TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13059283
Played Sep 2Finished
Jakub Kycelt
Home
1.53
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
118117118––––
Martin Huk
Away
2.38
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:34 and never touched — 55.4% is still 55.4%
Graded at full timeJakub Kycelt to win
55.4%
55.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJakub Kycelt above · Martin Huk below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 11-8
Point 56 set 3, 11-8 — our read held Jakub Kycelt at 55.4%
56 points played in total.
H2H Jakub Kycelt 20–11 Martin Huk Martin Huk has won 11 of their 31 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 14:34What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Kycelt
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
20-11 in 31
Kycelt
Correct
gap of 9 in 31, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kycelt 1755 vs Huk 1811
Huk
Wrong
both rated, 56 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kycelt 40% vs Huk 80%
Huk
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kycelt 50% vs Huk 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kycelt +1 · Huk +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 62% — Slight lean (leans Kycelt) · live re-read · sealed at 55% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Huk form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (42%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKycelt 1.53 / Huk 2.38
Signal prob.62% / 38%
Edge (Kycelt)+0.8pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13059283
Kycelt1.53
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite59% won 41 of 69
Up 2–0, closes it96% 25 of 26
Up 1–0, closes it81% 33 of 41
Huk2.38
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog42% won 137 of 326
Down 0–1, comes back24% 41 of 170
Down 0–2, comes back7% 6 of 87
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKycelt8wins
AwayHuk2wins
2 of 10 to a deciderKycelt leads 8–2, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKycelt100%6 of 6
AwayHuk50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kycelt6Huk4n = 10Kycelt took 6 of 10
S2Kycelt8Huk2n = 10Kycelt took 8 of 10
S3Kycelt6Huk4n = 10Kycelt took 6 of 10
S4Kycelt3Huk3n = 6split evenly
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricKyceltHukK − HBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match37.629.3+8.3per matchSweeps31+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKyceltHukBasisWin rate · lifetime154 / 310 vs 817 / 166449.7%49.1%154 / 310 vs 817 / 1664Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.038.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KyceltKycelt 1.53/Huk 2.38
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
61.6%
Kycelt · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Kycelt won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WJul 8 · 18:30J. Kycelt—811118113M. Huk—11591192
WJun 1 · 16:00J. Kycelt—11117113M. Huk—931181
WMay 27 · 03:30J. Kycelt—11119113M. Huk—371131
WMay 27 · 01:30J. Kycelt—1110116113M. Huk—51281132
LApr 3 · 06:30J. Kycelt—1111061M. Huk—11812113
WApr 2 · 18:30J. Kycelt—1111113M. Huk—9250
WMar 25 · 22:30J. Kycelt—1111113M. Huk—4670
LMar 25 · 21:30J. Kycelt—9990M. Huk—1111113
WMar 12 · 20:30J. Kycelt—91111113M. Huk—113551
WMar 10 · 22:00J. Kycelt—1111113M. Huk—9670
J. Kycelt10
LSep 2 · 21:28J. Kycelt1.50116871M. Huk2.5041111113LSep 2 · 20:00J. Kycelt1.916840T. Postelt1.801111113WSep 2 · 19:30J. Ruzicka2.509750J. Kycelt1.501111113WSep 2 · 03:00L. Zeman1.73891251J. Kycelt2.00111110113LSep 2 · 01:30J. Kycelt2.63913691E. Mares1.44111111113LSep 2 · 24:30M. Huk2.5011612113J. Kycelt1.508111081LSep 1 · 23:30L. Zeman1.7310111011123J. Kycelt2.00126125102WSep 1 · 22:30J. Kycelt1.9111113113F. Wolf1.80361191LSep 1 · 17:30J. Kycelt1.85116781T. Postelt1.8581111113WSep 1 · 16:30L. Jindrak1.408490J. Kycelt2.751111113
M. Huk10
WSep 3 · 13:29M. Zahradka1.6110131081M. Huk2.20121112113WSep 3 · 12:30M. Huk1.8312119113J. Ruzicka1.831071191LSep 3 · 11:00M. Huk1.91711561M. Zahradka1.8011911113WSep 3 · 10:00E. Mares1.4461114662M. Huk2.631151211113LSep 3 · 09:28M. Zahradka1.801111113M. Huk1.915750LSep 3 · 08:00M. Zahradka1.73511114123M. Huk2.00118711102WSep 3 · 07:00M. Klimenta1.80118681M. Huk1.9141111113WSep 3 · 06:30M. Huk1.801171011113J. Ruzicka1.9161112772WSep 2 · 21:28J. Kycelt1.50116871M. Huk2.5041111113WSep 2 · 24:30M. Huk2.5011612113J. Kycelt1.508111081
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