15:00L. Jindrak1.50114111252T. Postelt2.50711414113WSep 1 · 14:00F. Wolf2.6311131151L. Jindrak1.4413159113WAug 26 · 09:28E. Mares2.2511671152L. Jindrak1.57611115113LAug 26 · 08:00L. Jindrak1.619880E. Mares2.201111113WAug 26 · 07:30T. Postelt2.3811560L. Jindrak1.531311113
J. Kycelt10
LSep 2 · 21:28J. Kycelt1.50116871M. Huk2.5041111113LSep 2 · 20:00J. Kycelt1.916840T. Postelt1.801111113WSep 2 · 19:30J. Ruzicka2.509750J. Kycelt1.501111113WSep 2 · 18:00J. Kycelt1.531111113M. Huk2.388780WSep 2 · 03:00L. Zeman1.73891251J. Kycelt2.00111110113LSep 2 · 01:30J. Kycelt2.63913691E. Mares1.44111111113LSep 2 · 24:30M. Huk2.5011612113J. Kycelt1.508111081LSep 1 · 23:30L. Zeman1.7310111011123J. Kycelt2.00126125102WSep 1 · 22:30J. Kycelt1.9111113113F. Wolf1.80361191LSep 1 · 17:30J. Kycelt1.85116781T. Postelt1.8581111113
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