TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13060464
Played Sep 1Finished
Jakub Kycelt
Home
1.91
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
113116311119––
Filip Wolf
Away
1.80
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:24 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeFilip Wolf to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingJakub Kycelt above · Filip Wolf below
Set 1 · 11-3
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 3-11
Set 4 · 11-9
Point 65 set 4, 11-9 — our read held Filip Wolf at 54.0%
65 points played in total.
H2H Jakub Kycelt 3–5 Filip Wolf Jakub Kycelt has won 3 of their 8 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 19:24What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Wolf
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-5 in 8
Wolf
Wrong
gap of 2 in 8, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kycelt 1782 vs Wolf 1855
Wolf
Wrong
both rated, 73 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kycelt 60% vs Wolf 40%
Kycelt
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kycelt 40% vs Wolf 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kycelt -1 · Wolf +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Wolf)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Wolf form (40%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKycelt 1.91 / Wolf 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Wolf)+2.5pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13060464
Kycelt1.91
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog44% won 52 of 118
Down 0–1, comes back25% 16 of 63
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 33
Wolf1.80
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite56% won 66 of 119
Up 2–0, closes it94% 34 of 36
Up 1–0, closes it72% 47 of 65
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 8 meetings
HomeKycelt3wins
AwayWolf5wins
3 of 8 to a deciderWolf leads 5–3, and 3 of those 8 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKycelt60%3 of 5
AwayWolf100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 8 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kycelt5Wolf3n = 8Kycelt took 5 of 8
S2Kycelt5Wolf3n = 8Kycelt took 5 of 8
S3Kycelt5Wolf3n = 8Kycelt took 5 of 8
S4Kycelt1Wolf3n = 4Wolf took 3 of 4
S5Kycelt0Wolf3n = 3Wolf took 3 of 3
How those 8 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 8 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home338%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away338%
1–3Four sets, away113%
0–3Straight, away113%
These 8 meetings
MetricKyceltWolfK − WBasisWins35−2in 8 meetingsFirst set53+2of 8Avg pointsper match37.635.9+1.7per matchSweeps31+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKyceltWolfBasisWin rate · lifetime152 / 305 vs 105 / 20449.8%51.5%152 / 305 vs 105 / 204Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.037.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
WolfKycelt 1.91/Wolf 1.80
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Wolf · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Kycelt won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record8
LSep 1 · 15:30J. Kycelt—101112572F. Wolf—1281011113
LJul 8 · 21:30J. Kycelt—1411721F. Wolf—121311113
WJul 8 · 20:00J. Kycelt—1111163F. Wolf—51140
LJun 25 · 20:00J. Kycelt—118156102F. Wolf—4111311123
LJun 25 · 16:00J. Kycelt—8850F. Wolf—1111113
LJun 5 · 15:00J. Kycelt—101171182F. Wolf—129119113
WMay 7 · 17:00J. Kycelt—1111113F. Wolf—8660
WMay 7 · 15:00J. Kycelt—1111113F. Wolf—0480
J. Kycelt10
LSep 2 · 21:28J. Kycelt1.50116871M. Huk2.5041111113LSep 2 · 20:00J. Kycelt1.916840T. Postelt1.801111113WSep 2 · 19:30J. Ruzicka2.509750J. Kycelt1.501111113WSep 2 · 18:00J. Kycelt1.531111113M. Huk2.388780WSep 2 · 03:00L. Zeman1.73891251J. Kycelt2.00111110113LSep 2 · 01:30J. Kycelt2.63913691E. Mares1.44111111113LSep 2 · 24:30M. Huk2.5011612113J. Kycelt1.508111081LSep 1 · 23:30L. Zeman1.7310111011123J. Kycelt2.00126125102LSep 1 · 17:30J. Kycelt1.85116781T. Postelt1.8581111113WSep 1 · 16:30L. Jindrak1.408490J. Kycelt2.751111113
F. Wolf10
WSep 2 · 02:00F. Wolf1.5011116113M. Huk2.50681171LSep 2 · 01:00F. Wolf2.00118813102L. Zeman1.739111111123LSep 2 · 24:00E. Mares1.671112113F. Wolf2.1081060WSep 1 · 17:00L. Jindrak1.50113691F. Wolf2.5091111113LSep 1 · 16:00F. Wolf1.80511751T. Postelt1.9111411113WSep 1 · 15:30J. Kycelt1.91101112572F. Wolf1.801281011113LSep 1 · 14:00F. Wolf2.6311131151L. Jindrak1.4413159113LAug 26 · 13:30F. Wolf1.538511101J. Ruzicka2.2011116123WAug 26 · 12:00J. Jr2.38119881F. Wolf1.5361111113WAug 26 · 11:00O. Kolisnyk2.259670F. Wolf1.571111113
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